Boca Juniors vs Tigre – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
  • Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
germanyGermanySportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV2
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.46
Ball Possession
74%26%
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
88% (553/632)71% (146/206)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
1.150.46
xG on target (xGOT)
1.590.57
Total shots
1012
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
44
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
64
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
10
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
1912
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
147
Passes
88% (553/632)71% (146/206)
Long passes
61% (34/56)51% (21/41)
Passes in final third
76% (119/157)56% (44/78)
Crosses
24% (4/17)31% (4/13)
Expected assists (xA)
0.590.27
Throw-ins
2310
Fouls
714
Tackles
67% (6/9)81% (13/16)
Duels won
3634
Clearances
1329
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.571.59
Goals prevented
0.57-0.41

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 43', Lopez J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 63', Romero D. , Pineiro G. ,
  • 64', Cabrera E. , Oviedo A. ,
  • 69', Oviedo A. 🟨,
  • 73', 1 - 0, Costa A. , Paredes L. (A),
  • 75', Herrera A. , Cavani E. ,
  • 77', Medina S. 🟨,
  • 81', Medina S. , Rivero S. G. ,
  • 81', Lopez J. , Martinez B. ,
  • 83', Delgado M. 🟨,
  • 85', Carlos Palacios , Belmonte T. ,
  • 90+3', 2 - 0, Cavani E. (Pen),
  • 90+4', Figal J. , Mendia M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Boca Juniors
60.3%
Draw
26.4%
Tigre
13.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.7% 26.1% 14.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25.7% 14%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
  • Boca Juniors - Tigre Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.57)
    3.56
    (3.6)
    6.95
    (6.6)
    5.9%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Tigre?
  • Users Predictions: 22 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 38.6%79.6%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH 0 - Tigre (5.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tigre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
    • Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Tigre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Boca Juniors is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Muscle Injury) Fabra F. (Coach's decision) Velasco A. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N. (Knee Injury) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Gonzalez S. (Knee Injury) Marchese A. (Muscle Injury) Ortega M. (Coach's decision) Saralegui J. (Calf Injury)
    • We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Tigre were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Tigre - Boca Juniors 1:1
    19.10.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 3:0
    05.02.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 0:2
    03.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 0:1
    28.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 1:0
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Latest results of Tigre
    03.11.2025 Belgrano - Tigre 0:0
    20.10.2025 Tigre - Barracas Central 2:2
    10.10.2025 Newells Old Boys - Tigre 1:1
    03.10.2025 Tigre - Defensa y Justicia 1:1
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    2Velez Sarsfield1264214:9522
    3Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    4Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    5Defensa y Justicia1247115:10519
    6Lanus1254317:14319
    7Independiente1346319:16318
    8Talleres Cordoba1253412:11118
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba123366:15-912
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Sarmiento Junin1251610:12-216
    11Gimnasia L.P1242613:18-514
    12Banfield1241714:16-213
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)