Result
2:1
18/04/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Bundesliga - Round 30
- Referee: Siebert D. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 1, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Albania | Tring Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Asia | MBC Action |
 Australia | beIN Connect |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Play Sports 2 |
 Bolivia | ESPN 2 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5P |
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra |
 Cameroon | Dash TV |
 Canada | DAZN Canada, OneSoccer |
 Chile | Disney+, ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Croatia | SportKlub 1 |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Ecuador | ESPN 2 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV, Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Free |
 Georgia | Setanta Sports 2 |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW |
 Greece | Nova Sports 3 |
 Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
 Hungary | Arena 4 |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV, Vision+ |
 Indonesia | K-Vision |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Laos | beIN Connect |
 Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka |
 Mexico | Izzi TV, Sky Sport |
 Mongolia | Premier Sports 5 |
 Mozambique | Startimes Mania |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 North-central-america | Sky Sports Norte |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Paraguay | ESPN 2 |
 Peru | Disney+, ESPN 2 |
 Philippines | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Poland | Eleven Sports 1 |
 Portugal | DAZN 3, DAZN / App |
 Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Saudi-arabia | MBC Shahid |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 2 |
 Singapore | beIN Sports 3 |
 Slovakia | Nova Sport 3, Voyo |
 Slovenia | Sport TV1 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | DAZN Espana, M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1 |
 Sweden | Viaplay, V Sport Extra |
 Switzerland | Sky Sport Bundesliga 3 |
 Taiwan | ELTA Sports 3 |
 Thailand | AIS PLAY, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, PPTV Sports |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN Deportes, ESPN USA, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter |
 Vietnam | TV 360 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.73 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (310/381) | 82% (358/434) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.12 | 0.73 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.40 | 0.76 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (310/381) | 82% (358/434) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (17/56) | 48% (20/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (65/106) | 73% (114/156) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 31% (5/16) | 14% (4/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 1.17 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 56% (9/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 46 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.76 | 2.40 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.24 | 0.40 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 31', Burger W. 🟨,
- 42', 1 - 0, Kramaric A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 42', Sule N. ↓, Bensebaini R. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 60', Silva F. ↓, Guirassy S. ↑,
- 60', Toure B. ↓, Prass A. ↑,
- 60', Burger W. ↓, Promel G. ↑,
- 71', Sabitzer M. ↓, Inacio S. ↑,
- 72', Svensson D. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
- 72', Bernardo ↓, Hranac R. ↑,
- 77', Prass A. 🟨,
- 83', Lemperle T. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
- 84', Schlotterbeck N. 🟨,
- 87', 1 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Bensebaini R. (A),
- 90+7', Ryerson J. 🟨,
- 90+8', 2 - 1, Kramaric A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 90+10', Inacio S. 🟨,
- 90+11', Ilzer C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Hoffenheim
43.5% | Draw
24.6% | Borussia Dortmund
31.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hoffenheim's performance.Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-8.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hoffenheim that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↓
(2.67) |
3.88 ↓
(4.01) |
3 ↑
(2.34) |
4.3%
(5.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
32 users predict this event. Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 12.5%). Borussia D will win (votes: 17 - 53.1%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 34.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 35.8% – 70.4%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Hoffenheim (1.65) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 50%). Borussia D (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 1.
- Hoffenheim has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Borussia D is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 30:35. (average 1.5:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:16. (average 1.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Hoffenheim won against Borussia Dortmund?
Hoffenheim has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Hoffenheim?
Borussia Dortmund has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
07.12.2025
Borussia Dortmund
-
Hoffenheim
2:0
26.04.2025
Hoffenheim
-
Borussia Dortmund
2:3
15.12.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Hoffenheim
1:1
25.02.2024
Borussia Dortmund
-
Hoffenheim
2:3
01.11.2023
Borussia Dortmund
-
Hoffenheim
1:0
Latest results of Hoffenheim
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich ✔ | 32 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 116:35 | 81 | 83 |
| 2 | Dortmund | 31 | 20 | 7 | 4 | 65:31 | 34 | 67 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 63:42 | 21 | 62 |
| 4 | Bayer Leverkusen | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:43 | 23 | 58 |
| 5 | Stuttgart | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 66:46 | 20 | 58 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 32 | 17 | 7 | 8 | 64:48 | 16 | 58 |
| 7 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 57:60 | -3 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 31 | 12 | 7 | 12 | 44:52 | -8 | 43 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 32 | 11 | 7 | 14 | 42:56 | -14 | 40 |
| 10 | Mainz | 31 | 8 | 10 | 13 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 36:51 | -15 | 34 |
| 12 | Union Berlin | 32 | 8 | 9 | 15 | 37:57 | -20 | 33 |
| 13 | FC Koln | 32 | 7 | 11 | 14 | 47:55 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 | B. Monchengladbach | 31 | 7 | 11 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 32 |
| 15 | Werder Bremen | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 37:57 | -20 | 32 |
| 16 | St. Pauli | 31 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 26:53 | -27 | 26 |
| 17 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 6 | 7 | 18 | 41:66 | -25 | 25 |
| 18 | Heidenheim | 32 | 5 | 8 | 19 | 38:69 | -31 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
Clinched Spots for Teams
Bayern Munich is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Champions League (League phase )
