Guabirá vs Bolívar: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

20/04/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio Gilberto Parada (Montero).

: Division Profesional - Round 4
Referee: Aleman C. (Bol)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	3.27
Ball Possession
32%	68%
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
2	11
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
65% (116/179)	87% (340/392)
Yellow Cards
4	0
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
0.69	3.27
xG on target (xGOT)
0.81	4.83
Total shots
8	20
Shots on target
2	11
Shots off target
3	6
Blocked Shots
3	3
Shots inside the Box
6	15
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	1
Headed Goals
0	1
Big Chances
0	4
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
17	30
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
15	12
Passes
65% (116/179)	87% (340/392)
Long passes
35% (17/48)	73% (44/60)
Passes in final third
53% (30/57)	80% (102/128)
Crosses
31% (4/13)	27% (6/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.47	2.95
Fouls
12	15
Tackles
89% (8/9)	88% (7/8)
Duels won
31	28
Clearances Total
23	18
Interceptions
2	0
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
7	0
xGOT faced
4.83	0.81
Goals prevented
0.83	-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
18', Saucedo O. 🟨,
34', Montero R. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Rafinha ⚽, Gatti F. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Velasquez J. ↓, Freita E. ↑,
46', Veloso F. ↓, Peredo G. ↑,
46', Barco C. ↓, Vaca G. ↑,
46', Rocha Y. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
46', Saucedo O. ↓, Baigorria Y. ↑,
50', Sagredo J. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Velasquez J. ⚽,
63', 1 - 2, Justiniano L. ⚽, Vaca R. (A),
68', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Arano C. P. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Rafinha ⚽,
74', Gatti F. 🟨,
78', Moreno A. 🟨,
80', Romero D. ↓, Fabio Gomes ↑,
80', Quinteros J. ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
81', Rafinha ↓, Masskooni N. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Fabio Gomes ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
89', 2 - 4, Pato Rodriguez ⚽, Velasquez J. (A),

Chances of winning

Guabirá
27.1%

Draw
22.9%

Bolívar
50.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.5%

25.9%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

24.9%

42.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guabirá's form might have worsened.

Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bolívar's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+5.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guabirá, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bolívar, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guabirá - Bolívar Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↑ (2.77)	4.02 ↑ (3.58)	1.85 ↓ (2.29)	8% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

Preview Facts

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 1.
Guabirá is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Bolívar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Bolívar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Bolívar will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 20 head-to-head matches Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 14 matches and goals 22:53 (average 1.1:2.7).
Including matches at home between the teams Guabirá won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 17:15 (average 1.7:1.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Guabirá won against Bolívar?

Guabirá has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Guabirá?

Bolívar has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Guabirá - Bolívar were as follows:

20.12.2024 Bolívar - Guabirá 3:2

22.09.2024 Guabirá - Bolívar 0:3

08.07.2023 Bolívar - Guabirá 3:1

05.02.2023 Guabirá - Bolívar 1:2

19.10.2022 Guabirá - Bolívar 2:1

Latest results of Guabirá

14.04.2025 Nacional Potosí - Guabirá 3:0 ✺

04.04.2025 Guabirá - Aurora 5:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Universitario de Vinto - Guabirá 4:2 ✺

01.03.2025 Always Ready - Guabirá 5:0 ✺

26.02.2025 Guabirá - Always Ready 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Bolívar

12.04.2025 Bolívar - Jorge Wilstermann 5:1 ✺

09.04.2025 Bolívar - Sporting Cristal 3:0 ✺

05.04.2025 Real Tomayapo - Bolívar 2:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Cerro Porteño - Bolívar 4:2 ✺

28.03.2025 Bolívar - Real Oruro 3:1 ✺

Bolivian Division Profesional Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Always Ready	12	8	4	0	37:13	24	28
2	The Strongest	12	9	1	2	34:19	15	28
3	Blooming	12	6	4	2	25:18	7	22
4	Bolivar	12	6	3	3	29:16	13	21
5	GV San Jose	12	5	2	5	16:20	-4	17
6	Oriente Petrolero	11	4	3	4	17:20	-3	15
7	SA Bulo Bulo	12	3	5	4	20:24	-4	14
8	Tomayapo	12	2	7	3	14:16	-2	13
9	Universitario de Vinto	11	3	4	4	14:19	-5	13
10	Academia del Balompie	11	3	4	4	10:16	-6	13
11	Guabira	12	3	3	6	19:29	-10	12
12	Real Oruro	12	2	5	5	15:18	-3	11
13	Independiente	11	2	5	4	17:21	-4	11
14	Nacional Potosi	10	2	4	4	11:11	0	10
15	Wilstermann	12	1	2	9	8:28	-20	5
16	Aurora	12	4	4	4	23:21	2	-17

      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
      Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Qualification: )
      Division Profesional (Relegation)
      Relegation

Which TV channels are streaming of Guabirá - Bolívar?

It is being streamed on channel


Bolivia	Futbol Canal