Result
2:3
12/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 30
- Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.50 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/405) | 73% (194/264) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.71 | 1.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 1.45 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 13 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (320/405) | 73% (194/264) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 51% (27/53) | 38% (26/68) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 71% (104/147) | 44% (27/61) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 44% (4/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.59 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (17/21) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 54 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 36 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.45 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.55 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 17', Bruno G. 🟨,
- 18', 0 - 1, Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 40', Tsunami 🟨,
- 45+4', Selvi A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', Aslan A. 🟨,
- 51', Bolat S. 🟨,
- 54', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 56', 1 - 2, Aslan A. ⚽, Sen C. (A),
- 60', Erdilman M. 🟨,
- 60', Guneren A. K. ↓, Ergul T. ↑,
- 60', Engin A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
- 63', 1 - 3, Imeri O. ⚽, Aslan A. (A),
- 70', Sen C. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
- 70', Imeri O. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
- 70', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
- 77', Selvi A. ↓, Vural G. ↑,
- 77', Loshaj F. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
- 83', Erdilman M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
- 85', Sertkaya Y. 🟨,
- 90', Habesoglu A. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
- 90', Seferi T. ↓, Potuk A. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 3, Tsunami ⚽, Kaya G. (A),
Chances of winning
Igdirspor
46.3% | Draw
26.3% | Bodrumspor
27.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Igdirspor - Bodrumspor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.01 ↑
(1.95) |
3.54 ↑
(3.5) |
3.41 ↓
(3.53) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Bodrumspor?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 40% – 93.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Igdirspor (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
- Igdirspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Bodrumspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Igdirspor has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Igdirspor is the team to beat.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Bodrumspor?
Igdirspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Igdirspor?
Bodrumspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Bodrumspor were as follows:
05.03.2026
Bodrumspor
-
Igdirspor
0:0
26.10.2025
Bodrumspor
-
Igdirspor
2:0
Latest results of Igdirspor
Latest results of Bodrumspor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 34 | 22 | 9 | 3 | 77:24 | 53 | 75 |
| 2 | Amedspor | 34 | 21 | 8 | 5 | 75:34 | 41 | 71 |
| 3 | Erokspor | 34 | 19 | 10 | 5 | 77:32 | 45 | 67 |
| 4 | Corum | 35 | 19 | 7 | 9 | 55:37 | 18 | 64 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 69:36 | 33 | 62 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 35 | 15 | 13 | 7 | 54:31 | 23 | 58 |
| 7 | Keciorengucu | 35 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 67:40 | 27 | 54 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 43:33 | 10 | 53 |
| 9 | Sivasspor | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 43:35 | 8 | 50 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 35 | 14 | 7 | 14 | 50:54 | -4 | 49 |
| 11 | Igdir FK | 35 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 47:48 | -1 | 48 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 35 | 12 | 10 | 13 | 48:40 | 8 | 46 |
| 13 | Sariyer | 35 | 13 | 7 | 15 | 41:41 | 0 | 46 |
| 14 | Boluspor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 52:52 | 0 | 42 |
| 15 | Umraniyespor | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 40:42 | -2 | 42 |
| 16 | Istanbulspor AS | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 40:51 | -11 | 40 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 35 | 10 | 6 | 19 | 39:69 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 43:60 | -17 | 33 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 35 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 27:96 | -69 | 10 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 35 | 1 | 3 | 31 | 20:152 | -132 | -54 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
