Result
2:0
13/04/2026 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera B - Apertura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Castillo D. ⚽,
- 45+3', Ruiz A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Martinez E. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
- 55', Gomez L. 🟨,
- 55', Villareal A. ↓, Valoyes Y. ↑,
- 55', Ruiz A. ↓, Zarante ↑,
- 62', Sandoval Lasso H. ↓, Castro B. ↑,
- 67', Canizalez S. 🟨,
- 74', Perez J. ↓, Alfonso A. ↑,
- 74', Girado S. ↓, Aragon A. ↑,
- 84', Salinas J. 🟨,
- 86', Castillo D. ↓, Medina M. ↑,
- 86', Sanchez J. ↓, Cuero B. ↑,
- 89', Aguilar A. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 0, Castro B. ⚽,
- 90+4', Moreno F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Bogotá
55.6% | Draw
26.5% | Orsomarso
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bogotá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bogotá's performance.Orsomarso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Orsomarso might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bogotá than the current prediction. (-14.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bogotá that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orsomarso than the current prediction. (+10.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Orsomarso could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Bogotá - Orsomarso Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↓
(2.26) |
3.52 ↑
(2.96) |
5.24 ↑
(3.17) |
7.1%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Bogotá - Orsomarso?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Bogotá will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogotá (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Bogotá (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Bogotá (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 9 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 0.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Bogotá could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Bogotá won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 28:25. (average 1.5:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bogotá won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:10. (average 2.2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bogotá won against Orsomarso?
Bogotá has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orsomarso won against Bogotá?
Orsomarso has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bogotá - Orsomarso were as follows:
15.07.2025
Orsomarso
-
Bogotá
1:1
01.02.2025
Bogotá
-
Orsomarso
2:2
22.10.2024
Bogotá
-
Orsomarso
2:3
12.05.2024
Orsomarso
-
Bogotá
2:0
25.09.2023
Orsomarso
-
Bogotá
2:0
Latest results of Orsomarso
Colombian Primera B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Inter Palmira ✔ | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 27:12 | 15 | 35 |
| 2 | U. Magdalena ✔ | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 24:14 | 10 | 29 |
| 3 | Quindio ✔ | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 28 |
| 4 | Cartagena ✔ | 14 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 22:12 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Envigado ✔ | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 26 |
| 6 | Tigres | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 20 |
| 7 | Bogota | 14 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14:13 | 1 | 20 |
| 8 | Ind. Yumbo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Barranquilla | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 18:19 | -1 | 17 |
| 10 | Patriotas | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 13:15 | -2 | 17 |
| 11 | Orsomarso | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 13:17 | -4 | 16 |
| 12 | Boca Juniors | 14 | 2 | 7 | 5 | 14:18 | -4 | 13 |
| 13 | Real Cundinamarca | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 13:18 | -5 | 12 |
| 14 | Atletico F.C | 14 | 1 | 6 | 7 | 11:20 | -9 | 9 |
| 15 | Leones | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8:24 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Real Santander | 14 | 1 | 4 | 9 | 8:21 | -13 | 7 |
Promotion ~ Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Inter Palmira is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
U. Magdalena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Quindio is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Cartagena is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
Envigado is Qualified for Primera B (Apertura ~ Quadrangular )
