Result
45:34
14/12/2025 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- European Rugby Champions Cup - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, France 2 |
 Nigeria | SuperSport Rugby |
 Portugal | Sport TV7 |
 South-africa | SuperSport Rugby |
 United-kingdom | FloRugby.com, Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Tries |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Conversion Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Conversion Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Penalty Goals |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Penalty Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goals % |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Dropped Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Total Runs |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Metres Run With Ball |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (18 - 13)
- 8', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
- 12', Alainu'uese B. (Try),
- 13', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 15', Russell F. (Penalty Goal),
- 18', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 20', Hill T. (Try),
- 21', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 24', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 34', Brex N. (Try),
- 2nd Half (27 - 21)
- 46', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 50', Carreras S. (Try),
- 51', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 54', Drean G. (Try),
- 55', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 59', Green A. (Try),
- 59', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 65', Ludlam L. (Try),
- 66', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
- 73', Garcia M. (Penalty Goal),
- 74', Hennessey-Booth L. (Try),
- 75', Russell F. (Conversion Goal),
- 80', Baubigny T. (Try),
- 80+1', Garcia M. (Conversion Goal),
Chances of winning
Toulon
50.3% | Draw
4.1% | Bath
45.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Toulon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Toulon's form might have worsened.Bath has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Bath's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toulon than the current prediction. (+7.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toulon, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bath than the current prediction. (-7.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Bath, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Toulon - Bath Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.85 ↑
(1.6) |
22.69 ↑
(20.32) |
2 ↓
(2.44) |
8.6%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 55.50
- The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)
What is the prediction for Toulon - Bath?
Users Predictions:
Bath will win
(8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Bath will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:27.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 4.
- In recent matches, Toulon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Bath is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Toulon may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- We predict that Toulon will win today's game, with odds of 1.7.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Toulon won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 137:99. (average 22.8:16.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Toulon won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 65:36. (average 21.7:12).
How many head-to-head matches has Toulon won against Bath?
Toulon has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Bath won against Toulon?
Bath has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Toulon - Bath were as follows:
15.01.2023
Bath
-
Toulon
23:35
17.12.2022
Toulon
-
Bath
29:7
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Leicester Tigers | 64 : 14 |
| 2 | Stade Toulousain | Bristol | 59 : 26 |
| 3 | Bath | Saracens | 31 : 22 |
| 4 | Northampton Saints | Castres Olympique | 49 : 41 |
| 5 | Leinster | Edinburgh | 49 : 31 |
| 6 | Harlequins | Sale Sharks | 17 : 26 |
| 7 | Glasgow Warriors | Bulls | 25 : 21 |
| 8 | RC Toulonnais | Stormers | 28 : 27 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Stade Toulousain | 30 : 15 |
| 2 | Bath | Northampton Saints | 43 : 41 |
| 3 | Leinster | Sale Sharks | 43 : 13 |
| 4 | Glasgow Warriors | RC Toulonnais | 19 : 22 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Bordeaux Begles | Bath | |
| 2 | Leinster | RC Toulonnais | |
Final
