Borussia Dortmund vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League
Football UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
3:1
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
68.1%		Draw
17.8%		Shakhtar Donetsk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.7% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 16.8% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
    •

    Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 1.41 ↑
    (1.4)    		 5.36 ↑
    (5.09)    		 6.82 ↓
    (7.05)    		 4.3%
    (5.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    •
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 57.7% – 85.1%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Borussia D has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Shakhtar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    25.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Werder Bremen 2:2 ✺
    21.01.2025 Bologna - Borussia Dortmund 2:1 ✺
    17.01.2025 Eintracht Frankfurt - Borussia Dortmund 2:0 ✺
    14.01.2025 Holstein Kiel - Borussia Dortmund 4:2 ✺
    10.01.2025 Borussia Dortmund - Bayer Leverkusen 2:3 ✺
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    22.01.2025 Shakhtar Donetsk - Brest 2:0 ✺
    15.12.2024 Polissya Zhytomyr - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:0 ✺
    10.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Bayern Munich 1:5 ✺
    05.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Vorskla Poltava 3:1 ✺
    01.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 1:1 ✺
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/8-finals
    1LevadiaRFS0 : 1, 0 : 1
    2Iberia 1999Malmo FF1 : 3, 1 : 3
    3FC CopenhagenBye
    4DritaDifferdange3 : 2, 1 : 0
    5Lech PoznanBye
    6EgnatiaBreidablik0 : 5, 1 : 0
    7VikingurLincoln Red Imps0 : 1, 2 : 3
    8ByeCrvena zvezda
    9KuPSMilsami0 : 0, 1 : 0
    10O. LjubljanaKairat Almaty0 : 2, 1 : 1
    11Slovan BratislavaBye
    12VirtusZrinjski1 : 2, 0 : 2
    13RijekaBye
    14LudogoretsDin. Minsk2 : 2, 1 : 0
    15NoahBuducnost2 : 2, 1 : 0
    16ByeFerencvaros
    17ZalgirisHamrun0 : 3, 2 : 0
    18ByeDyn. Kyiv
    19PafosBye
    20ByeMaccabi Tel Aviv
    21TNSShkendija1 : 2, 0 : 0
    22FCSBInter Escaldes1 : 2, 3 : 1
    23ShelbourneLinfield1 : 1, 1 : 0
    24ByeQarabag
    25BrannBye
    26ByeSalzburg
    28ByeClub Brugge KV
    29RangersBye
    30ByePanathinaikos
    31PlzenBye
    32ByeServette
    33NiceBye
    36ByeBenfica
    37FeyenoordBye
    40ByeFenerbahce

    Quarter-finals
    1RFSMalmo FF0 : 1, 1 : 4
    2FC CopenhagenDrita1 : 0, 2 : 0
    3Lech PoznanBreidablik1 : 0, 7 : 1
    4Lincoln Red ImpsCrvena zvezda1 : 5, 0 : 1
    5KuPSKairat Almaty0 : 3, 2 : 0
    6Slovan BratislavaZrinjski2 : 2, 4 : 0
    7RijekaLudogorets1 : 3, 0 : 0
    8NoahFerencvaros3 : 4, 1 : 2
    9HamrunDyn. Kyiv0 : 3, 0 : 3
    10PafosMaccabi Tel Aviv1 : 0, 1 : 1
    11ShkendijaFCSB2 : 1, 1 : 0
    12ShelbourneQarabag0 : 1, 0 : 3
    13BrannSalzburg1 : 1, 1 : 4
    14ByeClub Brugge KV
    15RangersPanathinaikos1 : 1, 2 : 0
    16PlzenServette3 : 1, 0 : 1
    17NiceBye
    18ByeBenfica
    19FeyenoordBye
    20ByeFenerbahce

    Semi-finals
    1Malmo FFFC Copenhagen
    2Lech PoznanCrvena zvezda
    3Kairat AlmatySlovan Bratislava
    4LudogoretsFerencvaros
    5Dyn. KyivPafos
    6ShkendijaQarabag
    7SalzburgClub Brugge KV
    8RangersPlzen
    9NiceBenfica
    10FeyenoordFenerbahce
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