Borussia Dortmund vs Monterrey: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

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Soccer FIFA Club World Cup
Soccer FIFA Club World Cup Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey
Result
2:1
01/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - 1/8-finals
  • Referee: Tello F. (Arg)
Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.87
Ball Possession
42%58%
Total shots
614
Shots on target
37
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
35
Passes
85% (362/428)89% (536/605)
Yellow Cards
20
Expected Goals (xG)
1.610.87
xG on target (xGOT)
1.972.06
Total shots
614
Shots on target
37
Shots off target
26
Blocked Shots
11
Shots inside the Box
67
Shots outside the Box
07
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
42
Corner Kicks
35
Touches in opposition box
2128
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
52
Free Kicks
913
Passes
85% (362/428)89% (536/605)
Long passes
48% (20/42)58% (35/60)
Passes in final third
77% (123/159)73% (84/115)
Crosses
10% (1/10)25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.390.84
Throw-ins
1819
Fouls
139
Tackles
69% (9/13)88% (7/8)
Duels won
3843
Clearances
2618
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
61
xGOT faced
2.061.97
Goals prevented
1.06-0.03

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 14', 1 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
  • 24', 2 - 0, Guirassy S. ⚽, Adeyemi K. (A),
  • 28', Bellingham J. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 48', 2 - 1, Berterame G. ⚽, Aguirre E. (A),
  • 55', Bellingham J. ↓, Sabitzer M. ↑,
  • 70', Nmecha F. ↓, Brandt J. ↑,
  • 70', Adeyemi K. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
  • 83', Berterame G. ↓, Ocampos L. ↑,
  • 83', Corona J. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
  • 84', Torres O. ↓, Ambriz F. ↑,
  • 90', Canales S. ↓, Alvarado A. ↑,
  • 90+4', Guirassy S. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
53.9%		Draw
25.8%		Monterrey
20.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
54.6% 24.8% 20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 24.2% 20.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monterrey than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.77 ↑
    (1.76)    		 3.71 ↓
    (3.88)    		 4.74 ↑
    (4.69)    		 4.7%
    (3.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    •
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey?
  • Users Predictions: 91 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 70 - 76.9%). Monterrey will win (votes: 10 - 11%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 12.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 68.2% – 85.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Borussia Dortmund will win (13 of 17 users predict this - 76.47%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Borussia D has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Monterrey has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Borussia D is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Bueno G. (Injury) Can E. (Groin Injury) Gittens J. (Illness) Kabar A. (International duty) Ozcan S. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Watjen K. (International duty)
    • There will not play in Monterrey: Salcedo C. (Knee Injury)
    • We predict that Borussia D will win today's game, with odds of 1.69.
    • In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    25.06.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Ulsan HD 1:0 ✺
    21.06.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund 3:4 ✺
    17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺
    17.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel 3:0 ✺
    11.05.2025 Bayer Leverkusen - Borussia Dortmund 2:4 ✺
    Latest results of Monterrey
    25.06.2025 Urawa Red Diamonds - Monterrey 0:4 ✺
    21.06.2025 River Plate - Monterrey 0:0 ✺
    17.06.2025 Monterrey - Inter Milan 1:1 ✺
    10.05.2025 Toluca - Monterrey 2:1 ✺
    07.05.2025 Monterrey - Toluca 3:2 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)
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