Igdirspor vs Bodrumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:3
12/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 30
  • Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.711.50
Ball possession
62%38%
Total shots
157
Shots on target
74
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
100
Passes
79% (320/405)73% (194/264)
Yellow cards
43
Expected goals (xG)
1.711.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.401.45
Total shots
157
Shots on target
74
Shots off target
21
Blocked shots
62
Shots inside the box
96
Shots outside the box
61
Hit the woodwork
00
Headed goals
11
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
100
Touches in opposition box
3813
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
42
Free kicks
1614
Passes
79% (320/405)73% (194/264)
Long passes
51% (27/53)38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
71% (104/147)44% (27/61)
Crosses
19% (6/31)44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.59
Throw ins
3023
Fouls
1416
Tackles
81% (17/21)78% (14/18)
Duels won
6054
Clearances
1836
Interceptions
106
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
15
xGOT faced
1.452.40
Goals prevented
-1.550.40

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 17', Bruno G. 🟨,
  • 18', 0 - 1, Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 40', Tsunami 🟨,
  • 45+4', Selvi A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 50', Aslan A. 🟨,
  • 51', Bolat S. 🟨,
  • 54', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 56', 1 - 2, Aslan A. , Sen C. (A),
  • 60', Erdilman M. 🟨,
  • 60', Guneren A. K. , Ergul T. ,
  • 60', Engin A. , Fofana M. ,
  • 63', 1 - 3, Imeri O. , Aslan A. (A),
  • 70', Sen C. , Apaydin F. ,
  • 70', Imeri O. , Brazao P. ,
  • 70', Cankaya A. R. , Koita F. ,
  • 77', Selvi A. , Vural G. ,
  • 77', Loshaj F. , Kaya G. ,
  • 83', Erdilman M. , Bilsel E. ,
  • 85', Sertkaya Y. 🟨,
  • 90', Habesoglu A. , Osman H. ,
  • 90', Seferi T. , Potuk A. ,
  • 90+4', 2 - 3, Tsunami , Kaya G. (A),

Chances of winning


Igdirspor
46.3%
Draw
26.3%
Bodrumspor
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.4% 26.4% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7% 25.7% 25.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • Igdirspor - Bodrumspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.01
    (1.95)
    3.54
    (3.5)
    3.41
    (3.53)
    7.4%
    (8.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Bodrumspor?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 40%93.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Igdirspor (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
    • Igdirspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Bodrumspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, Igdirspor has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Igdirspor is the team to beat.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Bodrumspor were as follows:
    05.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 0:0
    26.10.2025 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 2:0
    Latest results of Igdirspor
    08.03.2026 Boluspor - Igdirspor 2:0
    05.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 0:0
    27.02.2026 İstanbulspor - Igdirspor 1:2
    21.02.2026 Igdirspor - Erokspor 0:3
    17.02.2026 Hatayspor - Igdirspor 0:2
    Latest results of Bodrumspor
    08.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Erokspor 3:4
    05.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 0:0
    28.02.2026 Hatayspor - Bodrumspor 1:3
    22.02.2026 Bodrumspor - Manisa FK 1:2
    19.02.2026 Vanspor - Bodrumspor 3:1
    Turkish First League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor32209374:235169
    2Amedspor32207568:323667
    3Erokspor32189573:304363
    4Corum32195853:341962
    5Bodrumspor32176967:353257
    6Pendikspor321412649:272254
    7Bandirmaspor321391042:33948
    8Keciorengucu321211963:402347
    9Sivasspor321211940:31947
    10Igdir FK321291140:44-445
    11Vanspor FK3211101142:35743
    12Manisa FK321271346:52-643
    13Boluspor321261450:44642
    14Umraniyespor321161538:41-339
    15Sariyer321161534:41-739
    16Istanbulspor AS329121138:48-1039
    17Serik Spor321051738:60-2235
    18Sakaryaspor32881641:56-1532
    19Hatayspor32072522:88-667
    20Adana Demirspor ✔ 32032917:141-124-57

          Promotion ~ Super Lig
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Adana Demirspor is Relegated to