Result
0:1
10/01/2026 at 22:05 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga MX - Clausura - Round 1
- Referee: Santander Aguirre L. E. (Mex)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Sky+, SportyNet, Zapping |
 Mexico | Las Estrellas, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium |
 South-america | ViX Latin America |
 Usa | CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.05 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 64% | 36% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (523/605) | 78% (264/339) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.05 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (523/605) | 78% (264/339) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 69% (36/52) | 40% (18/45) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (115/143) | 74% (81/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 7% (1/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.36 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 58% (11/19) | 44% (7/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 43 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 14 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 1.35 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.69 | 1.35 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 23', Helinho 🟨,
- 24', Gonzalez H. 🟨,
- 38', Arce F. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', 0 - 1, Helinho ⚽, Simon S. (A),
- 59', Arteaga G. ↓, Reyes L. ↑,
- 59', Martial A. ↓, de la Rosa R. ↑,
- 60', Aguirre E. ↓, Chavez R. ↑,
- 67', Virgen O. ↓, Diaz J. ↑,
- 71', Ambriz F. ↓, Fimbres I. ↑,
- 74', Perez P. ↓, Pereira F. ↑,
- 78', Pereira F. 🟨,
- 81', Torres O. ↓, Reyes C. ↑,
- 82', Helinho ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 82', Castro N. ↓, Alvarez A. ↑,
- 86', Barbosa D. 🟨,
- 88', Canales S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Monterrey
46% | Draw
26.3% | Toluca
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterrey has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
Monterrey - Toluca Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.04
(2.04) |
3.55 ↑
(3.5) |
3.36 ↓
(3.55) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monterrey - Toluca?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH 0 - Monterrey (1.46) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Monterrey will win
(24 of 28 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.75% – 98.67%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Monterrey will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Monterrey (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Toluca (votes: 1 - 14.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 2.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Monterrey may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Monterrey has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Monterrey is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Monterrey: Ocampos L.
(Face Injury)
- There will not play in Toluca: Luan
(Muscle Injury)
Romero F.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Monterrey: Corona J.
(Knee Injury)
Rodriguez M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Monterrey won 8 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:33. (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterrey won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 16:7. (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterrey won against Toluca?
Monterrey has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Toluca won against Monterrey?
Toluca has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterrey - Toluca were as follows:
06.12.2025
Toluca
-
Monterrey
3:2
03.12.2025
Monterrey
-
Toluca
1:0
24.09.2025
Toluca
-
Monterrey
6:2
10.05.2025
Toluca
-
Monterrey
2:1
07.05.2025
Monterrey
-
Toluca
3:2
Latest results of Monterrey
Mexican Liga MX Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | UNAM Pumas | 17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 36 |
| 2 | Guadalajara Chivas | 17 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 33:17 | 16 | 36 |
| 3 | Cruz Azul | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 31:18 | 13 | 33 |
| 4 | Pachuca | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 25:19 | 6 | 31 |
| 5 | Toluca | 17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 30 |
| 6 | Atlas | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 16:18 | -2 | 26 |
| 7 | Tigres UANL | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 28:18 | 10 | 25 |
| 8 | Club America | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 20:17 | 3 | 25 |
| 9 | Club Tijuana | 17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | 19:17 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Club Leon | 17 | 7 | 1 | 9 | 22:32 | -10 | 22 |
| 11 | Queretaro | 17 | 4 | 8 | 5 | 17:21 | -4 | 20 |
| 12 | Juarez | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 26:32 | -6 | 19 |
| 13 | Monterrey | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 22:24 | -2 | 18 |
| 14 | Atl. San Luis | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 24:27 | -3 | 18 |
| 15 | Necaxa | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
| 16 | Mazatlan FC | 17 | 4 | 3 | 10 | 22:37 | -15 | 15 |
| 17 | Puebla | 17 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13:26 | -13 | 13 |
| 18 | Santos Laguna | 17 | 3 | 3 | 11 | 20:38 | -18 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liga MX (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
