Estudiantes La Plata vs Boca Juniors – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Argentinian Liga Profesional
Result
2:1
28/01/2026 at 20:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 2
  • Referee: Echavarria P. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaESPN Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
israelIsraelSport 2
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoDisney+, Fanatiz
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 5 Norte
peruPeruDisney+, ESPN
portugalPortugalSport TV1
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 1
south-americaSouth-americaESPN South
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, ESPN, Inter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
2.251.03
Ball possession
33%67%
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
57
Passes
74% (172/233)85% (394/461)
Yellow cards
21
Expected goals (xG)
2.251.03
xG on target (xGOT)
2.950.52
Total shots
1210
Shots on target
73
Shots off target
32
Blocked shots
25
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
24
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
10
Big chances
51
Corner kicks
57
Touches in opposition box
1931
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
04
Free kicks
815
Passes
74% (172/233)85% (394/461)
Long passes
46% (22/48)67% (42/63)
Passes in final third
67% (45/67)71% (95/134)
Crosses
40% (6/15)13% (4/30)
Expected assists (xA)
1.161.01
Throw ins
1527
Fouls
158
Tackles
47% (9/19)67% (12/18)
Duels won
4948
Clearances
4216
Interceptions
58
Errors leading to shot
02
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
25
xGOT faced
0.522.95
Goals prevented
-0.480.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 28', 1 - 0, Nunez S. ⚽, Benedetti G. (A),
  • 39', 2 - 0, Gonzalez Pirez L. ⚽, Burgos J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Alarcon Cepeda W. H. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
  • 54', Perez Fabricio 🟨,
  • 54', Paredes L. 🟨,
  • 71', Benedetti G. 🟨,
  • 74', Belmonte T. ↓, Gelini G. ↑,
  • 75', Burgos J. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
  • 81', 2 - 1, Zeballos E. ⚽, Gelini G. (A),
  • 82', Piovi L. ↓, Castro A. ↑,
  • 82', Perez Fabricio ↓, Farias F. ↑,
  • 87', Zenon K. ↓, Aranda T. ↑,
  • 90', Medina C. ↓, Gabriel Neves ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Estudiantes La Plata
31.8%		Draw
34.4%		Boca Juniors
33.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.4% 32.1% 28.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Estudiantes La Plata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estudiantes La Plata's form might have worsened.
  • Boca Juniors has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Boca Juniors's recent form is better than expected.
    •

    Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.95 ↑
    (2.38)    		 2.72 ↓
    (2.92)    		 2.8 ↓
    (3.3)    		 6.4%
    (6.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Estudiantes will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Boca Juniors will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DNB - Boca Juniors (1.82) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH 0 - Estudiantes (1.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Estudiantes (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Boca Juniors (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 1.
    • Estudiantes has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Boca Juniors is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Boca Juniors may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Boca Juniors has had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Estudiantes: Alario L. (Illness) Arzamendia S. (Injury) Palacios T. (Injury) Palacios T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Boca Juniors: Battaglia R. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Carlos Palacios (Injury) Cavani E. (Back Injury) Gimenez M. (Thigh Injury) Miguel Merentiel (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Estudiantes: Muslera F. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Estudiantes won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 18:22. (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Estudiantes won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors were as follows:
    02.11.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:2
    19.04.2025 Boca Juniors - Estudiantes La Plata 2:0
    26.08.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 1:1
    30.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 2:1
    12.04.2024 Estudiantes La Plata - Boca Juniors 0:0
    Latest results of Estudiantes La Plata
    23.01.2026 Independiente - Estudiantes La Plata 1:1 ✺
    19.01.2026 Estudiantes La Plata - Ituzaingó 4:0 ✺
    20.12.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Platense 2:1
    13.12.2025 Racing - Estudiantes La Plata 1:2 ✺
    08.12.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Estudiantes La Plata 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Boca Juniors
    25.01.2026 Boca Juniors - Deportivo Riestra 1:0 ✺
    18.01.2026 Boca Juniors - Olimpia Asuncion 2:1
    14.01.2026 Boca Juniors - Millonarios 0:0
    07.12.2025 Boca Juniors - Racing 0:1 ✺
    30.11.2025 Boca Juniors - Argentinos Juniors 1:0 ✺
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Boca Juniors ✔ 1686222:91330
    2Estudiantes L.P. ✔ 1584317:71028
    3Velez Sarsfield ✔ 1576217:11627
    4Talleres Cordoba ✔ 1675417:13426
    5Independiente1666424:20424
    6Lanus ✔ 1666418:15324
    7San Lorenzo1657414:14022
    8Union de Santa Fe1656524:20421
    9Defensa y Justicia1547417:19-219
    10Instituto1553715:17-218
    11Platense1537510:13-316
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1544712:21-916
    13Central Cordoba1644811:21-1016
    14Newells Old Boys1535714:26-1214
    15Dep. Riestra161875:12-711


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 15103228:141433
    2River Plate ✔ 1592422:111129
    3Argentinos Jrs ✔ 1585217:11629
    4Rosario Central ✔ 1583419:15427
    5Belgrano1565413:13023
    6Gimnasia L.P1572617:19-223
    7Huracan1556417:13421
    8Barracas Central1656515:15021
    9Racing Club1555517:15220
    10Tigre1547417:14319
    11Sarmiento Junin1561813:16-319
    12Banfield1653817:19-218
    13Atl. Tucuman1525814:20-611
    14Aldosivi150785:18-137
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1512125:22-175

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Boca Juniors is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Estudiantes L.P. is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Velez Sarsfield is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Talleres Cordoba is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Lanus is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    River Plate is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Argentinos Jrs is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
    Rosario Central is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)
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