Real Madrid vs Borussia Dortmund – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

05/07/2025 at 16:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

MetLife Stadium (East Rutherford, NJ).

FIFA Club World Cup - Play Offs - Quarter-finals
Referee: Abatti R. (Bra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana, Solh Sports 1
Africa	Azam Sports 2, Azam Sports 4, DStv Now, New World Sport 1, Showmax, Sporty TV, StarTimes App, Startimes World Football, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 2
Angola	Z Sports 1
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Mi Telefe
Armenia	Fast Sports
Australia	DAZN, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN, SAT1
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	BNT News App, DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, SporTV, TV Globo, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	BNT 1, DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Cape-verde	TCV Internacional
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TDMAX, Teletica 7
Cote-d-ivoire	NCI
Croatia	DAZN
Cuba	Tele Rebelde
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Nova Sport 6, Oneplay Sport 1, Oneplay Sport 4
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, Teleamazonas
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Estonia	TV6
Eswatini	Eswatini TV
Europe	Go3 Sport 3 Baltic, Go3 Sport Open Baltic
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN France, New World TV
Georgia	1TV
Germany	DAZN Deutsch, SAT1
Greece	ANT 1 Greece, DAZN
Guatemala	Azteca Guatemala
Honduras	Deportes TV
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Match 4
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	Canale 5, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, Infinity+
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	ART Sport 1
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN, TV3
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM Sport+
Mauritius	MBC 11
Mexico	Canal 5, DAZN App, DAZN, TUDN, VIX+, ViX Premium
Montenegro	TVCG 2
Mozambique	Startimes Mania, TV Miramar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, SNT, Telefuturo, Tigo Sports+
Peru	America TV GO, America TV, DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal, TVI Player, TVI
Romania	DAZN, Pro TV, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport OTT 3, SuperSport Premier League
South-america	DGO Latin America, ViX Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana, Mitele Plus, TeleCinco
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland, SAT1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii, TRT 1
Uganda	Sanyuka TV
Ukraine	DAZN, MEGOGO Sport, Suspilne Sport
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	Channel 5, DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA, TNT, truTV, TUDN App, TUDN, Univision
Uzbekistan	DAZN, Zor TV
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.34	1.35
Ball Possession
49%	51%
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
8	5
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
87% (430/493)	92% (484/527)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Red Cards
1	0
Expected Goals (xG)
2.34	1.35
xG on target (xGOT)
2.70	2.49
Total shots
15	12
Shots on target
8	5
Shots off target
5	6
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
11	8
Shots outside the Box
4	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
5	1
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
21	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
6	10
Passes
87% (430/493)	92% (484/527)
Long passes
52% (24/46)	71% (30/42)
Passes in final third
78% (107/138)	83% (110/133)
Crosses
33% (5/15)	25% (4/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.31	0.38
Throw-ins
17	18
Fouls
10	6
Tackles
63% (10/16)	67% (4/6)
Duels won
30	29
Clearances
13	20
Interceptions
9	16
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
3	5
xGOT faced
2.49	2.70
Goals prevented
-0.20	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Garcia G. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Garcia F. ⚽, Alexander-Arnold T. (A),
37', Gross P. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Adeyemi K. ↓, Beier M. ↑,
46', Sule N. ↓, Couto Y. ↑,
46', Gross P. ↓, Nmecha F. ↑,
63', Brandt J. ↓, Duranville J. ↑,
63', Couto Y. 🟨,
67', Vinicius Junior ↓, Modric L. ↑,
67', Bellingham J. ↓, Mbappe K. ↑,
67', Alexander-Arnold T. ↓, Ceballos D. ↑,
81', Duranville J. ↓, Chukwuemeka C. ↑,
85', Tchouameni A. ↓, Asencio R. ↑,
86', Garcia G. ↓, Rodrygo ↑,
90+3', 2 - 1, Beier M. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 1, Mbappe K. ⚽, Guler A. (A),
90+5', Huijsen D. 🟥,
90+8', Mbappe K. 🟨,
90+8', 3 - 2, Guirassy S. (Pen),

Chances of winning

Real Madrid
58.4%

Draw
22.5%

Borussia Dortmund
19%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

21%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

20%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Madrid than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.58)	4.23 ↓ (4.52)	5 ↓ (5.05)	5% (5.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund?

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Real will win (votes: 38 - 76%). Borussia D will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 14%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real: 64.2% – 87.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -0.75 - Real (votes: 6 - 100%).

AH -1 - Real (votes: 8 - 88.9%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Real Madrid will win (13 of 16 users predict this - 81.25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real won 4.
Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.
Recently, Real has had a series of home games.
In this match, Real is seen as the favorite.
There will not play in Real: Alaba D. (Knee Injury) Camavinga E. (Groin Injury) Endrick (Hamstring Injury) Mendy F. (Hamstring Injury) Reinier (Inactive)
There will not play in Borussia D: Bellingham J. (Yellow Cards) Bueno G. (Injury) Can E. (Groin Injury) Chukwuemeka C. (Illness) Gittens J. (Illness) Kabar A. (International duty) Ozcan S. (Knee Injury) Schlotterbeck N. (Knee Injury) Watjen K. (International duty)
We predict that Real will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Real won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 2.2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Real won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 17:8. (average 2.8:1.3).

How many head-to-head matches has Real Madrid won against Borussia Dortmund?

Real Madrid has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Real Madrid?

Borussia Dortmund has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:

22.10.2024 Real Madrid - Borussia Dortmund 5:2

01.06.2024 Borussia Dortmund - Real Madrid 0:2

Latest results of Real Madrid

01.07.2025 Real Madrid - Juventus 1:0 ✺

26.06.2025 Red Bull Salzburg - Real Madrid 0:3 ✺

22.06.2025 Real Madrid - Pachuca 3:1 ✺

18.06.2025 Real Madrid - Al-Hilal 1:1 ✺

24.05.2025 Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Borussia Dortmund

01.07.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Monterrey 2:1 ✺

25.06.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Ulsan HD 1:0 ✺

21.06.2025 Mamelodi Sundowns - Borussia Dortmund 3:4 ✺

17.06.2025 Fluminense - Borussia Dortmund 0:0 ✺

17.05.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Holstein Kiel 3:0 ✺

Draw

Play Offs

1/8-finals

1	Inter (E1)	Fluminense (F2)	0 : 2
2	Manchester City (G1)	Al Hilal (H2)	3 : 4
3	Palmeiras (A1)	Botafogo RJ (B2)	1 : 0
4	Benfica (C1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 4
5	PSG (B1)	Inter Miami (A2)	4 : 0
6	Flamengo RJ (D1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 4
7	Real Madrid (H1)	Juventus (G2)	1 : 0
8	Dortmund (F1)	Monterrey (E2)	2 : 1

Quarter-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Al Hilal (H2)	2 : 1
2	Palmeiras (A1)	Chelsea (D2)	1 : 2
3	PSG (B1)	Bayern Munich (C2)	2 : 0
4	Real Madrid (H1)	Dortmund (F1)	3 : 2

Semi-finals

1	Fluminense (F2)	Chelsea (D2)	0 : 2
2	PSG (B1)	Real Madrid (H1)	4 : 0

Final

1

Chelsea (D2)

PSG (B1)

3 : 0