Result
2:4
20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 4
- Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 3.27 |
Ball Possession |
---|
32% | 68% |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 11 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Passes |
---|
65% (116/179) | 87% (340/392) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 0 |
Red Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
0.69 | 3.27 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.81 | 4.83 |
Total shots |
---|
8 | 20 |
Shots on target |
---|
2 | 11 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 3 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
6 | 15 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Headed Goals |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
0 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 7 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
17 | 30 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
15 | 12 |
Passes |
---|
65% (116/179) | 87% (340/392) |
Long passes |
---|
35% (17/48) | 73% (44/60) |
Passes in final third |
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53% (30/57) | 80% (102/128) |
Crosses |
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31% (4/13) | 27% (6/22) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.47 | 2.95 |
Fouls |
---|
12 | 15 |
Tackles |
---|
89% (8/9) | 88% (7/8) |
Duels won |
---|
31 | 28 |
Clearances Total |
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23 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
2 | 0 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
7 | 0 |
xGOT faced |
---|
4.83 | 0.81 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.83 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Saucedo O. 🟨,
- 34', Montero R. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rafinha ⚽, Gatti F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Velasquez J. ↓, Freita E. ↑,
- 46', Veloso F. ↓, Peredo G. ↑,
- 46', Barco C. ↓, Vaca G. ↑,
- 46', Rocha Y. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 46', Saucedo O. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
- 50', Sagredo J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Justiniano L. ⚽, Vaca R. (A),
- 68', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Rafinha ⚽,
- 74', Gatti F. 🟨,
- 78', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 80', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 80', Quinteros J. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 81', Rafinha ↓, Masskooni N. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
- 89', 2 - 4, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
Chances of winning
Guabirá 27.1% | Draw 22.9% | Bolívar 50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guabirá - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.43 ↑ (2.77) |
4.02 ↑ (3.58) |
1.85 ↓ (2.29) |
8% (7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 1.
- Guabirá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Bolívar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bolívar will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 22:53 (average 1.1:2.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Bolívar?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Guabirá?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Bolívar were as follows:
20.12.2024
Bolívar
-
Guabirá
3:2
22.09.2024
Guabirá
-
Bolívar
0:3
08.07.2023
Bolívar
-
Guabirá
3:1
05.02.2023
Guabirá
-
Bolívar
1:2
19.10.2022
Guabirá
-
Bolívar
2:1
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Always Ready | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 49:20 | 29 | 34 |
2 | The Strongest | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 44:27 | 17 | 34 |
3 | Blooming | 14 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 31:21 | 10 | 28 |
4 | Bolivar | 14 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 34:16 | 18 | 27 |
5 | GV San Jose | 15 | 7 | 2 | 6 | 23:26 | -3 | 23 |
6 | SA Bulo Bulo | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 23:25 | -2 | 18 |
7 | Academia del Balompie | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 17:22 | -5 | 18 |
8 | Universitario de Vinto | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 20:22 | -2 | 17 |
9 | Guabira | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 26:32 | -6 | 16 |
10 | Oriente Petrolero | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 21:29 | -8 | 16 |
11 | Nacional Potosi | 13 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 16:16 | 0 | 14 |
12 | Real Oruro | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:26 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Tomayapo | 15 | 2 | 8 | 5 | 15:24 | -9 | 14 |
14 | Independiente | 14 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 18:31 | -13 | 12 |
15 | Wilstermann | 15 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 11:33 | -22 | 6 |
16 | Aurora | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 26:24 | 2 | -14 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation