Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
Argentina | TNT Sports |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | K-Ball |
Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
Israel | Sport 3 |
Italy | Sportitalia |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
South-america | ESPN South |
Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.68 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Passes |
---|
70% (202/290) | 76% (315/414) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.23 | 1.68 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.99 | 3.43 |
Total shots |
---|
11 | 11 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
5 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
3 | 6 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 6 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
14 | 16 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
8 | 16 |
Passes |
---|
70% (202/290) | 76% (315/414) |
Long passes |
---|
33% (25/75) | 43% (32/75) |
Passes in final third |
---|
55% (51/92) | 57% (58/102) |
Crosses |
---|
31% (5/16) | 21% (5/24) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.27 | 1.15 |
Fouls |
---|
16 | 8 |
Tackles |
---|
94% (15/16) | 61% (11/18) |
Duels won |
---|
48 | 61 |
Clearances Total |
---|
21 | 17 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 3 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 1 |
xGOT faced |
---|
3.43 | 0.99 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.43 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Rojo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 1, Menossi L. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 2, Zenon K. ⚽, Cavani E. (A),
- 67', Blondel L. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,
- 67', Gimenez M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Carlos Palacios ⚽,
- 77', Zenon K. ↓, Miramon I. ↑,
- 77', Cavani E. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
- 77', Menossi L. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
- 83', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 87', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 90', Grillo F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano 28.9% | Draw 31.2% | Boca Juniors 39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Belgrano - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.27 ↑ (3.2) |
3.03 ↓ (3.1) |
2.35 ↑ (2.33) |
6.2% (6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2.
- Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A.
(Injury)
Cravero T.
(Ankle Injury)
Ostchega T.
(Finger Injury)
Reyna B.
(Ankle Injury)
Troilo M.
(Yellow Cards)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Zelarayan L.
(Hand Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H.
(Knee Injury)
Figal J.
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Injury)
Lema C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rey Domenech C.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Boca Juniors?
Belgrano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Belgrano?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Boca Juniors were as follows:
28.09.2024
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
2:0
03.03.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Belgrano
3:2
10.10.2023
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
4:3
14.05.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Belgrano
2:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Union de Santa Fe | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 5 |
2 | Ind. Rivadavia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
3 | Belgrano | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
4 | Defensa y Justicia | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Banfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Tigre | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
7 | Newells Old Boys | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Estudiantes L.P | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Racing Club | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Barracas Central | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 3 |
11 | Boca Juniors | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Central Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Argentinos Jrs | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Aldosivi | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Huracan | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Atl. Tucuman | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
3 | Rosario Central | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
4 | Velez Sarsfield | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
5 | San Lorenzo | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | San Martin S.J | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
7 | Talleres Cordoba | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Dep. Riestra | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Lanus | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Instituto | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 3 |
11 | Godoy Cruz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 2 |
12 | Sarmiento Junin | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 2 |
13 | Independiente | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Gimnasia L.P | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 1 |
15 | Platense | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)