Boca Juniors vs Tigre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.46
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
88% (553/632)71% (146/206)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.57
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
147
Passes
88% (553/632)71% (146/206)
Long passes
61% (34/56)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
76% (119/157)56% (44/78)
Crosses
24% (4/17)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.27
Throw-ins
2310
Fouls
714
Tackles
67% (6/9)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3634
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.59
Goals prevented
0.57-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Romero D. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
  • 64', Cabrera E. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
  • 69', Oviedo A. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
  • 75', Herrera A. ↓, Cavani E. ↑,
  • 77', Medina S. 🟨,
  • 81', Medina S. ↓, Rivero S. G. ↑,
  • 81', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
  • 83', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 85', Carlos Palacios ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Cavani E. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Figal J. ↓, Mendia M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
60.3%		Draw
26.4%		Tigre
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 26.1% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25.7% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
    •

    Boca Juniors - Tigre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.58 ↑
    (1.57)    		 3.56 ↓
    (3.6)    		 6.95 ↑
    (6.6)    		 5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Tigre?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 38.6% – 79.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH 0 - Tigre (5.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tigre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
    • Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tigre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Ortega M. (Coach's decision) Saralegui J. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Tigre were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1
    19.10.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 3:0
    05.02.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 0:2
    03.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 0:1
    28.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    09.11.2025 Boca Juniors - River Plate 2:0 ✺
    02.11.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:2 ✺
    27.10.2025 Barracas Central - Boca Juniors 1:3 ✺
    18.10.2025 Boca Juniors - Belgrano 1:2 ✺
    05.10.2025 Boca Juniors - Newells Old Boys 5:0 ✺
    Latest results of Tigre
    09.11.2025 Tigre - Estudiantes La Plata 1:0 ✺
    03.11.2025 Belgrano - Tigre 0:0 ✺
    20.10.2025 Tigre - Barracas Central 2:2 ✺
    10.10.2025 Newells Old Boys - Tigre 1:1 ✺
    03.10.2025 Tigre - Defensa y Justicia 1:1 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1164112:6622
    2Defensa y Justicia1147015:8719
    3Lanus1053216:12418
    4Estudiantes L.P105329:5418
    5Talleres Cordoba1153312:10218
    6Boca Juniors1145213:7617
    7Union de Santa Fe1144316:12416
    8Independiente1135317:15214
    9Platense113536:7-114
    10San Lorenzo1034310:11-113
    11Central Cordoba103345:7-212
    12Instituto1132611:15-411
    13Gimnasia Mendoza112366:13-79
    14Dep. Riestra100642:6-46
    15Newells Old Boys111377:22-156


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia1172218:12623
    2River Plate1162314:9520
    3Belgrano1154212:9319
    4Racing Club1153315:10518
    5Rosario Central1153312:9318
    6Tigre1145216:10617
    7Barracas Central1043310:9115
    8Argentinos Jrs93516:4214
    9Gimnasia L.P1142513:15-214
    10Huracan103439:9013
    11Banfield1141612:13-113
    12Sarmiento Junin114168:11-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1123612:16-49
    14Aldosivi100553:11-85
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto111193:17-144

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

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