Lecce vs Bologna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/09/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Via del Mare (Lecce).

Serie A - Round 5
Referee: Fourneau F. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 2
Denmark	TV2 Play
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, M Plus Live, Now Player
Hungary	Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN 3, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	ESPN 3 North
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Fotboll, TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Football

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.71	1.42
Ball Possession
33%	67%
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
4	5
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	9
Passes
66% (164/250)	85% (442/517)
Yellow Cards
4	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.71	1.42
xG on target (xGOT)
0.90	1.53
Total shots
12	14
Shots on target
4	5
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked Shots
3	6
Shots inside the Box
10	9
Shots outside the Box
2	5
Hit the Woodwork
2	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
4	2
Corner Kicks
3	9
Touches in opposition box
23	24
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	4
Free Kicks
13	13
Passes
66% (164/250)	85% (442/517)
Long passes
37% (26/71)	42% (23/55)
Passes in final third
41% (30/73)	70% (86/122)
Crosses
38% (5/13)	21% (4/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.73	0.78
Throw-ins
16	18
Fouls
13	13
Tackles
81% (17/21)	64% (9/14)
Duels won
59	53
Clearances
20	21
Interceptions
5	5
Errors leading to shot
1	1
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper Saves
3	2
xGOT faced
1.53	0.90
Goals prevented
-0.47	-1.10

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 1)
13', 1 - 0, Coulibaly L. ⚽,
30', Dallinga T. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 1, Orsolini R. (Pen),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Kouassi C. ↓, Veiga D. ↑,
55', Gaspar K. 🟨,
61', Ramadani Y. 🟨,
62', Orsolini R. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
66', Gallo A. 🟨,
66', Stulic N. ↓, Camarda F. ↑,
68', Rowe J. ↓, Cambiaghi N. ↑,
68', Dallinga T. ↓, Castro S. ↑,
68', Fabbian G. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
69', Gallo A. ↓, Ndaba C. ↑,
71', 1 - 2, Odgaard J. ⚽, Holm E. (A),
77', Coulibaly L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
77', Tete Morente ↓, Banda L. ↑,
83', Holm E. ↓, De Silvestri L. ↑,
89', Bernardeschi F. 🟨,
90+3', 2 - 2, Camarda F. ⚽, Berisha M. (A),
90+4', Camarda F. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Lecce
20%

Draw
28.9%

Bologna
51%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.8%

29.1%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.3%

29.8%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lecce has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

Bologna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Lecce - Bologna Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.9 ↑ (4.36)	3.36 ↑ (3.27)	1.89 ↓ (1.94)	3.2% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Lecce - Bologna?

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Lecce will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). Bologna will win (votes: 27 - 64.3%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 19%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 49.8% – 78.8%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 9 - 60%). Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Bologna (1.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Bologna (votes: 10 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0.
Lecce is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Bologna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bologna is the team to beat.
There will not play in Lecce: Jean G. (Knee Injury) Marchwinski F. (Knee Injury) Perez M. (Illness) Rafia H. (Inactive)
There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Casale N. (Thigh Injury) Immobile C. (Thigh Injury) Sulemana I. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Lecce: Pierret B. (Thigh Injury)
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 7:17. (average 0.8:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Lecce won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Bologna?

Lecce has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Lecce?

Bologna has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Lecce - Bologna were as follows:

09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0

02.11.2024 Bologna - Lecce 1:0

11.02.2024 Bologna - Lecce 4:0

03.12.2023 Lecce - Bologna 1:1

04.06.2023 Lecce - Bologna 2:3

Latest results of Lecce

23.09.2025 Milan - Lecce 3:0 ✺

19.09.2025 Lecce - Cagliari 1:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Atalanta - Lecce 4:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Lecce - Milan 0:2 ✺

23.08.2025 Genoa - Lecce 0:0 ✺

Latest results of Bologna

25.09.2025 Aston Villa - Bologna 1:0 ✺

20.09.2025 Bologna - Genoa 2:1 ✺

14.09.2025 Milan - Bologna 1:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Bologna - Como 1:0 ✺

23.08.2025 Roma - Bologna 1:0 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter	29	22	2	5	65:23	42	68
2	AC Milan	29	17	9	3	44:21	23	60
3	Napoli	29	18	5	6	45:30	15	59
4	Como	29	15	9	5	48:22	26	54
5	Juventus	29	15	8	6	51:28	23	53
6	AS Roma	29	16	3	10	39:23	16	51
7	Atalanta	29	12	11	6	40:27	13	47
8	Bologna	29	12	6	11	38:34	4	42
9	Lazio	29	10	10	9	29:28	1	40
10	Sassuolo	29	11	5	13	35:39	-4	38
11	Udinese	29	10	6	13	33:42	-9	36
12	Parma	29	8	10	11	21:36	-15	34
13	Genoa	29	8	9	12	36:40	-4	33
14	Torino	29	9	6	14	32:50	-18	33
15	Cagliari	29	7	9	13	31:41	-10	30
16	Fiorentina	29	6	10	13	34:43	-9	28
17	Lecce	29	7	6	16	21:39	-18	27
18	Cremonese	29	5	9	15	23:44	-21	24
19	Pisa	29	2	12	15	23:49	-26	18
20	Verona	29	3	9	17	22:51	-29	18

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      Relegation ~ Serie B