Igdirspor vs Bodrumspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Iğdır Şehir Stadyumu (Iğdır).

1. Lig - Round 30
Referee: Kayatepe A. D. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.71	1.50
Ball possession
62%	38%
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
7	4
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
10	0
Passes
79% (320/405)	73% (194/264)
Yellow cards
4	3
Expected goals (xG)
1.71	1.50
xG on target (xGOT)
2.40	1.45
Total shots
15	7
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
2	1
Blocked shots
6	2
Shots inside the box
9	6
Shots outside the box
6	1
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
1	1
Big chances
1	2
Corner kicks
10	0
Touches in opposition box
38	13
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	2
Free kicks
16	14
Passes
79% (320/405)	73% (194/264)
Long passes
51% (27/53)	38% (26/68)
Passes in final third
71% (104/147)	44% (27/61)
Crosses
19% (6/31)	44% (4/9)
Expected assists (xA)
1.47	0.59
Throw ins
30	23
Fouls
14	16
Tackles
81% (17/21)	78% (14/18)
Duels won
60	54
Clearances
18	36
Interceptions
10	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.45	2.40
Goals prevented
-1.55	0.40

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Bruno G. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Seferi T. (Penalty Awarded),
40', Tsunami 🟨,
45+4', Selvi A. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 2)
50', Aslan A. 🟨,
51', Bolat S. 🟨,
54', 1 - 1, Bruno G. (Penalty Awarded),
56', 1 - 2, Aslan A. ⚽, Sen C. (A),
60', Erdilman M. 🟨,
60', Guneren A. K. ↓, Ergul T. ↑,
60', Engin A. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
63', 1 - 3, Imeri O. ⚽, Aslan A. (A),
70', Sen C. ↓, Apaydin F. ↑,
70', Imeri O. ↓, Brazao P. ↑,
70', Cankaya A. R. ↓, Koita F. ↑,
77', Selvi A. ↓, Vural G. ↑,
77', Loshaj F. ↓, Kaya G. ↑,
83', Erdilman M. ↓, Bilsel E. ↑,
85', Sertkaya Y. 🟨,
90', Habesoglu A. ↓, Osman H. ↑,
90', Seferi T. ↓, Potuk A. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 3, Tsunami ⚽, Kaya G. (A),

Chances of winning

Igdirspor
46.3%

Draw
26.3%

Bodrumspor
27.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.4%

26.4%

26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

25.7%

25.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Igdirspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Igdirspor than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Igdirspor - Bodrumspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↑ (1.95)	3.54 ↑ (3.5)	3.41 ↓ (3.53)	7.4% (8.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Igdirspor - Bodrumspor?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Igdirspor will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Bodrumspor will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Igdirspor: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Igdirspor (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Igdirspor (votes: 2 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals))
Igdirspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Bodrumspor has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Igdirspor has had a series of away games.
In this match, Igdirspor is the team to beat.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Igdirspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Igdirspor won against Bodrumspor?

Igdirspor has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bodrumspor won against Igdirspor?

Bodrumspor has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Igdirspor - Bodrumspor were as follows:

05.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 0:0

26.10.2025 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 2:0

Latest results of Igdirspor

08.03.2026 Boluspor - Igdirspor 2:0 ✺

05.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 0:0 ✺

27.02.2026 İstanbulspor - Igdirspor 1:2 ✺

21.02.2026 Igdirspor - Erokspor 0:3 ✺

17.02.2026 Hatayspor - Igdirspor 0:2 ✺

Latest results of Bodrumspor

08.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Erokspor 3:4 ✺

05.03.2026 Bodrumspor - Igdirspor 0:0 ✺

28.02.2026 Hatayspor - Bodrumspor 1:3 ✺

22.02.2026 Bodrumspor - Manisa FK 1:2 ✺

19.02.2026 Vanspor - Bodrumspor 3:1 ✺

Turkish First League Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	38	23	12	3	82:27	55	81
2	Amedspor	38	21	11	6	81:42	39	74
3	Erokspor	38	21	11	6	81:35	46	74
4	Corum	38	21	8	9	63:39	24	71
5	Bodrumspor	38	18	10	10	71:39	32	64
6	Pendikspor	38	16	15	7	58:33	25	63
7	Keciorengucu	38	16	12	10	73:43	30	60
8	Bandirmaspor	38	16	12	10	47:34	13	60
9	Manisa FK	38	16	7	15	57:56	1	55
10	Sivasspor	38	14	11	13	47:43	4	53
11	Istanbulspor AS	38	13	13	12	57:55	2	52
12	Sariyer	38	15	7	16	44:44	0	52
13	Igdir FK	38	13	11	14	52:54	-2	50
14	Vanspor FK	38	13	10	15	52:47	5	49
15	Boluspor	38	14	6	18	61:57	4	48
16	Umraniyespor	38	13	7	18	47:51	-4	46
17	Serik Spor	38	11	6	21	44:75	-31	39
18	Sakaryaspor	38	8	10	20	45:72	-27	34
19	Hatayspor	38	2	8	28	33:102	-69	14
20	Adana Demirspor	38	1	3	34	22:169	-147	-54

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation