Result
1:0
16/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39
- Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)
Chances of winning
Derby County
41.4% | Draw
28.6% | Bolton Wanderers
30% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
Derby County - Bolton Wanderers Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.29 ↑
(1.99) |
3.31 ↓
(3.48) |
3.15 ↓
(3.56) |
5.6%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Derby County - Bolton Wanderers?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.4% – 84.6%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 2.
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Derby will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 15 head-to-head matches Derby won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-4.
How many head-to-head matches has Derby County won against Bolton Wanderers?
Derby County has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bolton Wanderers won against Derby County?
Bolton Wanderers has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
02.09.2023
Bolton Wanderers
-
Derby County
2:1
21.01.2023
Derby County
-
Bolton Wanderers
2:1
27.12.2022
Bolton Wanderers
-
Derby County
0:0
Latest results of Derby County
Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
