Result
2:1
24/05/2025 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie C - First stage - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 34', Pedro Cuiaba 🟨,
- 37', 0 - 1, Iago ⚽,
- 42', Thiago Coelho 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Romeu ↓, Leilson ↑,
- 62', Fabian Fernandez Nizio A. R. ↓, Robinho ↑,
- 62', Jackson ↓, Joao Cabral ↑,
- 65', Eduardo Melo ↓, Eliedson ↑,
- 65', Pedro Cuiaba ↓, Gustavo Nescau ↑,
- 66', 1 - 1, Leilson ⚽,
- 73', Vinicius Guedes ↓, Lorran ↑,
- 73', Iago ↓, Petterson ↑,
- 74', Carlos Coppetti ↓, Elimar ↑,
- 74', Fabricio Oya ↓, Rhuan Silveira ↑,
- 76', 2 - 1, Robinho ⚽, Joao Cabral (A),
- 77', Calyson ↓, Gabriel Lima ↑,
- 79', Betao 🟨,
Chances of winning
Itabaiana
35.1% | Draw
32.2% | Caxias
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Itabaiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)Caxias has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Itabaiana than the current prediction. (+5.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Itabaiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caxias than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Itabaiana - Caxias Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.6 ↑
(2.28) |
2.83 ↓
(3.1) |
2.79 ↓
(2.95) |
9.6%
(10%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Itabaiana - Caxias?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.25 - Caxias (1.74) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Itabaiana (votes: 1 - 50%). Caxias (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie D and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )).
- Itabaiana has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Caxias has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- The teams have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Itabaiana won against Caxias?
Itabaiana has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Caxias won against Itabaiana?
Caxias has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Itabaiana - Caxias were as follows:
Latest results of Itabaiana
Brazilian Serie C Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Amazonas | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 12 |
| 2 | Brusque | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Paysandu PA | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7:3 | 4 | 8 |
| 4 | Floresta EC | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 5 | Ypiranga FC | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:4 | 3 | 7 |
| 6 | Ituano | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:5 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Botafogo PB | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 6 |
| 8 | SER Caxias | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 |
| 9 | Maringa FC | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:10 | -1 | 6 |
| 10 | Guarani | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 11 | Barra FC | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 5 |
| 12 | Inter de Limeira | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6:6 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 | Santa Cruz | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2:3 | -1 | 4 |
| 14 | Figueirense | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 | Maranhao | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3:7 | -4 | 4 |
| 16 | Confianca | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 3 |
| 17 | Volta Redonda | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | Anapolis | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4:8 | -4 | 3 |
| 19 | Ferroviaria | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 | Itabaiana | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Serie C (Second stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie D
