Result
4:1
01/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Champions League - League phase - Round 2
- Referee: Marciniak S. (Pol)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Africa | DStv Now, Supersport Action, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Armenia | Fast Sports |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Australia | Stan Sport |
Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 3 |
Belgium | Pickx+ Sports 8, Pickx+ Sports 8 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 3 |
Brazil | HBO Max |
Canada | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada |
China | iQIYI, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 1, Cablenet Sports 1, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 7, Cytavision Sports 7 |
Czech-republic | Nova Sport 3, Oneplay |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Europe | Go3 Extra Sports Baltic |
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
France | Canal+ Live 5 |
Germany | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany, WOW |
Greece | COSMOTE Sport 9 |
Hong-kong | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Hungary | RTL+ |
Iceland | SÝN Sport 4 |
India | JioTV app, Sony LIV |
Indonesia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX, Vidio |
Italy | NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256 |
Kenya | Gotv |
Laos | beIN Connect |
Malaysia | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Malta | TSN Malta 5 |
Mexico | Amazon Prime Video, Caliente TV |
New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
Nigeria | SuperSport Action, SuperSport OTT 3 |
North-central-america | Flow Sports 1 Caribbean |
Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
Pakistan | Tapmad |
Peru | Disney+, Fox Sports 3 |
Philippines | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Poland | CANAL+ 360 |
Portugal | DAZN 4, DAZN / App |
Romania | Prima Sport PPV 1 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Singapore | beIN SPORTS MAX |
Slovakia | Voyo |
South-africa | SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Variety 2 |
South-america | ESPN 6 South, ViX Latin America |
South-korea | SPOTV Now |
Spain | M+ Liga de Campeones 2 |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Thailand | beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX |
Turkey | Tabii |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 7, MEGOGO Ukraine |
United-kingdom | Amazon Prime Video, Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 7, TNT Sports Extra |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | CBS Sports Network, Paramount+ |
Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Vietnam | ON Plus |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 0.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
52% | 48% |
Total shots |
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13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 0 |
Passes |
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86% (458/531) | 85% (411/486) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.08 | 0.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
2.01 | 1.26 |
Total shots |
---|
13 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
8 | 3 |
Shots off target |
---|
3 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
2 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
7 | 4 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
6 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
4 | 0 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 15 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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3 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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15 | 14 |
Passes |
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86% (458/531) | 85% (411/486) |
Long passes |
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53% (31/59) | 50% (26/52) |
Passes in final third |
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70% (83/118) | 67% (62/93) |
Crosses |
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9% (1/11) | 25% (4/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
0.69 | 0.28 |
Throw-ins |
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18 | 14 |
Fouls |
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14 | 15 |
Tackles |
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60% (9/15) | 60% (15/25) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 55 |
Clearances |
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17 | 22 |
Interceptions |
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15 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
1 | 1 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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1.26 | 2.01 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.26 | -1.99 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', 1 - 0, Svensson D. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
- 44', Paredes A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Williams I. ↓, Guruzeta G. ↑,
- 46', Vivian D. ↓, Laporte A. ↑,
- 46', Jauregizar M. ↓, Ruiz de Galarreta I. ↑,
- 50', 2 - 0, Chukwuemeka C. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
- 59', Gorosabel A. 🟨,
- 61', 2 - 1, Guruzeta G. ⚽,
- 63', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
- 63', Chukwuemeka C. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
- 63', Gomez U. ↓, Serrano N. ↑,
- 69', Bellingham J. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
- 70', Sule N. ↓, Schlotterbeck N. ↑,
- 80', Sannadi M. ↓, Sanchez I. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Sabitzer M. (A),
- 87', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
- 89', Beier M. 🟨,
- 90+1', 4 - 1, Brandt J. ⚽, Beier M. (A),
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund 73.3% | Draw 19.5% | Athletic Bilbao 7.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+21.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Borussia Dortmund's performance.Athletic Bilbao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Athletic Bilbao might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-20.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Bilbao than the current prediction. (+15.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Athletic Bilbao could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.61 ↓ (1.86) |
6.72 ↑ (3.82) |
19.22 ↑ (4.13) |
-17.9% (4.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao?
Users Predictions:
Borussia Dortmund will win
(93 of 102 users predict this - 91.18%).
Confidence interval (95%): 85.68% – 96.68%. The data is statistically significant.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (25 of 27 users predict this - 92.59%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Borussia D has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Athletic is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Borussia D may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Borussia D is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Anselmino A.
(Muscle Injury)
Campbell C.
(International duty)
Can E.
(Groin Injury)
Drewes P.
(Inactive)
Duranville J.
(Shoulder Injury)
Ozcan S.
(Inactive)
Sule N.
(Calf Injury)
- There will not play in Athletic: Alvarez Y.
(Doping)
Berenguer A.
(Toe Injury)
Egiluz U.
(Knee Injury)
Izeta
(Inactive)
Prados Diaz B.
(Knee Injury)
Vesga M.
(Muscle Injury)
Williams N.
(Groin Injury)
- We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.83.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Borussia D won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
- Including home match between the teams, Borussia D won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Athletic Bilbao?
Borussia Dortmund has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Bilbao won against Borussia Dortmund?
Athletic Bilbao has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Athletic Bilbao were as follows:
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of Athletic Bilbao
UEFA Champions League Table
League phase | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Bayern Munich | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Real Madrid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:1 | 6 | 6 |
3 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:1 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Inter | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
5 | Arsenal | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
6 | Qarabag | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:2 | 3 | 6 |
7 | Dortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 4 |
8 | Manchester City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
9 | Tottenham | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
10 | Atl. Madrid | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 3 |
11 | Newcastle | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
12 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 3 |
13 | Club Brugge KV | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
14 | Sporting CP | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
15 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 3 |
16 | Barcelona | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
17 | Liverpool | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
18 | Chelsea | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
19 | Napoli | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
20 | Royale Union SG | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
21 | Galatasaray | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
22 | Atalanta | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
23 | Juventus | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 6:6 | 0 | 2 |
24 | Bodo/Glimt | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
25 | Bayer Leverkusen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 2 |
26 | Villarreal | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
27 | PSV | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
28 | FC Copenhagen | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
29 | Olympiacos Piraeus | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 1 |
30 | Monaco | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:6 | -3 | 1 |
31 | Slavia Prague | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
32 | Pafos | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:5 | -4 | 1 |
33 | Benfica | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
34 | Ath Bilbao | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
35 | Ajax | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
36 | Kairat Almaty | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:9 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ Champions League (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)