Result
2:1
26/08/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - Qualification - Final
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 2 |
Belarus | Okko Sport |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 1, Pickx+ Sports 1, RTL Club |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Claro TV+, HBO Max, Sky+, Space, Space, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 2 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6, Oneplay |
Denmark | TV3+, Viaplay |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
France | CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 1, Now Player |
Hungary | RTL+, Sport 1 |
Iceland | SÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Kazakhstan | Kazakhstan TV, Qazaqstan TV |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Sports 3, Canal+ Sport 1, Sooka |
Malta | TSN Malta 7 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Cinemax, HBO Max |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
North-central-america | ESPN Norte, RUSH Sports 2 Caribbean |
North-macedonia | TDM Desporto |
Norway | TV2 Play |
Peru | Disney+ |
Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Poland | CANAL+ 360 |
Portugal | DAZN 1, DAZN / App |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV |
Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-america | ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Prime 2 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport 6, Blue Sport D2, Blue Sport D2, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Turkey | TRT 1 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Sport |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 1 |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
World | Daystar Pacific |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/439) | 83% (345/415) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 1.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (379/439) | 83% (345/415) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (21/38) | 51% (24/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (85/113) | 65% (68/104) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 56% (14/25) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 16 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -0.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Jorgensen M. ⚽, Hauge J. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Jatta S. ⚽,
- 44', Lavalee D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Hauge J. ↓, Bassi D. ↑,
- 58', Kiteishvili O. ↓, Rozga F. ↑,
- 59', Jatta S. ↓, Grgic L. ↑,
- 62', Malic A. ↓, Oermann T. ↑,
- 63', Nielsen V. 🟨,
- 69', Saltnes U. ↓, Klynge A. ↑,
- 69', Jorgensen M. ↓, Riisnaes M. ↑,
- 73', 2 - 1, Oermann T. ⚽, Grgic L. (A),
- 77', Boving W. ↓, Beck J. ↑,
- 77', Horvat T. ↓, Hodl J. ↑,
- 77', Oermann T. 🟨,
- 87', Evjen H. ↓, Auklend S. ↑,
- 90+3', Sjovold F. ↓, Bro Hansen M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sturm Graz 38.8% | Draw 26% | Bodø Glimt 35.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sturm Graz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sturm Graz's performance.Bodø Glimt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Bodø Glimt might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturm Graz than the current prediction. (-10.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sturm Graz that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bodø Glimt than the current prediction. (+8.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Bodø Glimt could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.53 ↓ (3.33) |
3.7 ↑ (3.4) |
2.67 ↑ (2.24) |
4% (4.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt?
Users Predictions:
58 users predict this event. Sturm will win (votes: 31 - 53.4%). Bodø Glimt will win (votes: 18 - 31%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 15.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sturm: 40.6% – 66.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 22 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 15 - 68.2%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 4 - 18.2%). Tie (votes: 3 - 13.6%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- DC - Bodø Glimt (1.68) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Sturm (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 24 high ROI users predict this event. Sturm (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Bodø Glimt (votes: 5 - 20.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 1st leg result: 0-5. 2nd leg. Playing home matches at a different stadium.
- Sturm has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bodø Glimt is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Sturm: Borkovic A.
(Knee Injury)
Kayombo A.
(Ankle Injury)
Khudyakov D.
(Wrist Injury)
- There will not play in Bodø Glimt: Blomberg O.
(Thigh Injury)
Gundersen J.
(Thigh Injury)
Moe B.
(Back Injury)
- There are questionable in Bodø Glimt: Aleesami H.
(Injury)
Maatta I.
(Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sturm won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:5.
How many head-to-head matches has Sturm Graz won against Bodø Glimt?
Sturm Graz has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodø Glimt won against Sturm Graz?
Bodø Glimt has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sturm Graz - Bodø Glimt were as follows:
20.08.2025
Bodø Glimt
-
Sturm Graz
5:0
Latest results of Sturm Graz
Latest results of Bodø Glimt
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Monaco (21) | PSG (11) | 2 : 2, 2 : 3 |
| 2 | Chelsea (6) | Bye | |
| 3 | Galatasaray (20) | Juventus (13) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 4 | Liverpool (3) | Bye | |
| 5 | Benfica (24) | Real Madrid (9) | 1 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 6 | Manchester City (8) | Bye | |
| 7 | Dortmund (17) | Atalanta (15) | 1 : 4, 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayern Munich (2) | Bye | |
| 9 | Qarabag (22) | Newcastle (12) | 2 : 3, 1 : 6 |
| 10 | Barcelona (5) | Bye | |
| 11 | Club Brugge KV (19) | Atl. Madrid (14) | 1 : 4, 3 : 3 |
| 12 | Tottenham (4) | Bye | |
| 13 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Inter (10) | 2 : 1, 3 : 1 |
| 14 | Sporting CP (7) | Bye | |
| 15 | Olympiacos Piraeus (18) | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | 0 : 0, 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Arsenal (1) | Bye | |
1/8-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Chelsea (6) | 3 : 0, 5 : 2 |
| 2 | Galatasaray (20) | Liverpool (3) | 0 : 4, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Real Madrid (9) | Manchester City (8) | 2 : 1, 3 : 0 |
| 4 | Atalanta (15) | Bayern Munich (2) | 1 : 4, 1 : 6 |
| 5 | Newcastle (12) | Barcelona (5) | 2 : 7, 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Atl. Madrid (14) | Tottenham (4) | 2 : 3, 5 : 2 |
| 7 | Bodo/Glimt (23) | Sporting CP (7) | 0 : 5, 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Bayer Leverkusen (16) | Arsenal (1) | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | PSG (11) | Liverpool (3) | |
| 2 | Real Madrid (9) | Bayern Munich (2) | |
| 3 | Barcelona (5) | Atl. Madrid (14) | |
| 4 | Sporting CP (7) | Arsenal (1) | |
Semi-finalsFinal