Result
03/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga FUTVE - Apertura - Quadrangular - Round 1
Chances of winning
Carabobo
55.5% | Draw
25.4% | Metropolitanos
19.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Carabobo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Carabobo's performance.Metropolitanos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carabobo than the current prediction. (-7.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Carabobo that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitanos than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
Carabobo - Metropolitanos Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.92) |
3.58 ↑
(3.18) |
4.77 ↑
(3.8) |
9.9%
(9.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 2.
- Carabobo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Metropolitanos is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Metropolitanos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Carabobo is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Carabobo won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:19. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Carabobo won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:9. (average 1.4:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Carabobo won against Metropolitanos?
Carabobo has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Metropolitanos won against Carabobo?
Metropolitanos has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Carabobo - Metropolitanos were as follows:
20.02.2026
Metropolitanos
-
Carabobo
1:1
05.11.2025
Metropolitanos
-
Carabobo
0:4
22.10.2025
Carabobo
-
Metropolitanos
1:0
02.08.2025
Carabobo
-
Metropolitanos
0:0
07.06.2025
Carabobo
-
Metropolitanos
2:2
Latest results of Carabobo
Latest results of Metropolitanos
Venezuelan Primera Division Table
Apertura - QuadrangularGroup A | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Portuguesa | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 2 | La Guaira | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 3 | Universidad Central | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 4 | Puerto Cabello | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
Group B | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Estudiantes Merida | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Carabobo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Metropolitanos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Dep. Tachira | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga FUTVE (Apertura ~ Final: )
