Belgrano vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Belgrano - Boca Juniors
Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
  • Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSporty TV, StarTimes App
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3
italyItalySportitalia
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV4
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldDisney+, TyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.68
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
46
Passes
70% (202/290)76% (315/414)
Yellow Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.231.68
xG on target (xGOT)
0.993.43
Total shots
1111
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
65
Blocked Shots
31
Shots inside the Box
59
Shots outside the Box
62
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
36
Corner Kicks
46
Touches in opposition box
1416
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
816
Passes
70% (202/290)76% (315/414)
Long passes
33% (25/75)43% (32/75)
Passes in final third
55% (51/92)57% (58/102)
Crosses
31% (5/16)21% (5/24)
Expected assists (xA)
0.271.15
Fouls
168
Tackles
94% (15/16)61% (11/18)
Duels won
4861
Clearances Total
2117
Interceptions
53
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
21
xGOT faced
3.430.99
Goals prevented
0.43-0.01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 38', 0 - 1, Rojo M. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Menossi L. ,
  • 62', 1 - 2, Zenon K. , Cavani E. (A),
  • 67', Blondel L. , Advincula L. ,
  • 67', Gimenez M. , Costa A. ,
  • 76', 1 - 3, Carlos Palacios ,
  • 77', Zenon K. , Miramon I. ,
  • 77', Cavani E. , Miguel Merentiel ,
  • 77', Menossi L. , Zelarayan G. ,
  • 83', Carlos Palacios , Velasco A. ,
  • 87', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 90', Grillo F. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Belgrano
28.9%
Draw
31.2%
Boca Juniors
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 30.3% 40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6% 29.6% 41.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
  • Belgrano - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.27
    (3.2)
    3.03
    (3.1)
    2.35
    (2.33)
    6.2%
    (6.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Belgrano - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 23.1%88.1%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2.
    • Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A. (Injury) Cravero T. (Ankle Injury) Ostchega T. (Finger Injury) Reyna B. (Ankle Injury) Troilo M. (Yellow Cards) Velazquez J. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Zelarayan L. (Hand Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Herrera A. (Injury) Lema C. (Muscle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.2:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    28.09.2024 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 2:0
    03.03.2024 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 3:2
    10.10.2023 Belgrano - Boca Juniors 4:3
    14.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 2:0
    Latest results of Belgrano
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union de Santa Fe31202:115
    2Ind. Rivadavia31114:224
    3Belgrano31113:124
    4Defensa y Justicia21102:024
    5Banfield21102:114
    6Tigre31113:304
    7Newells Old Boys21013:303
    8Estudiantes L.P21012:203
    9Racing Club21011:103
    10Barracas Central21011:3-23
    11Boca Juniors20201:102
    12Central Cordoba20201:102
    13Argentinos Jrs20111:2-11
    14Aldosivi20110:2-21
    15Huracan20021:5-40


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate22007:166
    2Atl. Tucuman21103:214
    3Rosario Central21102:114
    4Velez Sarsfield21102:114
    5San Lorenzo21102:114
    6San Martin S.J21014:403
    7Talleres Cordoba21013:303
    8Dep. Riestra21013:303
    9Lanus31022:203
    10Instituto21011:4-33
    11Godoy Cruz20201:102
    12Sarmiento Junin30212:4-22
    13Independiente20113:4-11
    14Gimnasia L.P20110:1-11
    15Platense20111:3-21

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)