Result
2:4
20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Division Profesional - Round 4
- Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 3.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (116/179) | 87% (340/392) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.69 | 3.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 4.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 11 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 65% (116/179) | 87% (340/392) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (17/48) | 73% (44/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 80% (102/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (4/13) | 27% (6/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.95 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 88% (7/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 4.83 | 0.81 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.83 | -1.19 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 18', Saucedo O. 🟨,
- 34', Montero R. 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 0, Rafinha ⚽, Gatti F. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 4)
- 46', Velasquez J. ↓, Freita E. ↑,
- 46', Veloso F. ↓, Peredo G. ↑,
- 46', Barco C. ↓, Vaca G. ↑,
- 46', Rocha Y. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 46', Saucedo O. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
- 50', Sagredo J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽,
- 63', 1 - 2, Justiniano L. ⚽, Vaca R. (A),
- 68', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
- 68', 2 - 2, Rafinha ⚽,
- 74', Gatti F. 🟨,
- 78', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 80', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
- 80', Quinteros J. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 81', Rafinha ↓, Masskooni N. ↑,
- 87', 2 - 3, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
- 89', 2 - 4, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),
Chances of winning
Guabirá
27.1% | Draw
22.9% | Bolívar
50.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Guabirá - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.43 ↑
(2.77) |
4.02 ↑
(3.58) |
1.85 ↓
(2.29) |
8%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
Preview Facts
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 1.
- Guabirá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Recent matches Bolívar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Bolívar will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 22:53 (average 1.1:2.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Bolívar?
Guabirá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Guabirá?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Bolívar were as follows:
20.12.2024
Bolívar
-
Guabirá
3:2
22.09.2024
Guabirá
-
Bolívar
0:3
08.07.2023
Bolívar
-
Guabirá
3:1
05.02.2023
Guabirá
-
Bolívar
1:2
19.10.2022
Guabirá
-
Bolívar
2:1
Latest results of Guabirá
Latest results of Bolívar
Bolivian Division Profesional Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | The Strongest | 18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | 51:30 | 21 | 43 |
| 2 | Always Ready | 18 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 52:21 | 31 | 40 |
| 3 | Bolivar | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 43:21 | 22 | 34 |
| 4 | Blooming | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 36:28 | 8 | 34 |
| 5 | GV San Jose | 18 | 8 | 2 | 8 | 27:31 | -4 | 26 |
| 6 | Guabira | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:32 | 0 | 25 |
| 7 | SA Bulo Bulo | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 31:28 | 3 | 24 |
| 8 | Independiente | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 27:38 | -11 | 21 |
| 9 | Nacional Potosi | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 25:22 | 3 | 20 |
| 10 | Real Oruro | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 28:32 | -4 | 20 |
| 11 | Universitario de Vinto | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 23:32 | -9 | 20 |
| 12 | Tomayapo | 18 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 19:31 | -12 | 20 |
| 13 | Oriente Petrolero | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 26:37 | -11 | 19 |
| 14 | Academia del Balompie | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 20:32 | -12 | 18 |
| 15 | Wilstermann | 18 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 14:40 | -26 | 7 |
| 16 | Aurora | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32:31 | 1 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
Division Profesional (Relegation)
Relegation
