Result
1:2
18/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 13
- Referee: Dovalo P. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN 5 |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Italy | Como TV, Sportitalia |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South |
 Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.02 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/429) | 74% (172/234) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.81 | 1.02 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 0.86 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (363/429) | 74% (172/234) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (18/32) | 51% (26/51) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (99/129) | 71% (49/69) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (9/33) | 33% (3/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.63 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (14/24) | 94% (17/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 11 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.86 | 1.30 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.14 | 0.30 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 28', Blanco L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 56', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 56', Maldonado A. 🟨,
- 57', Marchesin A. 🟨,
- 58', 0 - 1, Passerini L. (Pen),
- 62', 0 - 2, Paredes L. (Own goal),
- 65', Aguirre B. ↓, Zeballos E. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 2, Zeballos E. ⚽, Miguel Merentiel (A),
- 69', Cardozo T. 🟨,
- 75', Fernandez N. ↓, Mavilla J. ↑,
- 75', Compagnucci G. ↓, Heredia G. ↑,
- 82', Zelarayan L. ↓, Hernandes R. ↑,
- 83', Carlos Palacios 🟨,
- 84', Passerini L. 🟨,
- 87', Sporle A. 🟨,
- 89', Battaglia R. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
- 90', Carlos Palacios ↓, Zenon K. ↑,
- 90+1', Gonzalez F. ↓, Sanchez U. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
58.7% | Draw
26.9% | Belgrano
14.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)Belgrano has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Boca Juniors - Belgrano Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.62 ↑
(1.46) |
3.47 ↓
(3.93) |
6.54 ↓
(7.35) |
5.9%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Belgrano?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- AH -0.5 - Belgrano (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.75 - Boca Juniors (1.72) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 4 - 80%). Belgrano (votes: 1 - 20%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 3.
- Boca Juniors has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Belgrano is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Belgrano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Boca Juniors is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Carlos Palacios
(Muscle Injury)
Delgado M.
(International duty)
Fabra F.
(Coach's decision)
- There will not play in Belgrano: Longo S.
(Knee Injury)
Lopez E.
(Hamstring Injury)
Menossi L.
(Red Card)
Ricca F.
(Muscle Injury)
Sporle A.
(Hamstring Injury)
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 27:18. (average 1.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:5. (average 2.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Belgrano?
Boca Juniors has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Boca Juniors?
Belgrano has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Belgrano were as follows:
12.04.2025
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
1:3
28.09.2024
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
2:0
03.03.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Belgrano
3:2
10.10.2023
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
4:3
14.05.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Belgrano
2:0
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Latest results of Belgrano
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
