Borussia Dortmund vs Hoffenheim – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football German Bundesliga
Result
2:0
07/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Bundesliga - Round 13
  • Referee: Badstubner F. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaAzam Sports 2, CANAL+ Sport 1, Startimes Am'mobi, StarTimes App, Startimes Ganza, Startimes Sports Arena, Startimes Sports Focus, Startimes Sports Life, Startimes Sports Premium, Startimes World Football
albaniaAlbaniaSuperSport 3
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
asiaAsiaMBC Action
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
austriaAustriaDAZN, Sky Go Austria
belgiumBelgiumPlay Sports 1, Play Sports 2
brazilBrazilCaze TV
bulgariaBulgariaNova Sport
cameroonCameroonCRTV Sports
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada, OneSoccer
czech-republicCzech-republicNova Sport 3, Oneplay
denmarkDenmarkTV3 MAX, Viaplay
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport Fotbool
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 5, Free
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch, Sky Go Germany
greeceGreeceNova Sports 3
hong-kongHong-kongbeIN Sports 2, beIN SPORTS MAX, M Plus Live, Now Player
icelandIcelandSÝN Sport Viaplay, Viaplay
indiaIndiaVision+
indonesiaIndonesiaiNews, K-Vision, MNC Soccer Channel, Vidio
israelIsraelSport 2
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Arena
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kazakhstanKazakhstanSetanta Sports
laosLaosbeIN Connect
malaysiaMalaysiabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 5
mexicoMexicoSky Sport
mongoliaMongoliaPremier Sports 3
mozambiqueMozambiqueStartimes Mania
netherlandsNetherlandsViaplay
new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaSky Sports Norte
norwayNorwayViaplay
pakistanPakistanTapmad
peruPeruDisney+
polandPolandEleven Sports 1
portugalPortugalDAZN 3, DAZN / App
romaniaRomaniaDigi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaShahid
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 7
singaporeSingaporebeIN Sports 3
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
sloveniaSloveniaSport TV1
south-koreaSouth-koreaCoupang Play
spainSpainDAZN Espana
swedenSwedenViaplay, V Sport Fotbool
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland
thailandThailandbeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
turkeyTurkeyS Sport+, Tivibu Spor 3
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, Setanta Sports+
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomAmazon Prime Video
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
vietnamVietnamTV 360
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.22
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
77% (294/380)83% (422/508)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.22
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.93
Total shots
811
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
27
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
2117
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
97
Passes
77% (294/380)83% (422/508)
Long passes
40% (26/65)47% (27/57)
Passes in final third
69% (82/119)70% (81/116)
Crosses
21% (4/19)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.351.66
Throw-ins
2026
Fouls
79
Tackles
73% (11/15)64% (9/14)
Duels won
4746
Clearances
2326
Interceptions
68
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
0.931.72
Goals prevented
0.93-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 43', 1 - 0, Brandt J. ⚽, Couto Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 60', 2 - 0, Schlotterbeck N. ⚽, Nmecha F. (A),
  • 62', Asllani F. ↓, Kramaric A. ↑,
  • 65', Bernardo 🟨,
  • 68', Hajdari A. 🟨,
  • 73', Lemperle T. ↓, Bebou I. ↑,
  • 73', Promel G. ↓, Tohumcu U. ↑,
  • 80', Brandt J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
  • 80', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
  • 80', Burger W. ↓, Hlozek A. ↑,
  • 80', Toure B. ↓, Moerstedt M. ↑,
  • 90', Guirassy S. ↓, Silva F. ↑,
  • 90', Nmecha F. ↓, Bellingham J. ↑,
  • 90+3', Couto Y. ↓, Ryerson J. ↑,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
57.1%		Draw
21.8%		Hoffenheim
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.8% 20.8% 19.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.9% 22.9% 17.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)
  • Hoffenheim has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Borussia Dortmund, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hoffenheim than the current prediction. (-3.5%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.67 ↑
    (1.59)    		 4.35 ↓
    (4.58)    		 4.57 ↓
    (4.89)    		 4.6%
    (5.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 23 - 60.5%). Hoffenheim will win (votes: 4 - 10.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 28.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 45% – 76%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Hoffenheim (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.5 - Hoffenheim (1.54) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 50%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Borussia D (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Borussia D (1.21) (votes: 1 - 50%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 11 high ROI users predict this event. Borussia D (votes: 6 - 54.5%). Hoffenheim (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 3.
    • Borussia D has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Hoffenheim is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Hoffenheim may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Borussia D is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Sule N. (Toe Injury)
    • There will not play in Hoffenheim: Machida K. (Knee Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Borussia D won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 36:31. (average 1.8:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Borussia D won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.8:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim were as follows:
    26.04.2025 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 2:3
    15.12.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:1
    25.02.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 2:3
    01.11.2023 Borussia Dortmund - Hoffenheim 1:0
    29.09.2023 Hoffenheim - Borussia Dortmund 1:3
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    02.12.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 0:1 ✺
    29.11.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 1:2 ✺
    25.11.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Villarreal 4:0 ✺
    22.11.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Stuttgart 3:3 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hamburger SV - Borussia Dortmund 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Hoffenheim
    29.11.2025 Hoffenheim - Augsburg 3:0 ✺
    21.11.2025 Mainz - Hoffenheim 1:1 ✺
    08.11.2025 Hoffenheim - RB Leipzig 3:1 ✺
    02.11.2025 Wolfsburg - Hoffenheim 2:3 ✺
    28.10.2025 St. Pauli - Hoffenheim 3:2 ✺
    German Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich27224197:257270
    2Dortmund27187258:283061
    3Stuttgart27165656:362053
    4RB Leipzig27155753:351850
    5Hoffenheim27155754:391550
    6Bayer Leverkusen27137752:361646
    7Eintracht Frankfurt27108950:51-138
    8Freiburg271071039:44-537
    9Union Berlin27871231:46-1531
    10Augsburg27941433:50-1731
    11Mainz27791133:42-930
    12Hamburger SV27791131:40-930
    13B. Monchengladbach27781233:46-1329
    14Werder Bremen27771330:47-1728
    15FC Koln27681338:47-926
    16St. Pauli27661524:44-2024
    17Wolfsburg27561635:57-2221
    18Heidenheim27361827:61-3415

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Bundesliga (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga

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