Tigre vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional Tigre - Boca Juniors
Result
1:1
04/05/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Torneo Betano - Apertura - Round 16
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaMax, TNT Sports
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaK-Ball
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 2, ESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
italyItalySport Italia, Sportitalia Plus
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 2 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.37
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
54
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Passes
79% (255/322)88% (499/567)
Yellow Cards
33
Expected Goals (xG)
1.370.37
xG on target (xGOT)
1.060.80
Total shots
159
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
62
Blocked Shots
43
Shots inside the Box
103
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
45
Touches in opposition box
2010
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
816
Passes
79% (255/322)88% (499/567)
Long passes
41% (22/54)57% (31/54)
Passes in final third
67% (68/101)71% (75/106)
Crosses
35% (6/17)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.770.81
Throw-ins
1520
Fouls
168
Tackles
65% (11/17)53% (8/15)
Duels won
3456
Clearances
2514
Interceptions
163
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
34
xGOT faced
0.801.06
Goals prevented
-0.190.06

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 4', Moreno V. 🟨,
  • 14', Scipioni L. 🟨,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Zenon K. , Miguel Merentiel (A),
  • 25', Paz N. 🟨,
  • 25', Velasco A. 🟨,
  • 30', Battaglia R. 🟨,
  • 45+3', 1 - 1, Scipioni L. , Laso J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 65', Cabrera E. , Medina S. ,
  • 65', Saralegui J. , Lopez J. ,
  • 73', Ramirez E. , Russo I. ,
  • 73', Velasco A. , Zeballos E. ,
  • 74', Fertoli H. , Armoa B. ,
  • 74', Miguel Merentiel , Janson L. ,
  • 79', Belmonte T. , Dalmasso S. ,
  • 90+2', Delgado M. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Tigre
28.7%
Draw
33%
Boca Juniors
38.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 31.1% 42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.2% 30.4% 43.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Tigre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
  • Boca Juniors has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tigre than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Boca Juniors than the current prediction. (+4.8%)
  • Tigre - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.25
    (3.51)
    2.87
    (3.03)
    2.51
    (2.23)
    5.5%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Tigre - Boca Juniors?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Boca Juniors (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Boca Juniors will win (4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • Tigre is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • Boca Juniors is Qualified for Torneo Betano (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Boca Juniors may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Tigre: Besozzi L. (Inactive) Garay M. (Knee Injury) Protti I. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Romero D. (Lacking Match Fitness) Zalazar M. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Alarcon Cepeda W. H. (Knee Injury) Cavani E. (Muscle Injury) Figal J. (Ankle Injury) Rey Domenech C. (Muscle Injury) Romero S. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Tigre: Banegas N. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Tigre won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 18:28. (average 0.9:1.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tigre won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Tigre - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    19.10.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 3:0
    05.02.2024 Tigre - Boca Juniors 0:2
    03.09.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 0:1
    28.05.2023 Boca Juniors - Tigre 1:0
    Latest results of Tigre
    22.04.2025 Tigre - Belgrano 0:0
    12.04.2025 Barracas Central - Tigre 1:0
    07.04.2025 Tigre - Newells Old Boys 0:2
    28.03.2025 Defensa y Justicia - Tigre 1:2
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Clausura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Central Cordoba1356216:10621
    2Estudiantes L.P1363415:13221
    3Union de Santa Fe1355319:13620
    4Defensa y Justicia1354413:13019
    5Argentinos Jrs1353515:10518
    6Belgrano1346313:10318
    7Barracas Central1246215:13218
    8Tigre1346313:11218
    9Racing Club1353514:13118
    10Boca Juniors1245319:10917
    11Banfield1352612:18-617
    12Huracan134456:11-516
    13Ind. Rivadavia1326511:14-312
    14Newells Old Boys1325611:21-1011
    15Aldosivi132385:15-109


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dep. Riestra1383218:9927
    2Rosario Central1376015:6927
    3Lanus1382315:9626
    4Velez Sarsfield1374219:91025
    5River Plate1363420:12821
    6San Lorenzo1354411:10119
    7San Martin S.J1345410:11-117
    8Atl. Tucuman1343614:15-115
    9Sarmiento Junin134369:14-515
    10Instituto133647:12-515
    11Talleres Cordoba133557:12-514
    12Gimnasia L.P134188:16-813
    13Platense1325611:20-911
    14Godoy Cruz131759:16-710
    15Independiente131669:13-49

          Promotion ~ Torneo Betano (Clausura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)