Derthona vs Borgaro – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie D - Group A Derthona - Borgaro
Result
0:1
23/03/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: Serie D - Group A - Round 32

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 24', 0 - 1, Zunino M. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 74', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Derthona
57.1%
Draw
23%
Borgaro
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.2% 20.6% 12.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.6% 19.6% 11.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Derthona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Derthona's form might have worsened.
  • Borgaro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Borgaro's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Derthona than the current prediction. (+13.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Derthona, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borgaro than the current prediction. (-8.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Borgaro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Derthona - Borgaro Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.59
    (1.35)
    3.94
    (4.4)
    4.57
    (7.48)
    10.4%
    (10.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 11 and 18 in the zone Serie D ~ Group A (Play Out: )).
    • Derthona is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Borgaro has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Derthona is absolute favorite.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Derthona won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Derthona - Borgaro were as follows:
    10.11.2024 Borgaro - Derthona 1:1
    Latest results of Derthona
    09.03.2025 Ligorna - Derthona 2:1
    23.02.2025 Vogherese - Derthona 0:0
    16.02.2025 Derthona - Imperia 4:2
    09.02.2025 Cairese - Derthona 1:2
    Latest results of Borgaro
    09.03.2025 Borgaro - Asti 0:0
    23.02.2025 Borgaro - Oltrepo 0:1
    16.02.2025 Fossano - Borgaro 2:1
    09.02.2025 Città di Varese - Borgaro 2:1
    02.02.2025 Borgaro - Unione Sanremo 0:2
    Draw
    Winners Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1LivornoBra4 : 1, 2 : 1
    2SiracusaOspitaletto2 : 0, 3 : 2

    Final
    1LivornoSiracusa2 : 1