Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Torneo Betano - Clausura - Round 16
- Referee: Herrera D. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | ESPN Premium |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
 Germany | Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Mexico | Disney+, Fanatiz |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Switzerland | Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN, Inter |
 World | TyC Sports Internacional |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.46 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 74% | 26% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (553/632) | 71% (146/206) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.46 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 0.57 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (553/632) | 71% (146/206) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (34/56) | 51% (21/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (119/157) | 56% (44/78) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (4/17) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.27 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (6/9) | 81% (13/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 34 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.57 | 1.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.57 | -0.41 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 43', Lopez J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', Romero D. ↓, Pineiro G. ↑,
- 64', Cabrera E. ↓, Oviedo A. ↑,
- 69', Oviedo A. 🟨,
- 73', 1 - 0, Costa A. ⚽, Paredes L. (A),
- 75', Herrera A. ↓, Cavani E. ↑,
- 77', Medina S. 🟨,
- 81', Medina S. ↓, Rivero S. G. ↑,
- 81', Lopez J. ↓, Martinez B. ↑,
- 83', Delgado M. 🟨,
- 85', Carlos Palacios ↓, Belmonte T. ↑,
- 90+3', 2 - 0, Cavani E. (Pen),
- 90+4', Figal J. ↓, Mendia M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Boca Juniors
60.3% | Draw
26.4% | Tigre
13.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)Tigre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
Boca Juniors - Tigre Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↑
(1.57) |
3.56 ↓
(3.6) |
6.95 ↑
(6.6) |
5.9%
(6.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Boca Juniors - Tigre?
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Boca Juniors will win (votes: 13 - 59.1%). Tigre will win (votes: 1 - 4.5%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Boca Juniors: 38.6% – 79.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 83.3%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Tigre (5.51) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tigre (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 5 - 71.4%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 2.
- Boca Juniors is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Tigre has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Boca Juniors is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R.
(Muscle Injury)
Fabra F.
(Coach's decision)
Velasco A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Tigre: Banegas N.
(Knee Injury)
Garay M.
(Knee Injury)
Gonzalez S.
(Knee Injury)
Marchese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Ortega M.
(Coach's decision)
Saralegui J.
(Calf Injury)
- We predict that Boca Juniors will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Boca Juniors won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 28:17. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Boca Juniors won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 21:8. (average 1.9:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Boca Juniors won against Tigre?
Boca Juniors has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tigre won against Boca Juniors?
Tigre has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boca Juniors - Tigre were as follows:
04.05.2025
Tigre
-
Boca Juniors
1:1
19.10.2024
Tigre
-
Boca Juniors
3:0
05.02.2024
Tigre
-
Boca Juniors
0:2
03.09.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Tigre
0:1
28.05.2023
Boca Juniors
-
Tigre
1:0
Latest results of Boca Juniors
Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
AperturaGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Velez Sarsfield | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 18 |
| 2 | Estudiantes L.P | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 7:3 | 4 | 15 |
| 3 | Union de Santa Fe | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 14 |
| 4 | Independiente | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 11:7 | 4 | 13 |
| 5 | Platense | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 13 |
| 6 | San Lorenzo | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 7 | Defensa y Justicia | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 12 |
| 8 | Talleres Cordoba | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 11 |
| 9 | Boca Juniors | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Lanus | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 9 |
| 11 | Instituto | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Central Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 3:6 | -3 | 8 |
| 13 | Gimnasia Mendoza | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 8 |
| 14 | Dep. Riestra | 8 | 0 | 5 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 | Newells Old Boys | 8 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5:16 | -11 | 2 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Ind. Rivadavia | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 17 |
| 2 | Tigre | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 15 |
| 3 | Belgrano | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 9:4 | 5 | 15 |
| 4 | Rosario Central | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 10:6 | 4 | 14 |
| 5 | River Plate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
| 6 | Gimnasia L.P | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:10 | -1 | 11 |
| 7 | Banfield | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Argentinos Jrs | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 9 | Barracas Central | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
| 10 | Huracan | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 9 |
| 11 | Racing Club | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 8:9 | -1 | 8 |
| 12 | Sarmiento Junin | 7 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 5:9 | -4 | 6 |
| 13 | Atl. Tucuman | 7 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Estudiantes Rio Cuarto | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3:11 | -8 | 4 |
| 15 | Aldosivi | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
