Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Football German Bundesliga Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund
Result
2:3
26/04/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 31
  • Referee: Brand B. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Life
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 4
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, ESPN 3
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilCanal GOAT
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chileChileDisney+
chinaChinaZhiBo8
colombiaColombiaDisney+, ESPN 5
croatiaCroatiaSportKlub 1
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 5
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free, New World TV
germanyGermanySky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
greeceGreeceNova Sports 2
hungaryHungaryNet4+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaK-Vision, RCTI+
japanJapanSKY PerfecTV!, Sukachan 7
kosovoKosovoSuperSport 4
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaFlowsports.co Caribbean, Sky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+, Fox Sports 2
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
polandPolandEleven Sports 2, Viaplay
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 6, SportKlub 1
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV3
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandSky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter
vietnamVietnamON Plus
worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.39
Ball Possession
37%63%
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
38
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
79% (289/364)87% (543/622)
Yellow Cards
51
Expected Goals (xG)
1.342.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.532.75
Total shots
1116
Shots on target
38
Shots off target
64
Blocked Shots
24
Shots inside the Box
814
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2134
Accurate through passes
12
Offsides
60
Free Kicks
917
Passes
79% (289/364)87% (543/622)
Long passes
36% (16/45)44% (20/45)
Passes in final third
72% (68/95)84% (133/159)
Crosses
41% (7/17)14% (2/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.231.48
Throw-ins
169
Fouls
179
Tackles
50% (13/26)54% (7/13)
Duels won
5946
Clearances
3218
Interceptions
129
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
51
xGOT faced
2.751.53
Goals prevented
-0.25-0.47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 20', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Svensson D. (A),
  • 30', Akpoguma K. ↓, Nsoki S. ↑,
  • 34', Guirassy S. (Pen),
  • 42', Anton W. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 61', 1 - 1, Hlozek A. ⚽, Stach A. (A),
  • 64', Arthur Chaves 🟨,
  • 68', Nmecha F. ↓, Ozcan S. ↑,
  • 68', Gittens J. ↓, Adeyemi K. ↑,
  • 71', Bulter M. ↓, Jurasek D. ↑,
  • 71', Hlozek A. ↓, Tabakovic H. ↑,
  • 74', 1 - 2, Brandt J. ⚽, Svensson D. (A),
  • 77', Ryerson J. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
  • 77', Geiger D. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
  • 81', Sule N. ↓, Reyna G. ↑,
  • 81', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 90+1', 2 - 2, Kaderabek P. ⚽, Jurasek D. (A),
  • 90+5', 2 - 3, Anton W. ⚽, Guirassy S. (A),
  • 90+7', Nsoki S. 🟨,
  • 90+8', Kaderabek P. 🟨,
  • 90+12', Stach A. 🟨,
  • 90+13', Tohumcu U. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Hoffenheim
23.6%		Draw
23.8%		Borussia Dortmund
52.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.8% 23.3% 51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4% 22.9% 51.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Hoffenheim has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (+1.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
    •

    Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 4.07 ↑
    (3.75)    		 4.06 ↓
    (4.15)    		 1.82 ↓
    (1.89)    		 4%
    (3.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund?
  • Users Predictions: Borussia Dortmund will win (59 of 71 users predict this - 83.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 74.38% – 91.82%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An autsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 15 and 7).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 1.
    • Hoffenheim is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Borussia D is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Hoffenheim could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Bischof T. (Yellow Cards) Gendrey V. (Broken collarbone) Kabak O. (Knee Injury) Promel G. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Beier M. (Ankle Injury) Gross P. (Knee Injury) Paulina J. (Thigh Injury) Sabitzer M. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Hoffenheim: Bebou I. (Knee Injury) Lenz C. (Calf Injury) Moerstedt M. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Prass A. (Ankle Injury) Samassekou D. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Hoffenheim won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 10 matches and goals 30:34 (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Hoffenheim won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12:14 (average 1.3:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
    15.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:1
    25.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 2:3
    01.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:0
    29.09.2023 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    25.02.2023 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 0:1
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    19.04.2025 Freiburg - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺
    12.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Mainz 2:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 RB Leipzig - Hoffenheim 3:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 1:1 ✺
    14.03.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 1:0 ✺
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    20.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Borussia Mönchengladbach 3:2 ✺
    15.04.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Barcelona 3:1 ✺
    12.04.2025 Bayern Munich - Borussia Dortmund 2:2 ✺
    09.04.2025 Barcelona - Borussia Dortmund 4:0 ✺
    05.04.2025 Freiburg - Borussia Dortmund 1:4 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Union Berlin00000:000
    2Eintracht Frankfurt00000:000
    3Bayern Munich00000:000
    4Bayer Leverkusen00000:000
    5Werder Bremen00000:000
    6Hamburger SV00000:000
    7Wolfsburg00000:000
    8Dortmund00000:000
    9B. Monchengladbach00000:000
    10Hoffenheim00000:000
    11FC Koln00000:000
    12Mainz00000:000
    13Freiburg00000:000
    14St. Pauli00000:000
    15Augsburg00000:000
    16Stuttgart00000:000
    17Heidenheim00000:000
    18RB Leipzig00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
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          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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