Carabobo vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Libertadores
Football Copa Libertadores Carabobo - Botafogo RJ
Result
1:2
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
  • Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaStarTimes App, Startimes World Football
argentinaArgentinaDisney+, FOX Sports 2
asiaAsiabeIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD
australiaAustraliabeIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
canadaCanadabeIN Connect
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
indonesiaIndonesiaMola TV
israelIsraelSport 1
italyItalyComo TV
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalSport TV1
russiaRussiaOkko Sport
south-americaSouth-americaESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsabeIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.44
Ball Possession
40%60%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
92
Passes
76% (241/316)84% (429/508)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
0.721.44
xG on target (xGOT)
1.561.82
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
67
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
22
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
43
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
14
Corner Kicks
92
Touches in opposition box
1716
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
136
Passes
76% (241/316)84% (429/508)
Long passes
38% (22/58)50% (31/62)
Passes in final third
58% (52/90)67% (99/147)
Crosses
21% (5/24)21% (3/14)
Expected assists (xA)
0.270.47
Throw-ins
3018
Fouls
613
Tackles
57% (4/7)71% (12/17)
Duels won
4351
Clearances
1933
Interceptions
133
Errors leading to shot
10
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
55
xGOT faced
1.821.56
Goals prevented
-0.180.52

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 22', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
  • 35', Rwan Cruz 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 54', David Ricardo 🟨,
  • 67', Perez J. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
  • 69', Rwan Cruz ↓, Artur ↑,
  • 69', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
  • 74', Tortolero E. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
  • 76', 1 - 1, Aponte L. ⚽,
  • 80', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
  • 80', Alex Telles ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
  • 86', Nunez M. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
  • 89', Jeffinho ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Cuiabano ⚽, Allan (A),
  • 90+5', Gonzalez G. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Carabobo
17.2%		Draw
27%		Botafogo RJ
55.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
14.9% 23.4% 61.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.8% 23.6% 62.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
    •

    Carabobo - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 5.56 ↓
    (6.35)    		 3.5 ↓
    (4.04)    		 1.69 ↑
    (1.53)    		 5.8%
    (5.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Carabobo - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 29% – 96%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Carabobo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Botafogo is the clear favorite.
    • There will not play in Carabobo: Martinez L. (Knee Injury) Neira E. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Matheus Martins (Inactive) Rodriguez S. (Inactive)
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carabobo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    08.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Carabobo 2:0
    Latest results of Carabobo
    02.05.2025 Metropolitanos - Carabobo 1:3
    27.04.2025 Carabobo - Deportivo Táchira 0:0
    22.04.2025 Carabobo - Universidad de Chile 1:1 ✺
    17.04.2025 Deportivo La Guaira - Carabobo 0:0 ✺
    13.04.2025 Carabobo - Academia Anzoátegui 1:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    03.05.2025 Bahia - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    30.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Capital CF Ltda 4:0 ✺
    26.04.2025 Botafogo RJ - Fluminense 2:0 ✺
    23.04.2025 Estudiantes La Plata - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    20.04.2025 Atlético Mineiro - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    Copa Libertadores Table
    Group Stage

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Estudiantes L.P640211:5612
    2Botafogo RJ64028:5312
    3U. De Chile63128:6210
    4Carabobo60152:13-111


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1River Plate633013:7612
    2U. de Deportes62224:408
    3Ind. del Valle62228:11-38
    4Barcelona SC61144:7-34


    Group C
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1LDU Quito63218:4411
    2Flamengo RJ63216:3311
    3Central Cordoba63217:7011
    4Dep. Tachira60064:11-70


    Group D
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Sao Paulo642010:4614
    2Libertad Asuncion62316:519
    3Alianza Lima61237:11-45
    4Talleres Cordoba61145:8-34


    Group E
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Club641114:31113
    2Fortaleza62228:538
    3Bucaramanga61326:10-46
    4Colo Colo61235:15-105


    Group F
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Internacional632112:8411
    2Atl. Nacional63037:619
    3Bahia62135:7-27
    4Nacional62137:10-37


    Group G
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Palmeiras660017:41318
    2Cerro Porteno62137:11-47
    3Bolivar620412:1116
    4Sporting Cristal61146:16-104


    Group H
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield632111:4711
    2Penarol63219:4511
    3SA Bulo Bulo62045:15-106
    4Olimpia Asuncion61239:11-25

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)

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