Borussia Dortmund vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:1
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
68.1%
Draw
17.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.7% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 16.8% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.4)
    5.36
    (5.09)
    6.82
    (7.05)
    4.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 57.7%85.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Borussia D has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Shakhtar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Monaco (21)PSG (11)2 : 2, 2 : 3
    2Galatasaray (20)Juventus (13)2 : 3, 5 : 2
    3Benfica (24)Real Madrid (9)1 : 2, 0 : 1
    4Dortmund (17)Atalanta (15)1 : 4, 2 : 0
    5Qarabag (22)Newcastle (12)2 : 3, 1 : 6
    6Club Brugge KV (19)Atl. Madrid (14)1 : 4, 3 : 3
    7Bodo/Glimt (23)Inter (10)2 : 1, 3 : 1
    8Olympiacos Piraeus (18)Bayer Leverkusen (16)0 : 0, 0 : 2
    9Barcelona (5)Bye
    10Chelsea (6)Bye
    11Liverpool (3)Bye
    12Tottenham (4)Bye
    13Sporting CP (7)Bye
    14Manchester City (8)Bye
    15Arsenal (1)Bye
    16Bayern Munich (2)Bye