Result
1:0
20/04/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 24
- Referee: Kopiyevsky V. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 21', Krushynskyi B. ↓, Maisuradze G. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Emerllahu L. ↓, Fedor O. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 0, Bondar V. ⚽, Alisson (A),
- 62', Krasnopir I. ↓, Gayduchyk M. ↑,
- 62', Nazarenko O. ↓, Bragaru M. ↑,
- 70', Eguinaldo ↓, Newerton ↑,
- 70', Alisson ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 80', Traore L. ↓, Kaua Elias ↑,
- 81', Andriyevski O. ↓, Krasniqi I. ↑,
- 84', Bragaru M. 🟨,
- 88', Bondarenko A. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
- 88', Isaque Silva ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
- 90+2', Ocheretko O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Shakhtar Donetsk
47.7% | Draw
28.3% | Polissya Zhytomyr
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Shakhtar Donetsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shakhtar Donetsk's form might have worsened.Polissya Zhytomyr has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Polissya Zhytomyr's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (+12.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Polissya Zhytomyr than the current prediction. (-7.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Polissya Zhytomyr, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↑
(1.61) |
3.31 ↓
(3.94) |
3.92 ↓
(5.66) |
6.5%
(5.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Shakhtar will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Polissya will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shakhtar: 46.4% – 99%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Playing home matches at a different stadium - Arena Lviv.
- The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 1.
- Recent performances by Shakhtar have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Polissya is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Shakhtar may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Shakhtar is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Shakhtar won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:4. (average 0.2:0.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Shakhtar won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Polissya Zhytomyr?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Polissya Zhytomyr won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Polissya Zhytomyr has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Shakhtar Donetsk - Polissya Zhytomyr were as follows:
18.10.2025
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
0:0
23.04.2025
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
0:1
15.12.2024
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:0
11.08.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Polissya Zhytomyr
0:1
25.05.2024
Polissya Zhytomyr
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
2:0
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Latest results of Polissya Zhytomyr
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 25 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 59:16 | 43 | 60 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 25 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 36:16 | 20 | 52 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 25 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 44:17 | 27 | 49 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 25 | 14 | 5 | 6 | 58:31 | 27 | 47 |
| 5 | Metalist 1925 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 4 | 31:14 | 17 | 45 |
| 6 | Kolos Kovalivka | 25 | 10 | 10 | 5 | 24:21 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Kryvbas | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | 43:38 | 5 | 40 |
| 8 | Karpaty Lviv | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 35:26 | 9 | 36 |
| 9 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 25 | 9 | 8 | 8 | 35:32 | 3 | 35 |
| 10 | Veres-Rivne | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 22:31 | -9 | 29 |
| 11 | Obolon | 25 | 6 | 8 | 11 | 22:42 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Epitsentr | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 13 | Kudrivka | 25 | 5 | 6 | 14 | 26:42 | -16 | 21 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 25 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 17:42 | -25 | 20 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 25 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 18:49 | -31 | 13 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 25 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20:63 | -43 | 11 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
