Toulouse vs Bordeaux Bègles – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Rugby union French Top 14 Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles
28/06/2025 at 15:05 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaTV5 Monde Africa, TV5 Monde Maghreb-Orient
asiaAsiaTV5 Monde Asia
australiaAustraliabeIN Sports 1
franceFrancebeIN Sports 1, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 1, France 2
peruPeruMovistar Deportes
south-americaSouth-americaTV5 Monde Amerique Latine
spainSpainM+ Deportes, Movistar+ Vamos Bar 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 1, Premier Sports Player, Premier Sports Rugby

Match Stats

Tries
33
Conversion Goals
33
Conversion Goal Attempts
00
Penalty Goals
64
Penalty Goal Attempts
00
Goals %
00
Dropped Goals
00
Total Runs
00
Metres Run With Ball
00
Yellow Cards
02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (20 - 16)
  • 3', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 4', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 9', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 20', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 26', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
  • 30', Jelonch A. (Try),
  • 31', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 34', Petti G. 🟨,
  • 35', Penaud D. (Try),
  • 35', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 39', Willis J. (Try),
  • 40', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 2nd Half (13 - 17)
  • 42', Jalibert M. (Try),
  • 43', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 45', Willis J. (Try),
  • 46', Ramos T. (Conversion Goal),
  • 54', Bochaton P. 🟨,
  • 55', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 63', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 70', Petti G. (Try),
  • 71', Lucu M. (Conversion Goal),
  • 80+1', Lucu M. (Penalty Goal),
  • Extra Time (6 - 0)
  • 95', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),
  • 100', Ramos T. (Penalty Goal),

Chances of winning


Toulouse
47.8%
Draw
4.9%
Bordeaux Bègles
47.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 5.4% 44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3% 5.1% 47.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Toulouse has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
  • Bordeaux Bègles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toulouse than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bordeaux Bègles than the current prediction. (-0.1%)
  • Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.86
    (1.83)
    18.33
    (17)
    1.96
    (2.03)
    10.4%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 50.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)
  • What is the prediction for Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles?
  • Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toulouse will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Bordeaux Bègles will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Bordeaux Bègles (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 29:29.
  • Preview Facts
    • Neutral location - Stade de France.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 1.
    • Toulouse has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Bordeaux Bègles is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Bordeaux Bègles may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Toulouse won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 550:408. (average 27.5:20.4).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Toulouse won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 333:173. (average 30.3:15.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse 35:18
    23.03.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse 32:24
    29.09.2024 Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles 12:16
    28.06.2024 Toulouse - Bordeaux Bègles 59:3
    24.03.2024 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulouse 31:28
    Latest results of Toulouse
    20.06.2025 Toulouse - Aviron Bayonnais 32:25
    07.06.2025 Perpignan - Toulouse 42:35
    01.06.2025 Toulouse - Lyon 43:3
    17.05.2025 Toulouse - Racing Métro 35:37
    10.05.2025 Toulon - Toulouse 16:50
    Latest results of Bordeaux Bègles
    21.06.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Toulon 39:24
    07.06.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Vannes 59:28
    01.06.2025 Toulon - Bordeaux Bègles 27:10
    17.05.2025 Bordeaux Bègles - Castres 34:29
    French Top 14 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLPts
    1Aviron Bayonnais00000:00
    2Castres Olympique00000:00
    3Clermont00000:00
    4Montauban00000:00
    5Montpellier00000:00
    6Stade Francais Paris00000:00
    7USA Perpignan00000:00
    8RC Toulonnais00000:00
    9Stade Toulousain00000:00
    10Racing 9200000:00
    11Stade Rochelais00000:00
    12Bordeaux Begles00000:00
    13Lyon00000:00
    14Section Paloise00000:00

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