Result
39:24
21/06/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Top 14 - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Australia | beIN Sports 1 |
France | CANAL+ France |
Peru | Movistar Deportes |
Spain | M+ Deportes |
United-kingdom | Premier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby |
Match Stats
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Tries |
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5 | 3 |
Conversion Goals |
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4 | 3 |
Conversion Goal Attempts |
---|
0 | 0 |
Penalty Goals |
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2 | 1 |
Penalty Goal Attempts |
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0 | 0 |
Goals % |
---|
0 | 0 |
Dropped Goals |
---|
0 | 0 |
Total Runs |
---|
0 | 0 |
Metres Run With Ball |
---|
0 | 0 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (15 - 10)
- 6', Jalibert M. (Penalty Goal),
- 9', Jaminet M. (Penalty Goal),
- 19', Depoortere N. (Try),
- 27', Lamothe M. (Try),
- 28', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 40+2', Faingaanuku L. (Try),
- 40+4', Jaminet M. (Conversion Goal),
- 2nd Half (24 - 14)
- 45', Lamothe M. (Try),
- 45', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 50', Halagahu M. 🟨,
- 53', Penaud D. (Try),
- 53', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 55', Lamothe M. (Try),
- 55', Jalibert M. (Conversion Goal),
- 63', Tuicuvu S. (Try),
- 63', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Jalibert M. (Penalty Goal),
- 80', Gigashvili B. (Try),
- 80', Domon M. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Bordeaux Bègles 59.6% | Draw 4.5% | Toulon 35.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Bordeaux Bègles has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bordeaux Bègles's form might have worsened.Toulon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toulon's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (+15.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bordeaux Bègles, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (-12.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toulon, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↑ (1.3) |
20.33 ↓ (21.5) |
2.54 ↓ (3.71) |
8.9% (8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 54.00
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)
What is the prediction for Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 4 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:25.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Bordeaux Bègles might have a minor edge in this game.
- We predict that Bordeaux Bègles will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Bordeaux Bègles won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 418:534. (average 20.9:26.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Bordeaux Bègles won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 273:232. (average 24.8:21.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Bordeaux Bègles won against Toulon?
Bordeaux Bègles has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Bordeaux Bègles?
Toulon has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon were as follows:
01.06.2025
Toulon
-
Bordeaux Bègles
27:10
28.12.2024
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Toulon
21:17
04.02.2024
Toulon
-
Bordeaux Bègles
32:37
03.09.2023
Bordeaux Bègles
-
Toulon
22:17
28.05.2023
Toulon
-
Bordeaux Bègles
35:19
Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
French Top 14 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Pts |
1 | Aviron Bayonnais | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 144:148 | 16 |
2 | Stade Francais Paris | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 150:118 | 15 |
3 | Bordeaux Begles | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 165:134 | 14 |
4 | Stade Toulousain | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 164:133 | 14 |
5 | RC Toulonnais | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 108:81 | 14 |
6 | Section Paloise | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 135:123 | 14 |
7 | Montpellier | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 143:102 | 13 |
8 | Racing 92 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 138:130 | 13 |
9 | Lyon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 134:134 | 13 |
10 | Castres Olympique | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 107:125 | 11 |
11 | Stade Rochelais | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 96:84 | 10 |
12 | Clermont | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 205:169 | 10 |
13 | Montauban | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 119:249 | 2 |
14 | USA Perpignan | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 66:144 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Top 14 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Top 14 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Pro D2