Independiente Petroleros vs Bolívar – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Bolivian League Cup Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar
Result
0:3
24/10/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Pacena - Round 11
  • Referee: Villarroel L. (Bol)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
boliviaBoliviaFutbol Canal

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.40
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
16
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Passes
80% (245/307)88% (463/525)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.081.40
xG on target (xGOT)
0.031.42
Total shots
1118
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
79
Blocked Shots
33
Shots inside the Box
612
Shots outside the Box
56
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
38
Touches in opposition box
1326
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
168
Passes
80% (245/307)88% (463/525)
Long passes
48% (30/62)62% (37/60)
Passes in final third
57% (46/80)77% (144/187)
Crosses
33% (3/9)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.811.44
Throw-ins
1217
Fouls
816
Tackles
60% (6/10)71% (10/14)
Duels won
3337
Clearances
1912
Interceptions
46
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
31
xGOT faced
1.420.03
Goals prevented
-0.580.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 36', Sagredo J. 🟨,
  • 37', Thomaz 🟨,
  • 42', 0 - 1, Justiniano L. , Melgar C. A. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 62', Robson Matheus , Saavedra E. ,
  • 62', Romero D. , Paz L. ,
  • 62', Melgar C. A. , Pato Rodriguez ,
  • 62', Martinez Y. , Soleto W. ,
  • 62', Medina A. , Cristaldo G. ,
  • 74', 0 - 2, Rivero E. , Catano D. (A),
  • 78', Batallini D. , Velasquez J. ,
  • 84', 0 - 3, Catano D. ,
  • 85', Willie , Arteaga N. ,
  • 85', Mercado A. , Aguilera D. ,
  • 85', Catano D. , Mendez B. ,
  • 86', Saavedra E. 🟨,
  • 87', Arteaga N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Independiente Petroleros
17.8%
Draw
20.2%
Bolívar
61.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
16.4% 22.2% 61.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.2% 22% 62%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Independiente Petroleros has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
  • Bolívar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independiente Petroleros than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
  • Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    5.16
    (5.55)
    4.55
    (4.1)
    1.49
    (1.48)
    8.7%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 1.
    • Ind Petroleros has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bolívar is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Bolívar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Bolívar has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, Bolívar is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Ind Petroleros won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 11:25. (average 0.9:2.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Ind Petroleros won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:7. (average 1.2:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar were as follows:
    04.10.2025 Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros 2:3
    07.07.2025 Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros 4:0
    25.09.2024 Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros 3:0
    12.05.2024 Independiente Petroleros - Bolívar 0:1
    11.11.2023 Bolívar - Independiente Petroleros 5:1
    Latest results of Bolívar