Tigre vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Tigre - Boca Juniors
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
italyItalySport Italia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.37
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (255/322)88% (499/567)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.80
Total shots
159
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
816
Passes
79% (255/322)88% (499/567)
Long passes
41% (22/54)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
67% (68/101)71% (75/106)
Crosses
35% (6/17)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.81
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
168
Tackles
65% (11/17)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3456
Clearances
2514
Interceptions
163
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.801.06
Goals prevented
-0.190.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Moreno V. 🟨,
  • 14', Scipioni L. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Zenon K. , Miguel Merentiel (A),
  • 25', Paz N. 🟨,
  • 25', Velasco A. 🟨,
  • 30', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Scipioni L. , Laso J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Cabrera E. , Medina S. ,
  • 65', Saralegui J. , Lopez J. ,
  • 73', Ramirez E. , Russo I. ,
  • 73', Velasco A. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 74', Fertoli H. , Armoa B. ,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel , Janson L. ,
  • 79', Belmonte T. , Dalmasso S. ,
  • 90+2', Delgado M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tigre
28.7%
Draw
33%
Boca Juniors
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 31.1% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 30.4% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Tigre - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.51)
    2.87
    (3.03)
    2.51
    (2.23)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Tigre - Boca Juniors?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tigre is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Tigre: Besozzi L. (Inactive) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Protti I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Romero D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zalazar M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tigre: Banegas N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tigre - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 3:0
    05.02.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 0:2
    03.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 0:1
    28.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 1:0
    Latest results of Tigre
    22.04.2025 Tigre - Belgrano 0:0
    12.04.2025 Barracas Central - Tigre 1:0
    07.04.2025 Tigre - Newells Old Boys 0:2
    28.03.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Tigre 1:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Barracas Central63219:7211
    2Defensa y Justicia62316:429
    3Estudiantes L.P53027:619
    4Huracan53024:5-19
    5Union de Santa Fe52216:248
    6Belgrano52215:238
    7Tigre62226:608
    8Central Cordoba51405:417
    9Banfield52127:8-17
    10Boca Juniors51315:326
    11Newells Old Boys51315:506
    12Argentinos Jrs51222:3-15
    13Ind. Rivadavia61236:8-25
    14Racing Club51133:5-24
    15Aldosivi50321:5-43


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate532011:3811
    2Lanus53025:329
    3San Lorenzo52214:318
    4Velez Sarsfield52214:318
    5Rosario Central51403:217
    6Dep. Riestra52125:507
    7Gimnasia L.P52124:407
    8Atl. Tucuman51315:506
    9Sarmiento Junin51315:6-16
    10Platense51314:5-16
    11San Martin S.J51224:5-15
    12Talleres Cordoba51223:4-15
    13Instituto51222:9-75
    14Godoy Cruz50324:7-33
    15Independiente50234:7-32

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)