Lecce vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie A Lecce - Bologna
Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A - Round 5
  • Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 3
albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
australiaAustraliaAmazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilDisney+
bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
franceFranceDAZN France
georgiaGeorgiaSetanta Sport 3
germanyGermanyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
hungaryHungaryNet4+
indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
italyItalyDAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
japanJapanDAZN Japan
macaoMacaoMacau Cable TV 34 Football
malaysiaMalaysiaAstro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
netherlandsNetherlandsZiggo Sport 2
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaESPN 3 North
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 3
portugalPortugalSport TV2
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
south-koreaSouth-koreaSPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenTV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
turkeyTurkeyS Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDAZN, DAZN UK
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaCBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamON Football

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.42
Ball Possession
33%67%
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
39
Passes
66% (164/250)85% (442/517)
Yellow Cards
42
Expected Goals (xG)
1.711.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.901.53
Total shots
1214
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
36
Shots inside the Box
109
Shots outside the Box
25
Hit the Woodwork
20
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
39
Touches in opposition box
2324
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
1313
Passes
66% (164/250)85% (442/517)
Long passes
37% (26/71)42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
41% (30/73)70% (86/122)
Crosses
38% (5/13)21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.730.78
Throw-ins
1618
Fouls
1313
Tackles
81% (17/21)64% (9/14)
Duels won
5953
Clearances
2021
Interceptions
55
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
01
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.530.90
Goals prevented
-0.47-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 13', 1 - 0, Coulibaly L. ,
  • 30', Dallinga T. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Orsolini R. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Kouassi C. , Veiga D. ,
  • 55', Gaspar K. 🟨,
  • 61', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
  • 62', Orsolini R. , Bernardeschi F. ,
  • 66', Gallo A. 🟨,
  • 66', Stulic N. , Camarda F. ,
  • 68', Rowe J. , Cambiaghi N. ,
  • 68', Dallinga T. , Castro S. ,
  • 68', Fabbian G. , Odgaard J. ,
  • 69', Gallo A. , Ndaba C. ,
  • 71', 1 - 2, Odgaard J. , Holm E. (A),
  • 77', Coulibaly L. , Ndri K. ,
  • 77', Tete Morente , Banda L. ,
  • 83', Holm E. , De Silvestri L. ,
  • 89', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
  • 90+3', 2 - 2, Camarda F. , Berisha M. (A),
  • 90+4', Camarda F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Lecce
20%
Draw
28.9%
Bologna
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
21.8% 29.1% 49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3% 29.8% 50.3%

Lecce - Bologna Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
4.9
(4.36)
3.36
(3.27)
1.89
(1.94)
3.2%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecce - Bologna?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Bologna will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 49.8%78.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
    • Lecce is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Bologna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
    • There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Rafia H. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Thigh Injury)
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Bologna were as follows:
    09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0
    02.11.2024 Bologna - Lecce 1:0
    11.02.2024 Bologna - Lecce 4:0
    03.12.2023 Lecce - Bologna 1:1
    04.06.2023 Lecce - Bologna 2:3
    Latest results of Lecce
    23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0
    19.09.2025 Lecce - Cagliari 1:2
    14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1
    29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2
    23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0
    Latest results of Bologna
    25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0
    20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1
    14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0
    30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0
    23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Napoli1071216:8822
    2AC Milan1164117:9822
    3Inter1070324:121221
    4AS Roma1070310:5521
    5Juventus1154214:10419
    6Bologna1053216:8818
    7Como1146112:6618
    8Lazio1043313:7615
    9Udinese1043312:15-315
    10Cremonese1135312:13-114
    11Torino1135310:16-614
    12Atalanta1027113:8513
    13Sassuolo1041511:12-113
    14Cagliari112459:14-510
    15Lecce112458:14-610
    16Pisa111648:14-69
    17Parma111557:14-78
    18Genoa101366:14-86
    19Verona110656:16-106
    20Fiorentina100467:16-94

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B