Result
2:2
28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A - Round 5
- Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Africa | Azam Sports 3 |
Albania | Tring Sport 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic |
Australia | Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
Austria | DAZN |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4 |
Czech-republic | Sport 2 |
Denmark | TV2 Play |
Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2 |
France | DAZN France |
Georgia | Setanta Sport 3 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
Hong-kong | beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player |
Hungary | Net4+ |
Indonesia | Vidio |
Italy | DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Macao | Macau Cable TV 34 Football |
Malaysia | Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka |
Malta | GO TV, TSN Malta 3 |
Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN |
Netherlands | Ziggo Sport 2 |
New-zealand | beIN Connect |
North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | VG+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Poland | Eleven Sports 3 |
Portugal | Sport TV2 |
Romania | Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3 |
Russia | MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Saudi-arabia | STC TV |
Serbia | Arena Sport 4 |
South-korea | SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime |
Spain | DAZN Espana |
Sweden | TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1 |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
Turkey | S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 2 |
United-kingdom | DAZN, DAZN UK |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Vietnam | ON Football |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 1.42 |
Ball Possession |
---|
33% | 67% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Passes |
---|
66% (164/250) | 85% (442/517) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
4 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.71 | 1.42 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.90 | 1.53 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 14 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
3 | 6 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 9 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
2 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
3 | 9 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
23 | 24 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
1 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
---|
13 | 13 |
Passes |
---|
66% (164/250) | 85% (442/517) |
Long passes |
---|
37% (26/71) | 42% (23/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
41% (30/73) | 70% (86/122) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (5/13) | 21% (4/19) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.73 | 0.78 |
Throw-ins |
---|
16 | 18 |
Fouls |
---|
13 | 13 |
Tackles |
---|
81% (17/21) | 64% (9/14) |
Duels won |
---|
59 | 53 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 21 |
Interceptions |
---|
5 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.53 | 0.90 |
Goals prevented |
---|
-0.47 | -1.10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 13', 1 - 0, Coulibaly L. ⚽,
- 30', Dallinga T. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Orsolini R. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Kouassi C. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
- 55', Gaspar K. 🟨,
- 61', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
- 62', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
- 66', Gallo A. 🟨,
- 66', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
- 68', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
- 68', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
- 68', Fabbian G. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
- 69', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Odgaard J. ⚽, Holm E. (A),
- 77', Coulibaly L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
- 77', Tete Morente ↓, Banda L. ↑,
- 83', Holm E. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
- 89', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
- 90+3', 2 - 2, Camarda F. ⚽, Berisha M. (A),
- 90+4', Camarda F. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Lecce 20% | Draw 28.9% | Bologna 51% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
Lecce - Bologna Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
4.9 ↑ (4.36) |
3.36 ↑ (3.27) |
1.89 ↓ (1.94) |
3.2% (5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lecce - Bologna?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Bologna will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 49.8% – 78.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
- Lecce is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Bologna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Lecce: Jean G.
(Knee Injury)
Marchwinski F.
(Knee Injury)
Perez M.
(Illness)
Rafia H.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K.
(Inactive)
Casale N.
(Thigh Injury)
Immobile C.
(Thigh Injury)
Sulemana I.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Bologna?
Lecce has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Lecce?
Bologna has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Bologna were as follows:
09.02.2025
Lecce
-
Bologna
0:0
02.11.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
1:0
11.02.2024
Bologna
-
Lecce
4:0
03.12.2023
Lecce
-
Bologna
1:1
04.06.2023
Lecce
-
Bologna
2:3
Latest results of Bologna
Italian Serie A Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | AS Roma | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7:2 | 5 | 15 |
2 | Napoli | 7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 12:7 | 5 | 15 |
3 | AC Milan | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:3 | 6 | 13 |
4 | Inter | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 17:8 | 9 | 12 |
5 | Juventus | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 9:5 | 4 | 12 |
6 | Atalanta | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
7 | Bologna | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
8 | Sassuolo | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 10 |
9 | Como | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 |
10 | Cremonese | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 7:8 | -1 | 9 |
11 | Cagliari | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 8 |
12 | Udinese | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6:9 | -3 | 8 |
13 | Torino | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 8 |
14 | Lazio | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 7 |
15 | Lecce | 7 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
16 | Parma | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:7 | -4 | 5 |
17 | Verona | 7 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2:9 | -7 | 4 |
18 | Fiorentina | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
19 | Pisa | 7 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 3 |
20 | Genoa | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Serie B