Result
0:3
24/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Pacena - Round 11
- Referee: Villarroel L. (Bol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bolivia | Futbol Canal |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 37% | 63% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (245/307) | 88% (463/525) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 1.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.03 | 1.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 12 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 13 | 26 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 16 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (245/307) | 88% (463/525) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 48% (30/62) | 62% (37/60) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 57% (46/80) | 77% (144/187) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (3/9) | 21% (4/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.81 | 1.44 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.03 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.58 | 0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 36', Sagredo J. 🟨,
- 37', Thomaz 🟨,
- 42', 0 - 1, Justiniano L. ⚽, Melgar C. A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 62', Robson Matheus ↓, Saavedra E. ↑,
- 62', Romero D. ↓, Paz L. ↑,
- 62', Melgar C. A. ↓, Pato Rodriguez ↑,
- 62', Martinez Y. ↓, Soleto W. ↑,
- 62', Medina A. ↓, Cristaldo G. ↑,
- 74', 0 - 2, Rivero E. ⚽, Catano D. (A),
- 78', Batallini D. ↓, Velasquez J. ↑,
- 84', 0 - 3, Catano D. ⚽,
- 85', Willie ↓, Arteaga N. ↑,
- 85', Mercado A. ↓, Aguilera D. ↑,
- 85', Catano D. ↓, Mendez B. ↑,
- 86', Saavedra E. 🟨,
- 87', Arteaga N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Independiente Petroleros
17.8% | Draw
20.2% | Bolívar
61.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.16 ↓
(5.55) |
4.55 ↑
(4.1) |
1.49 ↑
(1.48) |
8.7%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
- Ind Petroleros has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bolívar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Bolívar is considered a favorite.
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.9:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Independiente Petroleros won against Bolívar?
Independiente Petroleros has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Independiente Petroleros?
Bolívar has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar were as follows:
04.10.2025
Bolívar
-
Independiente Petroleros
2:3
07.07.2025
Bolívar
-
Independiente Petroleros
4:0
25.09.2024
Bolívar
-
Independiente Petroleros
3:0
12.05.2024
Independiente Petroleros
-
Bolívar
0:1
11.11.2023
Bolívar
-
Independiente Petroleros
5:1
Latest results of Independiente Petroleros
Latest results of Bolívar
