Derby County vs Bolton Wanderers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
16/03/2024 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: LEAGUE ONE - ROUND 39
  • Referee: Edwards M. (Eng)

Highlights

Chances of winning


Derby County
41.4%
Draw
28.6%
Bolton Wanderers
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47% 26.8% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9% 25.8% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derby County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derby County's form might have worsened.
  • Bolton Wanderers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derby County than the current prediction. (+7.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derby County, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bolton Wanderers than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Derby County - Bolton Wanderers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (1.99)
    3.31
    (3.48)
    3.15
    (3.56)
    5.6%
    (7.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Derby County - Bolton Wanderers?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Derby will win (votes: 4 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 50%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Derby: 15.4%84.6%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Derby won 2.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Bolton could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Derby will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Derby won 7 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 25-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Derby won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 18-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derby County - Bolton Wanderers were as follows:
    02.09.2023 Bolton Wanderers - Derby County 2:1
    21.01.2023 Derby County - Bolton Wanderers 2:1
    27.12.2022 Bolton Wanderers - Derby County 0:0
    Latest results of Derby County
    Latest results of Bolton Wanderers
    English League One Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lincoln ✔ 463110589:4148103
    2Cardiff ✔ 462710990:504091
    3Stockport County4622111371:581377
    4Bradford City4622111358:51777
    5Bolton ✔ 461918970:521875
    6Stevenage4621121349:46375
    7Luton4621111468:561274
    8Plymouth462271775:631273
    9Huddersfield4618131574:641067
    10Mansfield4616171362:501265
    11Wycombe4617121769:581163
    12Reading4616151564:60463
    13Blackpool461792054:65-1160
    14Doncaster461792050:69-1960
    15Barnsley4615141768:73-559
    16Wigan4614141849:58-956
    17Burton4613151850:60-1054
    18Peterborough461582364:68-453
    19AFC Wimbledon461582351:72-2153
    20Leyton Orient4614102259:71-1252
    21Exeter4612132152:61-949
    22Port Vale ✔ 4610122436:61-2542
    23Rotherham ✔ 4610112541:71-3041
    24Northampton ✔ 46982939:74-3535

          Promotion ~ Championship
          Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ League Two

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Lincoln is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Championship
    Cardiff is Qualified for Championship
    Bolton is Qualified for League One (Play Offs )
    Port Vale is Relegated to League Two
    Rotherham is Relegated to League Two
    Northampton is Relegated to League Two