Gimnasia y Esgrima vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:3
19/04/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Women - Play Offs - Final

Chances of winning


Gimnasia y Esgrima
42.8%
Boca Juniors
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 51.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.4% 43.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia y Esgrima has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gimnasia y Esgrima's form might have worsened.
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnasia y Esgrima than the current prediction. (+13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gimnasia y Esgrima, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (-13.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Boca Juniors, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Gimnasia y Esgrima - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.16
    (1.88)

    1.62
    (1.78)
    8.3%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 181.50
    Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 1.
    • Gimnasia has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 12:35. (average 0.8:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 7:16. (average 0.9:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia y Esgrima - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    16.04.2026 Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima 3:1
    22.01.2026 Boca Juniors - Gimnasia y Esgrima 3:1
    09.02.2025 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Boca Juniors 3:1
    22.01.2024 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Boca Juniors 0:3
    09.04.2023 Gimnasia y Esgrima - Boca Juniors 0:3
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Gimnasia Esgrima W (1)Ferro Carril Oeste W (8)2 : 0
    2Bell W (4)San Isidro W (5)1 : 2
    3Sonder Rosario W (2)San Lorenzo W (7)2 : 0
    4Boca Juniors W (3)Villa Dora W (6)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Gimnasia Esgrima W (1)San Isidro W (5)2 : 1
    2Sonder Rosario W (2)Boca Juniors W (3)0 : 2

    Final
    1Gimnasia Esgrima W (1)Boca Juniors W (3)0 : 2