Bologna vs Lecce – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2026 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara (Bologna).

Serie A - Round 32
Referee: Colombo A. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport 2, SuperSport Football
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Bolivia	ESPN 2
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	DAZN Canada, FuboTV
Chile	Disney+
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 6, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Ecuador	ESPN 2
Finland	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 2
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sport 3
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 1
Haiti	Tele Haiti
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 1, M Plus Live, Now Player
Indonesia	Vidio
Israel	ONE Sport 2
Italy	DAZN Italia, NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 251, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	Setanta Sports
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Kuwait	Shasha
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Arena 2, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Netherlands	Ziggo Go, Ziggo Sport 3
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	VG+
Paraguay	ESPN 2
Peru	Disney+, ESPN 2, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 3
Portugal	Sport TV7
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 4
South-korea	SPOTV Now
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sportkanalen
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Thailand	True ID, True Premier Football 3
Tunisia	Diwan Sport
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 1, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	DAZN USA, Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN 2, Inter
Vietnam	TV 360, VTVcab
World	Starzplay Sports app

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
2.18	0.32
Ball possession
64%	36%
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
4	1
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
8	6
Passes
85% (418/492)	72% (191/267)
Yellow cards
0	2
Expected goals (xG)
2.18	0.32
xG on target (xGOT)
1.33	0.13
Total shots
12	6
Shots on target
4	1
Shots off target
5	3
Blocked shots
3	2
Shots inside the box
9	2
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
1	0
Headed goals
1	0
Big chances
4	1
Corner kicks
8	6
Touches in opposition box
23	11
Accurate through passes
1	2
Offsides
4	0
Free kicks
19	15
Passes
85% (418/492)	72% (191/267)
Long passes
51% (35/68)	48% (29/60)
Passes in final third
73% (90/124)	48% (23/48)
Crosses
18% (4/22)	12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.01	0.39
Throw ins
27	18
Fouls
15	19
Tackles
69% (9/13)	64% (7/11)
Duels won
55	37
Clearances
28	34
Interceptions
10	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	1
Goalkeeper saves
1	2
xGOT faced
0.13	1.33
Goals prevented
0.13	-0.67

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, Freuler R. ⚽,
36', Ngom O. 🟨,
38', Siebert J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Ndaba C. ↓, Gallo A. ↑,
46', Ngom O. ↓, Gandelman O. ↑,
64', Stulic N. ↓, Cheddira W. ↑,
64', Banda L. ↓, Ndri K. ↑,
66', Joao Mario ↓, Zortea N. ↑,
74', Sohm S. ↓, Pobega T. ↑,
74', Cambiaghi N. ↓, Rowe J. ↑,
83', Pierotti S. ↓, Sala A. ↑,
85', Castro S. ↓, Odgaard J. ↑,
85', Moro N. ↓, Bernardeschi F. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 0, Orsolini R. ⚽, Bernardeschi F. (A),

Chances of winning

Bologna
52.2%

Draw
28.6%

Lecce
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.7%

25.9%

17.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.3%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bologna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

Lecce has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bologna than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bologna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lecce than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

Bologna - Lecce Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.66)	3.35 ↓ (3.65)	5.02 ↓ (5.43)	4.4% (5.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Bologna - Lecce?

Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Bologna will win (votes: 14 - 73.7%). Lecce will win (votes: 1 - 5.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 21.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Bologna: 53.9% – 93.5%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Bologna (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 2.
Bologna has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Lecce is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Bologna may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Bologna is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Bologna: Bonifazi K. (Inactive) Dominguez B. (Hip Injury) Ferguson L. (Red Card) Skorupski L. (Muscle Injury)
There will not play in Lecce: Berisha M. (Thigh Injury) Camarda F. (Shoulder Injury)
There are questionable in Bologna: Dallinga T. (Injury) Lykogiannis C. (Thigh Injury)
There are questionable in Lecce: Gaspar K. (Knee Injury) Sottil R. (Back Injury)
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Bologna won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 19:9. (average 1.9:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bologna won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 2.5:0.5).

How many head-to-head matches has Bologna won against Lecce?

Bologna has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Lecce won against Bologna?

Lecce has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bologna - Lecce were as follows:

28.09.2025 Lecce - Bologna 2:2

09.02.2025 Lecce - Bologna 0:0

02.11.2024 Bologna - Lecce 1:0

11.02.2024 Bologna - Lecce 4:0

03.12.2023 Lecce - Bologna 1:1

Latest results of Bologna

09.04.2026 Bologna - Aston Villa 1:3 ✺

05.04.2026 Cremonese - Bologna 1:2 ✺

22.03.2026 Bologna - Lazio 0:2 ✺

19.03.2026 Roma - Bologna 3:4 ✺

15.03.2026 Sassuolo - Bologna 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Lecce

06.04.2026 Lecce - Atalanta 0:3 ✺

22.03.2026 Roma - Lecce 1:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Napoli - Lecce 2:1 ✺

08.03.2026 Lecce - Cremonese 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Como - Lecce 3:1 ✺

Italian Serie A Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Inter ✔	34	25	4	5	80:31	49	79
2	Napoli	34	21	6	7	52:33	19	69
3	AC Milan	34	19	10	5	48:27	21	67
4	Juventus	34	18	10	6	57:29	28	64
5	Como	34	17	10	7	59:28	31	61
6	AS Roma	34	19	4	11	48:29	19	61
7	Atalanta	34	14	12	8	47:32	15	54
8	Lazio	34	12	12	10	37:33	4	48
9	Bologna	34	14	6	14	42:41	1	48
10	Sassuolo	34	13	7	14	41:44	-3	46
11	Udinese	34	12	8	14	41:46	-5	44
12	Parma	34	10	12	12	25:40	-15	42
13	Torino	34	11	8	15	39:56	-17	41
14	Genoa	34	10	9	15	40:48	-8	39
15	Fiorentina	34	8	13	13	38:45	-7	37
16	Cagliari	34	9	9	16	36:49	-13	36
17	Lecce	35	8	8	19	24:47	-23	32
18	Cremonese	34	6	10	18	26:51	-25	28
19	Verona	34	3	10	21	23:56	-33	19
20	Pisa	35	2	12	21	25:63	-38	18

      Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
      Relegation ~ Serie B

Clinched Spots for Teams

Inter is Qualified for Champions League (League phase )