Result
3:2
01/04/2026 at 18:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 9
- Referee: Sampaio W. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.99 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (249/317) | 91% (515/569) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.39 | 0.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.25 | 0.83 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 10 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (249/317) | 91% (515/569) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 36% (20/55) | 62% (21/34) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (40/61) | 85% (164/192) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (2/6) | 23% (7/31) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.92 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (14/20) | 56% (10/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 25 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.83 | 2.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.17 | -0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 11', 1 - 0, Arthur Cabral ⚽, Edenilson (A),
- 21', 1 - 1, Shaylon ⚽,
- 40', Lucas Oliveira 🟨,
- 43', 2 - 1, Alex Telles (Penalty Awarded),
- 45+1', Negueba 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Medina C. 🟨,
- 48', Vitinho 🟨,
- 62', Tiquinho Soares 🟨,
- 62', Rodriguez S. ↓, Barrera J. ↑,
- 63', Alex Telles ↓, Caio Roque ↑,
- 64', Jose Aldo ↓, Andre Luis ↑,
- 66', 3 - 1, Junior Santos ⚽,
- 70', Medina C. ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 70', Arthur Cabral ↓, Matheus Martins ↑,
- 73', Tiquinho Soares ↓, Edson Carioca ↑,
- 73', Negueba ↓, Galeano A. ↑,
- 77', Edenilson ↓, Ferraresi N. ↑,
- 77', Shaylon ↓, Denilson ↑,
- 77', Neto Moura ↓, Gabriel Pires ↑,
- 90+1', Bastos 🟨,
- 90+2', 3 - 2, Igor Formiga ⚽, Gabriel Pires (A),
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
43.1% | Draw
27.8% | Mirassol
29.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)Mirassol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-5.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo RJ that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mirassol than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
Botafogo RJ - Mirassol Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.07) |
3.41 ↑
(3.23) |
3.24 ↓
(3.46) |
5.4%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Mirassol?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 48.9% – 92.3%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- Botafogo is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Mirassol is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Botafogo will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Allan
(Inactive)
Barboza A.
(Yellow Cards)
Correa J.
(Inactive)
Kaio Pantaleao
(Knee Injury)
Newton
(Shoulder Injury)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
- There will not play in Mirassol: Eduardo
(Wrist Injury)
Igor Carius
(Hamstring Injury)
Reinaldo
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Botafogo won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Mirassol?
Botafogo RJ has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mirassol won against Botafogo RJ?
Mirassol has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Mirassol were as follows:
01.11.2025
Mirassol
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
17.09.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Mirassol
3:3
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Mirassol
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
