Result
1:1
08/05/2024 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Perez Y. (Arg)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.71 | 0.85 |
Ball Possession |
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42% | 58% |
Goal Attempts |
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22 | 8 |
Shots on Goal |
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11 | 5 |
Shots off Goal |
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11 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 16 |
Corner Kicks |
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3 | 6 |
Offsides |
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2 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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27 | 19 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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4 | 10 |
Fouls |
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12 | 13 |
Yellow Cards |
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4 | 4 |
Attacks |
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90 | 90 |
Dangerous Attacks |
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33 | 34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 25', Sagredo J. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
- 34', Rodriguez P. 🟨,
- 40', Castro L. ↓, Giordana S. ↑,
- 43', 1 - 0, Llinas A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Vega S. ↓, Giraldo D. ↑,
- 61', Giraldo D. 🟨,
- 65', Navarro S. ↓, Rosales R. ↑,
- 66', Rosales R. 🟨,
- 67', 1 - 1, Vaca R. ⚽,
- 76', Rodriguez P. ↓, Algaranaz C. ↑,
- 76', Vaca H. ↓, Chavez Cruz L. L. ↑,
- 81', Giraldo D. ↓, Quinones Y. ↑,
- 81', Bruno Savio 🟨,
- 81', Rodriguez E. ↓, Campaz Sandoval B. S. ↑,
- 84', Giordana S. 🟨,
- 89', Bruno Savio ↓, Quinteros J. ↑,
- 90', Justiniano L. 🟨,
- 90+5', Vaca R. 🟨,
- 90+8', Llinas A. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Millonarios 57.1% | Draw 23.7% | Bolívar 19.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Bolívar has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolívar than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Millonarios - Bolívar Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.65 ↓ (1.69) |
3.97 ↑ (3.76) |
4.89 ↑ (4.82) |
6.3% (6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Bolívar?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Bolívar will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- Millonarios could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Millonarios is a favorite.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Millonarios won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Bolívar?
Millonarios has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolívar won against Millonarios?
Bolívar has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Bolívar were as follows:
11.04.2024
Bolívar
-
Millonarios
3:2
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Bolívar
Copa Libertadores Table
Group StageGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Estudiantes L.P | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 11:5 | 6 | 12 |
2 | Botafogo RJ | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 12 |
3 | U. De Chile | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
4 | Carabobo | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2:13 | -11 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | River Plate | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 13:7 | 6 | 12 |
2 | U. de Deportes | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 8 |
3 | Ind. del Valle | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:11 | -3 | 8 |
4 | Barcelona SC | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
Group C | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | LDU Quito | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Flamengo RJ | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 11 |
3 | Central Cordoba | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 7:7 | 0 | 11 |
4 | Dep. Tachira | 6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4:11 | -7 | 0 |
Group D | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sao Paulo | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
2 | Libertad Asuncion | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Alianza Lima | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 5 |
4 | Talleres Cordoba | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
Group E | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Racing Club | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 14:3 | 11 | 13 |
2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 8 |
3 | Bucaramanga | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6:10 | -4 | 6 |
4 | Colo Colo | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:15 | -10 | 5 |
Group F | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Internacional | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
2 | Atl. Nacional | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
3 | Bahia | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 7 |
4 | Nacional | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:10 | -3 | 7 |
Group G | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Palmeiras | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 17:4 | 13 | 18 |
2 | Cerro Porteno | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
3 | Bolivar | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12:11 | 1 | 6 |
4 | Sporting Cristal | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:16 | -10 | 4 |
Group H | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Velez Sarsfield | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 11:4 | 7 | 11 |
2 | Penarol | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
3 | SA Bulo Bulo | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 5:15 | -10 | 6 |
4 | Olimpia Asuncion | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 9:11 | -2 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)