Result
3:1
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
- Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 Africa | New World Sport 1, New World Sport App |
 Armenia | Fast Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD |
 Australia | Stan Sport |
 Austria | Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6 |
 Brazil | Max |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 China | iQIYI, QQ Sports |
 Cyprus | Cytavision on the Go |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+ |
 France | Canal+ Live 14, New World TV |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 Hungary | RTL+ |
 Iceland | Viaplay |
 India | Sony LIV |
 Indonesia | beIN Connect, Vidio |
 Kosovo | ART Motion Sport 1 |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Myanmar | Canal+ Myanmar |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
 Pakistan | Tapmad |
 Philippines | beIN Connect |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-america | ESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1 |
 Turkey | Tabii |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ UK |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
 Vietnam | ON Plus, TV 360 |
 World | Disney+, JioTV app |
Chances of winning
Borussia Dortmund
68.1% | Draw
17.8% | Shakhtar Donetsk
14.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.41 ↑
(1.4) |
5.36 ↑
(5.09) |
6.82 ↓
(7.05) |
4.3%
(5.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Users Predictions:
42 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 57.7% – 85.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- Borussia D has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Shakhtar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.
- In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
- There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F.
(Knee Injury)
Sule N.
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo
(Muscle Injury)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
How many head-to-head matches has Borussia Dortmund won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Borussia Dortmund has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Borussia Dortmund?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Draw
2025/261/8-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Bye | |
| 2 | Ludogorets | Din. Minsk | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Noah | Buducnost | 2 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Bye | Ferencvaros | |
| 5 | TNS | Shkendija | 1 : 2, 0 : 0 |
| 6 | FCSB | Inter Escaldes | 1 : 2, 3 : 1 |
| 7 | Shelbourne | Linfield | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 8 | Bye | Qarabag | |
| 9 | Lech Poznan | Bye | |
| 10 | Egnatia | Breidablik | 0 : 5, 1 : 0 |
| 11 | Vikingur | Lincoln Red Imps | 0 : 1, 2 : 3 |
| 12 | Bye | Crvena zvezda | |
| 13 | Zalgiris | Hamrun | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Bye | Dyn. Kyiv | |
| 15 | Pafos | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | Maccabi Tel Aviv | |
| 17 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 25 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 29 | KuPS | Milsami | 0 : 0, 1 : 0 |
| 30 | O. Ljubljana | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 2, 1 : 1 |
| 31 | Slovan Bratislava | Bye | |
| 32 | Virtus | Zrinjski | 1 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 33 | Basel | Bye | |
| 37 | Levadia | RFS | 0 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 38 | Iberia 1999 | Malmo FF | 1 : 3, 1 : 3 |
| 39 | FC Copenhagen | Bye | |
| 40 | Drita | Differdange | 3 : 2, 1 : 0 |
| 41 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 44 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 45 | Nice | Bye | |
| 48 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 49 | Rangers | Bye | |
| 50 | Bye | Panathinaikos | |
| 51 | Plzen | Bye | |
| 52 | Bye | Servette | |
| 53 | Brann | Bye | |
| 54 | Bye | Salzburg | |
| 56 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rijeka | Ludogorets | 1 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Noah | Ferencvaros | 3 : 4, 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Shkendija | FCSB | 2 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 4 | Shelbourne | Qarabag | 0 : 1, 0 : 3 |
| 5 | Lech Poznan | Breidablik | 1 : 0, 7 : 1 |
| 6 | Lincoln Red Imps | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Hamrun | Dyn. Kyiv | 0 : 3, 0 : 3 |
| 8 | Pafos | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 1 : 0, 1 : 1 |
| 9 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 13 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 15 | KuPS | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 3, 2 : 0 |
| 16 | Slovan Bratislava | Zrinjski | 2 : 2, 4 : 0 |
| 17 | Basel | Bye | |
| 19 | RFS | Malmo FF | 0 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 20 | FC Copenhagen | Drita | 1 : 0, 2 : 0 |
| 21 | Feyenoord | Bye | |
| 22 | Bye | Fenerbahce | |
| 23 | Nice | Bye | |
| 24 | Bye | Benfica | |
| 25 | Rangers | Panathinaikos | 1 : 1, 2 : 0 |
| 26 | Plzen | Servette | 3 : 1, 0 : 1 |
| 27 | Brann | Salzburg | 1 : 1, 1 : 4 |
| 28 | Bye | Club Brugge KV | |
Semi-finals| 1 | Ludogorets | Ferencvaros | 0 : 3, 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Shkendija | Qarabag | 1 : 5, 0 : 1 |
| 3 | Lech Poznan | Crvena zvezda | 1 : 1, 1 : 3 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | Pafos | 0 : 2, 0 : 1 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Sturm Graz | |
| 7 | Celtic | Bye | |
| 8 | Kairat Almaty | Slovan Bratislava | 1 : 1, 1 : 0 |
| 9 | Basel | Bye | |
| 10 | Malmo FF | FC Copenhagen | 0 : 5, 0 : 0 |
| 11 | Feyenoord | Fenerbahce | 2 : 5, 2 : 1 |
| 12 | Nice | Benfica | 0 : 2, 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Rangers | Plzen | 1 : 2, 3 : 0 |
| 14 | Salzburg | Club Brugge KV | 2 : 3, 0 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Ferencvaros | Qarabag | 1 : 3 |
| 2 | Crvena zvezda | Pafos | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Bodo/Glimt | Sturm Graz | 5 : 0 |
| 4 | Celtic | Kairat Almaty | 0 : 0 |
| 5 | Basel | FC Copenhagen | 1 : 1 |
| 6 | Fenerbahce | Benfica | 0 : 0 |
| 7 | Rangers | Club Brugge KV | 1 : 3 |
