Botafogo PB vs Caxias – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/06/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - First stage - Round 9
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
86
Corner Kicks
73
Yellow Cards
24
Total shots
1512
Shots on target
86
Shots off target
76
Corner Kicks
73
Goalkeeper Saves
47

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 15', Gama 🟨,
  • 18', 1 - 0, Gabriel Honorio ,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Eduardo Melo ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Calyson , Douglas Skilo ,
  • 47', Gabriel Honorio 🟨,
  • 50', Vinicius Guedes 🟨,
  • 57', 1 - 2, Tomas Bastos ,
  • 58', Diego Ferreira , Lucas Lopes ,
  • 58', Thallyson , Diogo J. ,
  • 63', Silvinho , Denilson ,
  • 65', Pedro Cuiaba , Lorran ,
  • 71', Lorran 🟨,
  • 71', Gama , Natham ,
  • 71', Gabriel Honorio , Camilo ,
  • 76', Vinicius Guedes , Alisson ,
  • 76', Tomas Bastos , Guilherme Mantuan ,
  • 78', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
  • 81', Eduardo Melo , Gustavo Nescau ,
  • 90+4', 🟨,

Chances of winning


Botafogo PB
47.6%
Draw
29.4%
Caxias
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.1% 28.5% 30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.1% 28.5% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo PB has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Botafogo PB's performance.
  • Caxias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Caxias might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo PB than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo PB that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Caxias could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Botafogo PB - Caxias Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (2.15)
    3.08
    (3.1)
    3.95
    (2.9)
    10.3%
    (13.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Botafogo PB - Caxias?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo PB (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
    • Botafogo PB is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Botafogo PB is considered a favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    • Including home match between the teams, Botafogo PB won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo PB - Caxias were as follows:
    28.04.2024 Botafogo PB - Caxias 1:1
    Latest results of Botafogo PB
    01.06.2025 Figueirense - Botafogo PB 1:0
    21.05.2025 Flamengo - Botafogo PB 4:2
    18.05.2025 Maringá - Botafogo PB 1:1
    11.05.2025 Botafogo PB - Floresta 2:3
    Latest results of Caxias
    31.05.2025 Caxias - Londrina 4:2
    24.05.2025 Itabaiana - Caxias 2:1
    18.05.2025 São Bernardo - Caxias 1:0
    11.05.2025 Caxias - Retrô Brasil 2:1
    05.05.2025 Figueirense - Caxias 2:3
    Brazilian Serie C Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ituano11002:023
    2Maringa FC11003:213
    3Brusque11002:113
    4Floresta EC11002:113
    5Santa Cruz11001:013
    6Paysandu PA11001:013
    7Botafogo PB11001:013
    8Amazonas11001:013
    9Figueirense10101:101
    10Guarani10101:101
    11Maranhao10101:101
    12Ypiranga FC10101:101
    13Ferroviaria10012:3-10
    14SER Caxias10011:2-10
    15Inter de Limeira10011:2-10
    16Volta Redonda10010:1-10
    17Itabaiana10010:1-10
    18Confianca10010:1-10
    19Barra FC10010:1-10
    20Anapolis10010:2-20

          Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie D