Bologna vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Bologna
52.2%
Draw
28.1%
Lecce
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
56.7% 25.9% 17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58% 25.3% 17%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • Bologna - Lecce Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.84
    (1.66)
    3.41
    (3.65)
    4.89
    (5.43)
    4.2%
    (5.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Bologna - Lecce?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 40%93.4%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.
    • Bologna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Lecce were as follows:
    28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2
    09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0
    02.11.2024 Bologna - Lecce 1:0
    11.02.2024 Bologna - Lecce 4:0
    03.12.2023 Lecce - Bologna 1:1
    Latest results of Bologna
    09.04.2026 Bologna - Aston Villa 1:3
    05.04.2026 Cremonese - Bologna 1:2
    22.03.2026 Bologna - Lazio 0:2
    19.03.2026 Roma - Bologna 3:4
    15.03.2026 Sassuolo - Bologna 0:1
    Latest results of Lecce
    06.04.2026 Lecce - Atalanta 0:3
    22.03.2026 Roma - Lecce 1:0
    14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1
    08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1
    28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Inter31233571:264572
    2Napoli31205647:301765
    3AC Milan31189447:242363
    4Como311610553:223158
    5Juventus31169654:292557
    6AS Roma321831145:281757
    7Atalanta311411644:271753
    8Bologna311361240:37345
    9Lazio311111932:29344
    10Sassuolo311261338:41-342
    11Udinese311171335:42-740
    12Torino311061535:53-1836
    13Parma318111222:39-1735
    14Genoa31891436:44-833
    15Fiorentina317111336:44-832
    16Cagliari31791532:44-1230
    17Cremonese31691626:46-2027
    18Lecce31761821:43-2227
    19Verona31391922:53-3118
    20Pisa322121823:58-3518

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          Relegation ~ Serie B