Result
2:2
11/03/2023 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- GERMANY: BUNDESLIGA - ROUND 24
- Referee: Fritz M. (Ger)
Chances of winning
Schalke 04
24.7% | Draw
25.6% | Borussia Dortmund
49.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Schalke 04 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Schalke 04's performance.Borussia Dortmund has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Borussia Dortmund might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Schalke 04 than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Schalke 04 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Borussia Dortmund could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.87 ↓
(5.03) |
3.72 ↓
(4.27) |
1.92 ↑
(1.6) |
4.8%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund?
Users Predictions:
114 users predict this event. Schalke will win (votes: 15 - 13.2%). Borussia D will win (votes: 91 - 79.8%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 72.4% – 87.2%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (Group Stage)).
- Schalke has the most likely position - 18 (31.32%), has project points - 30, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- Borussia D has the most likely position - 2 (53.09%), has project points - 68, has currently - 49, has not chance of relegated, has a very good chance of qualify for ucl (96%), has a small chance of win league (15%).
- This event has quality 68, importance 55, match rating 62. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Schalke won 0.
- At the moment teams are feeling good and ready to play.
- Borussia D could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- In this match Borussia D is a favorite.
- There will not play in Schalke: Drexler D.
(Hip Injury)
Heekeren J.
(Knee Injury)
Kozuki S.
(Ankle Injury)
Latza D.
(Muscle Injury)
Ouwejan T.
(Groin Injury)
Polter S.
(Knee Injury)
Skarke T.
(Leg Injury)
Uronen J.
(Groin Injury)
van den Berg S.
(Leg Injury)
- There will not play in Borussia D: Adeyemi K.
(Thigh Injury)
Brandt J.
(Muscle Injury)
Duranville J.
(Muscle Injury)
Kamara A.
(Knee Injury)
Morey Bauza M.
(Knee Injury)
Moukoko Y.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Schalke: Brunner C.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Borussia D: Reus M.
(Illness)
- Last 21 head-to-head matches Schalke won 5 matches, drawn 7 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 24-37.
- Including matches at home between the teams Schalke won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 12-16.
How many head-to-head matches has Schalke 04 won against Borussia Dortmund?
Schalke 04 has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Schalke 04?
Borussia Dortmund has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Schalke 04 - Borussia Dortmund were as follows:
17.09.2022
Borussia Dortmund
-
Schalke 04
1:0
Latest results of Schalke 04
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
German Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 3 |
| 2 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Wolfsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Augsburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Union Berlin | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Hoffenheim | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Dortmund | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | St. Pauli | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Hamburger SV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | B. Monchengladbach | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Bayer Leverkusen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Stuttgart | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Mainz | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Freiburg | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Werder Bremen | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | RB Leipzig | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:6 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Bundesliga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ 2. Bundesliga
