Borussia Dortmund vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
3:1
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
68.1%		Draw
17.8%		Shakhtar Donetsk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.7% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 16.8% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↑
    (1.4)    		 5.36 ↑
    (5.09)    		 6.82 ↓
    (7.05)    		 4.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 57.7% – 85.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Borussia D has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Shakhtar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    25.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen 2:2 ✺
    21.01.2025 Bologna - Borussia Dortmund 2:1 ✺
    17.01.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    14.01.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund 4:2 ✺
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    22.01.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest 2:0 ✺
    15.12.2024 Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    05.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Vorskla Poltava 3:1 ✺
    01.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 1:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bayern Munich22008:266
    2Real Madrid22007:166
    3PSG22006:156
    4Inter22005:056
    5Arsenal22004:046
    6Qarabag22005:236
    7Dortmund21108:534
    8Manchester City21104:224
    9Tottenham21103:214
    10Atl. Madrid21017:433
    11Newcastle21015:233
    12Marseille21015:233
    13Club Brugge KV21015:323
    14Sporting CP21015:323
    15Eintracht Frankfurt21016:603
    16Barcelona21013:303
    17Liverpool21013:303
    18Chelsea21012:3-13
    19Napoli21012:3-13
    20Royale Union SG21013:5-23
    21Galatasaray21012:5-33
    22Atalanta21012:5-33
    23Juventus20206:602
    24Bodo/Glimt20204:402
    25Bayer Leverkusen20203:302
    26Villarreal20112:3-11
    27PSV20112:4-21
    28FC Copenhagen20112:4-21
    29Olympiacos Piraeus20110:2-21
    30Monaco20113:6-31
    31Slavia Prague20112:5-31
    32Pafos20111:5-41
    33Benfica20022:4-20
    34Ath Bilbao20021:6-50
    35Ajax20020:6-60
    36Kairat Almaty20021:9-80

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