Result
1:2
06/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Copa Libertadores - Group Stage - Round 4
- Referee: Benitez C. (Par)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App, Startimes World Football |
 Argentina | Disney+, FOX Sports 2 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN 4, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Italy | Como TV |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 South-america | ESPN 7 Latin America, ESPN7 South |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Fubo Sports Network, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.44 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 40% | 60% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (241/316) | 84% (429/508) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.72 | 1.44 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.56 | 1.82 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (241/316) | 84% (429/508) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (22/58) | 50% (31/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (52/90) | 67% (99/147) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 21% (5/24) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.27 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 19 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.82 | 1.56 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.18 | 0.52 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 22', 0 - 1, Vitinho ⚽,
- 35', Rwan Cruz 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 54', David Ricardo 🟨,
- 67', Perez J. ↓, Ramos Rodriguez C. I. ↑,
- 69', Rwan Cruz ↓, Artur ↑,
- 69', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 74', Tortolero E. ↓, Londono F. ↑,
- 76', 1 - 1, Aponte L. ⚽,
- 80', Marlon Freitas ↓, Allan ↑,
- 80', Alex Telles ↓, Nathan Fernandes ↑,
- 86', Nunez M. ↓, Congo J. ↑,
- 89', Jeffinho ↓, Elias Manoel ↑,
- 90+1', 1 - 2, Cuiabano ⚽, Allan (A),
- 90+5', Gonzalez G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Carabobo
17.2% | Draw
27% | Botafogo RJ
55.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Carabobo - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.56 ↓
(6.35) |
3.5 ↓
(4.04) |
1.69 ↑
(1.53) |
5.8%
(5.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Carabobo - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Carabobo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Carabobo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Botafogo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is the clear favorite.
- There will not play in Carabobo: Martinez L.
(Knee Injury)
Neira E.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Matheus Martins
(Inactive)
Rodriguez S.
(Inactive)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Carabobo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Botafogo RJ?
Carabobo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Carabobo?
Botafogo RJ has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
08.04.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Carabobo
2:0
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
