Result
1:3
12/04/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 13
- Referee: Mastrangelo H. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | Sporty TV, StarTimes App |
 Argentina | TNT Sports |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL 2, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Italy | Sportitalia |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 1 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.68 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 41% | 59% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (202/290) | 76% (315/414) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.68 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.99 | 3.43 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (202/290) | 76% (315/414) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/75) | 43% (32/75) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (51/92) | 57% (58/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 21% (5/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 1.15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 94% (15/16) | 61% (11/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 61 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 21 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.43 | 0.99 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.43 | -0.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 38', 0 - 1, Rojo M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 61', 1 - 1, Menossi L. ⚽,
- 62', 1 - 2, Zenon K. ⚽, Cavani E. (A),
- 67', Blondel L. ↓, Advincula L. ↑,
- 67', Gimenez M. ↓, Costa A. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 3, Carlos Palacios ⚽,
- 77', Zenon K. ↓, Miramon I. ↑,
- 77', Cavani E. ↓, Miguel Merentiel ↑,
- 77', Menossi L. ↓, Zelarayan G. ↑,
- 83', Carlos Palacios ↓, Velasco A. ↑,
- 87', Battaglia R. 🟨,
- 90', Grillo F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Belgrano
28.9% | Draw
31.2% | Boca Juniors
39.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Belgrano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Belgrano than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Belgrano - Boca Juniors Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.27 ↑
(3.2) |
3.03 ↓
(3.1) |
2.35 ↑
(2.33) |
6.2%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Belgrano - Boca Juniors?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 23.1% – 88.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 12 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 2.
- Recent matches Belgrano is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Boca Juniors is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Belgrano could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Boca Juniors will have a mini benefit in this match.
- There will not play in Belgrano: Baldi A.
(Injury)
Cravero T.
(Ankle Injury)
Ostchega T.
(Finger Injury)
Reyna B.
(Ankle Injury)
Troilo M.
(Yellow Cards)
Velazquez J.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Zelarayan L.
(Hand Injury)
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H.
(Knee Injury)
Figal J.
(Ankle Injury)
Herrera A.
(Injury)
Lema C.
(Muscle Injury)
Rey Domenech C.
(Muscle Injury)
Romero S.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Belgrano won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 17:24 (average 1.2:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Belgrano won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:10 (average 1.5:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Belgrano won against Boca Juniors?
Belgrano has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Belgrano?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Belgrano - Boca Juniors were as follows:
28.09.2024
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
2:0
03.03.2024
Boca Juniors
-
Belgrano
3:2
10.10.2023
Belgrano
-
Boca Juniors
4:3
14.05.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Belgrano
2:0
Latest results of Belgrano
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
ClausuraGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Barracas Central | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 11:8 | 3 | 14 |
| 2 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 13 |
| 3 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 12 |
| 4 | Union de Santa Fe | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 10:5 | 5 | 12 |
| 5 | Defensa y Justicia | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
| 6 | Estudiantes L.P | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Huracan | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 11 |
| 8 | Banfield | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 10 |
| 9 | Belgrano | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Argentinos Jrs | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 11 | Ind. Rivadavia | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Tigre | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 8 |
| 13 | Newells Old Boys | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 6 |
| 14 | Racing Club | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 6:12 | -6 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 1:8 | -7 | 3 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 16 |
| 2 | River Plate | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 14:4 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | San Lorenzo | 7 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 12 |
| 5 | Rosario Central | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 10 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 5:5 | 0 | 10 |
| 7 | Lanus | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 10 |
| 8 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 9 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 9 |
| 10 | Godoy Cruz | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 6 |
| 11 | Platense | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 6 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Instituto | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 2:10 | -8 | 6 |
| 14 | Talleres Cordoba | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Independiente | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
