Bodrumspor vs Samsunspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Turkish Super League Bodrumspor - Samsunspor
Result
1:2
26/04/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Super Lig - Round 33
  • Referee: Kol Y. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.02
Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
226
Shots on target
64
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
96
Passes
74% (267/360)74% (239/322)
Yellow Cards
25
Expected Goals (xG)
1.631.02
xG on target (xGOT)
0.982.57
Total shots
226
Shots on target
64
Shots off target
72
Blocked Shots
90
Shots inside the Box
185
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
96
Touches in opposition box
519
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
2010
Passes
74% (267/360)74% (239/322)
Long passes
42% (22/53)29% (22/75)
Passes in final third
64% (102/159)62% (57/92)
Crosses
28% (8/29)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.85
Throw-ins
2718
Fouls
1020
Tackles
43% (3/7)50% (10/20)
Duels won
5548
Clearances
1756
Interceptions
1210
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
25
xGOT faced
2.570.98
Goals prevented
0.57-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Aslan A. , Bardhi E. (A),
  • 10', 1 - 1, Ntcham O. (Pen),
  • 38', 1 - 2, Dimata L. , Satka L. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 60', Okita J. , Mohammed M. ,
  • 60', Seferi T. , Puscas G. ,
  • 60', Ergun U. , Bilsel E. ,
  • 69', Bola M. , Gonul S. ,
  • 69', Yavru Z. , Yuksel C. ,
  • 75', Ntcham O. 🟨,
  • 76', Aslan A. , Bayrakdar G. ,
  • 79', Kocuk O. 🟨,
  • 79', Cift Y. E. , Marius ,
  • 80', Ajeti Ar. 🟨,
  • 81', Van Drongelen R. 🟨,
  • 88', Holse C. 🟨,
  • 88', Kilinc E. , Muja A. ,
  • 88', Antalyali T. , Dumanli C. ,
  • 90+14', Fredy 🟨,
  • 90+16', 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Bodrumspor
39.4%
Draw
31.6%
Samsunspor
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
31.4% 26.2% 42.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.7% 26% 42%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bodrumspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bodrumspor's performance.
  • Samsunspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samsunspor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bodrumspor than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bodrumspor that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samsunspor than the current prediction. (+13%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samsunspor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Bodrumspor - Samsunspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (3.04)
    2.97
    (3.65)
    3.27
    (2.25)
    5.8%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Bodrumspor - Samsunspor?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Bodrumspor will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Samsunspor will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Samsunspor (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • Bodrumspor is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Samsunspor has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Bodrumspor could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bodrumspor will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Bodrumspor: Osman H. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Bodrumspor: Mohammed M. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Samsunspor: Ait Bennasser Y. (Injury) Yuksel C. (Injury)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Bodrumspor won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 2:9 (average 0.4:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Bodrumspor won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:2 (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bodrumspor - Samsunspor were as follows:
    30.11.2024 Samsunspor - Bodrumspor 4:0
    16.05.2023 Samsunspor - Bodrumspor 0:1
    17.12.2022 Bodrumspor - Samsunspor 0:0
    Latest results of Bodrumspor
    18.04.2025 Galatasaray - Bodrumspor 2:0
    12.04.2025 Bodrumspor - Antalyaspor 0:0
    06.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Bodrumspor 0:1
    02.04.2025 Trabzonspor - Bodrumspor 3:2
    28.03.2025 Bodrumspor - Fenerbahçe 2:4
    Latest results of Samsunspor
    21.04.2025 Alanyaspor - Samsunspor 1:0
    11.04.2025 Samsunspor - Galatasaray 0:2
    05.04.2025 Antalyaspor - Samsunspor 2:1
    29.03.2025 Samsunspor - Kasımpaşa 0:2
    Turkish Super League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goztepe32105:057
    2Konyaspor22007:166
    3Galatasaray22006:066
    4Antalyaspor22003:126
    5Samsunspor22003:126
    6Trabzonspor22002:026
    7Besiktas11002:113
    8Kayserispor10101:101
    9Basaksehir10101:101
    10Alanyaspor10100:001
    11Fenerbahce10100:001
    12Rizespor20110:3-31
    13Genclerbirligi20021:3-20
    14Kasimpasa20021:3-20
    15Kocaelispor20020:2-20
    16Eyupspor20022:6-40
    17Karagumruk20020:5-50
    18Gaziantep20020:6-60

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ 1. Lig