Bologna vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Bologna - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:1
21/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 7
  • Referee: Gozubuyuk S. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaDStv Now, New World Sport App, Supersport Action, SuperSport Variety 1
argentinaArgentinaESPN 3
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 2
belgiumBelgiumPickx+ Sports 6, Pickx+ Sports 6, Play Sports 7, Play Sports 7
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
colombiaColombiaESPN 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 4
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 6
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandStod 2 Sport 5
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect
italyItalyNOW TV, Sky Sport 1, Sky Sport 253, Sky Sport Arena
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
laosLaosbeIN Connect
maltaMaltaTSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoHBO Max, MAX
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 5
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
polandPolandCanal+ Extra 5
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaViX Latin America
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 6
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 8, Blue Sport 8
thailandThailandbeIN Connect
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 6
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 5
usaUsaCBS, Flow Sports 1, Paramount+, Sport 24 At Sea Extra, Sport 24 Extra
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.980.97
Ball Possession
52%48%
Goal Attempts
173
Shots on Goal
62
Shots off Goal
71
Blocked Shots
40
Big Chances
32
Corner Kicks
65
Shots inside the Box
142
Shots outside the Box
31
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
14
Free Kicks
1815
Offsides
70
Fouls
1518
Yellow Cards
54
Throw-ins
2628
Touches in the Opposition Box
3010
Passes
79% (296/373)74% (261/351)
Passes in the final third
70% (73/105)54% (39/72)
Crosses
30% (7/23)11% (1/9)
Tackles
81% (17/21)50% (10/20)
Clearances Total
1520
Interceptions
95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 14', Holm E. 🟨,
  • 15', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 20', Freuler R. 🟨,
  • 35', Orsolini R. ↓, Iling Junior S. ↑,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Freuler R. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
  • 60', Lucumi J. 🟨,
  • 62', Beier M. 🟨,
  • 63', Lucumi J. ↓, Casale N. ↑,
  • 64', Castro S. ↓, Dallinga T. ↑,
  • 64', Duranville J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 64', Reyna G. ↓, Can E. ↑,
  • 71', 1 - 1, Dallinga T. ⚽, Odgaard J. (A),
  • 72', 2 - 1, Iling Junior S. ⚽, Dallinga T. (A),
  • 75', Gross P. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
  • 75', Guirassy S. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
  • 81', Adeyemi K. 🟨,
  • 82', Couto Y. 🟨,
  • 86', Pobega T. ↓, Moro N. ↑,
  • 90', Ryerson J. 🟨,
  • 90+1', Ferguson L. 🟨,
  • 90+5', Italiano V. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Bologna
36.9%		Draw
28.9%		Borussia Dortmund
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
24.3% 25.9% 49.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 26.2% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Bologna's performance.
  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-12.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Bologna that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+16.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Bologna - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.6 ↓
    (3.94)    		 3.33 ↓
    (3.7)    		 2.81 ↑
    (1.93)    		 4.2%
    (4.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

  • Watch this match and UEFA Champions League with fubo (for US customers)
  • Network on : CBSSN
    •
    What is the prediction for Bologna - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: 74 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 12 - 16.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 50 - 67.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 16.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 56.9% – 78.3%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Bologna is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Borussia D is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Bologna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Borussia D will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • There will not play in Bologna: Aebischer M. (Thigh Injury) Cambiaghi N. (Knee Injury) El Azzouzi O. (Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bensebaini R. (Yellow Cards) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Bologna won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3
    Latest results of Bologna
    18.01.2025 Bologna - Monza 3:1 ✺
    15.01.2025 Inter Milan - Bologna 2:2 ✺
    12.01.2025 Bologna - Roma 2:2 ✺
    30.12.2024 Bologna - Verona 2:3 ✺
    21.12.2024 Torino - Bologna 0:2 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    17.01.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    14.01.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund 4:2 ✺
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3 ✺
    22.12.2024 Wolfsburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:3 ✺
    15.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Eintracht Frankfurt11005:143
    2PSG11004:043
    3Club Brugge KV11004:133
    4Sporting CP11004:133
    5Royale Union SG11003:123
    6Bayern Munich11003:123
    7Arsenal11002:023
    8Inter11002:023
    9Manchester City11002:023
    10Qarabag11003:213
    11Liverpool11003:213
    12Barcelona11002:113
    13Real Madrid11002:113
    14Tottenham11001:013
    15Dortmund10104:401
    16Juventus10104:401
    17Bayer Leverkusen10102:201
    18Bodo/Glimt10102:201
    19Slavia Prague10102:201
    20FC Copenhagen10102:201
    21Pafos10100:001
    22Olympiacos Piraeus10100:001
    23Atl. Madrid10012:3-10
    24Benfica10012:3-10
    25Marseille10011:2-10
    26Newcastle10011:2-10
    27Villarreal10010:1-10
    28Chelsea10011:3-20
    29PSV10011:3-20
    30Napoli10010:2-20
    31Ajax10010:2-20
    32Ath Bilbao10010:2-20
    33Monaco10011:4-30
    34Kairat Almaty10011:4-30
    35Galatasaray10011:5-40
    36Atalanta10010:4-40

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