Borussia Dortmund vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football UEFA Champions League Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
3:1
29/01/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • EUROPE: Champions League - League phase - Round 8
  • Referee: Nyberg G. (Swe)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaNew World Sport 1, New World Sport App
armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 2, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, beIN Sports MENA Xtra 3, TOD
australiaAustraliaStan Sport
austriaAustriaSky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
brazilBrazilMax
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
chinaChinaiQIYI, QQ Sports
cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go
denmarkDenmarkViaplay
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
franceFranceCanal+ Live 14, New World TV
germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
hungaryHungaryRTL+
icelandIcelandViaplay
indiaIndiaSony LIV
indonesiaIndonesiabeIN Connect, Vidio
kosovoKosovoART Motion Sport 1
mexicoMexicoCaliente TV App, Caliente TV
myanmarMyanmarCanal+ Myanmar
new-zealandNew-zealandDAZN New Zealand
norwayNorwayTV2 Play
pakistanPakistanTapmad
philippinesPhilippinesbeIN Connect
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
slovakiaSlovakiaVoyo
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 5 South, ViX Latin America
swedenSwedenViaplay
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
turkeyTurkeyTabii
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 1
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK
usaUsaParamount+
vietnamVietnamON Plus, TV 360
worldWorldDisney+, JioTV app

Match Stats

Chances of winning


Borussia Dortmund
68.1%
Draw
17.8%
Shakhtar Donetsk
14.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
67.8% 18.7% 13.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61% 16.8% 15%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Borussia Dortmund has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Borussia Dortmund than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Borussia Dortmund that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
  • Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.41
    (1.4)
    5.36
    (5.09)
    6.82
    (7.05)
    4.3%
    (5.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
    What is the prediction for Borussia Dortmund - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Borussia D will win (votes: 30 - 71.4%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 7 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 11.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Borussia D: 57.7%85.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Borussia D has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Shakhtar is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Shakhtar could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Recently Shakhtar have a series of home games.
    • In this match Borussia D is certain favorite.
    • There will not play in Borussia D: Nmecha F. (Knee Injury) Sule N. (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Shakhtar: Eguinaldo (Muscle Injury)
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:2 (average 2.5:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Borussia D won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:0
    Latest results of Borussia Dortmund
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    UEFA Champions League Table
    League phase
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1PSG330013:3109
    2Bayern Munich330012:2109
    3Inter33009:099
    4Arsenal33008:089
    5Real Madrid33008:179
    6Dortmund321012:757
    7Manchester City32106:247
    8Newcastle32018:266
    9Barcelona32019:456
    10Liverpool32018:446
    11Chelsea32017:436
    12Sporting CP32017:436
    13Qarabag32016:516
    14Galatasaray32015:6-16
    15Tottenham31203:215
    16PSV31118:624
    17Atalanta31112:5-34
    18Marseille31026:423
    19Atl. Madrid31027:8-13
    20Club Brugge KV31025:7-23
    21Ath Bilbao31024:7-33
    22Eintracht Frankfurt31027:11-43
    23Napoli31024:9-53
    24Royale Union SG31023:9-63
    25Juventus30216:7-12
    26Bodo/Glimt30215:7-22
    27Monaco30213:6-32
    28Slavia Prague30212:5-32
    29Pafos30211:5-42
    30Bayer Leverkusen30215:10-52
    31Villarreal30122:5-31
    32FC Copenhagen30124:8-41
    33Olympiacos Piraeus30121:8-71
    34Kairat Almaty30121:9-81
    35Benfica30032:7-50
    36Ajax30031:11-100

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