Guabirá vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian Division Profesional Guabirá - Bolívar
Result
2:4
20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Division Profesional - Round 4
  • Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.693.27
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
820
Shots on target
211
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
65% (116/179)87% (340/392)
Yellow Cards
40
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
0.693.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.814.83
Total shots
820
Shots on target
211
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
615
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
04
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1730
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
1512
Passes
65% (116/179)87% (340/392)
Long passes
35% (17/48)73% (44/60)
Passes in final third
53% (30/57)80% (102/128)
Crosses
31% (4/13)27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.472.95
Fouls
1215
Tackles
89% (8/9)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3128
Clearances Total
2318
Interceptions
20
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
70
xGOT faced
4.830.81
Goals prevented
0.83-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', Saucedo O. 🟨,
  • 34', Montero R. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 0, Rafinha , Gatti F. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 4)
  • 46', Velasquez J. , Freita E. ,
  • 46', Veloso F. , Peredo G. ,
  • 46', Barco C. , Vaca G. ,
  • 46', Rocha Y. , Pato Rodriguez ,
  • 46', Saucedo O. , Baigorria Y. ,
  • 50', Sagredo J. , Paz L. ,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ,
  • 63', 1 - 2, Justiniano L. , Vaca R. (A),
  • 68', Thiago Ribeiro , Arano C. P. ,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Rafinha ,
  • 74', Gatti F. 🟨,
  • 78', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 80', Romero D. , Fabio Gomes ,
  • 80', Quinteros J. , Saavedra E. ,
  • 81', Rafinha , Masskooni N. ,
  • 87', 2 - 3, Fabio Gomes , Melgar C. A. (A),
  • 89', 2 - 4, Pato Rodriguez , Velasquez J. (A),

Chances of winning


Guabirá
27.1%
Draw
22.9%
Bolívar
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.5% 25.9% 40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2% 24.9% 42.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.
  • Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Guabirá - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.43
    (2.77)
    4.02
    (3.58)
    1.85
    (2.29)
    8%
    (7.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 1.
    • Guabirá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Bolívar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Bolívar will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 22:53 (average 1.1:2.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Bolívar were as follows:
    20.12.2024 Bolívar - Guabirá 3:2
    22.09.2024 Guabirá - Bolívar 0:3
    08.07.2023 Bolívar - Guabirá 3:1
    05.02.2023 Guabirá - Bolívar 1:2
    19.10.2022 Guabirá - Bolívar 2:1
    Latest results of Guabirá
    04.04.2025 Guabirá - Aurora 5:2
    01.03.2025 Always Ready - Guabirá 5:0
    26.02.2025 Guabirá - Always Ready 1:3
    Latest results of Bolívar
    05.04.2025 Real Tomayapo - Bolívar 2:1
    01.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Bolívar 4:2
    28.03.2025 Bolívar - Real Oruro 3:1
    Bolivian Division Profesional Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Always Ready15104149:202934
    2The Strongest15111344:271734
    3Blooming1484231:211028
    4Bolivar1483334:161827
    5GV San Jose1572623:26-323
    6SA Bulo Bulo1446423:25-218
    7Academia del Balompie1446417:22-518
    8Universitario de Vinto1445520:22-217
    9Guabira1544726:32-616
    10Oriente Petrolero1444621:29-816
    11Nacional Potosi1335516:16014
    12Real Oruro1535720:26-614
    13Tomayapo1528515:24-914
    14Independiente1426618:31-1312
    15Wilstermann15131111:33-226
    16Aurora1454526:242-14

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
          Division Profesional (Relegation)
          Relegation