Palmeiras vs Botafogo RJ – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football FIFA Club World Cup
Football FIFA Club World Cup Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ
28/06/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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vietnamVietnamDAZN, FPT Play
worldWorldSport 24

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.10
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
158
Passes
83% (389/470)85% (470/550)
Yellow Cards
66
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.261.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.090.56
Total shots
1916
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
59
Blocked Shots
95
Shots inside the Box
99
Shots outside the Box
107
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
01
Corner Kicks
158
Touches in opposition box
2527
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
41
Free Kicks
2011
Passes
83% (389/470)85% (470/550)
Long passes
46% (34/74)47% (20/43)
Passes in final third
71% (100/140)64% (83/130)
Crosses
19% (6/32)40% (8/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.65
Throw-ins
1921
Fouls
1120
Tackles
52% (11/21)65% (17/26)
Duels won
6170
Clearances
2738
Interceptions
66
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.561.09
Goals prevented
0.560.09

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 3', Barboza A. 🟨,
  • 35', Alex Telles 🟨,
  • 40', Gomez G. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 63', Estevao ↓, Luighi ↑,
  • 63', Vitor Roque ↓, Paulinho ↑,
  • 65', Artur 🟨,
  • 66', Alex Telles ↓, Cuiabano ↑,
  • 66', Allan ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
  • 71', Allan ↓, Mayke ↑,
  • 71', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
  • 83', Danilo Barbosa ↓, Newton ↑,
  • 83', Jair ↓, Kaio ↑,
  • 85', Mauricio ↓, Torres F. ↑,
  • 85', Piquerez J. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Newton 🟨,
  • Extra Time (1 - 0)
  • 91', Martinez E. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
  • 100', 1 - 0, Paulinho ⚽, Rios R. (A),
  • 102', Marlon Freitas ↓, Cabral A. ↑,
  • 103', Paulinho ↓, Micael ↑,
  • 105', Estevao 🟨,
  • 105', Marcal 🟨,
  • 105+3', Montoro A. 🟨,
  • 116', Gomez G. 🟨,
  • 120+2', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 120+5', Weverton 🟨,

Chances of winning


Palmeiras
43.1%		Draw
32.4%		Botafogo RJ
24.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.2% 32.1% 29.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.4% 33.9% 28.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Botafogo RJ might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
    •

    Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.26 ↓
    (2.55)    		 2.97 ↓
    (3.04)    		 3.84 ↑
    (3.29)    		 4.1%
    (2.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ?
  • Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Palmeiras will win (votes: 13 - 34.2%). Botafogo will win (votes: 7 - 18.4%). It will Tie (votes: 18 - 47.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 31.5% – 63.3%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 7 high ROI users predict this event. Palmeiras (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Botafogo (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Botafogo (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • O/U 2 - under (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 0.
    • Recent performances by Palmeiras have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Botafogo is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Palmeiras might have a minor edge in this game.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 29:21. (average 1.5:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:7. (average 1.4:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    26.11.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    21.08.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    14.08.2024 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 2:1
    17.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 1:0
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    23.06.2025 Inter Miami - Palmeiras 2:2 ✺
    19.06.2025 Palmeiras - Al Ahly Cairo 2:0 ✺
    15.06.2025 Palmeiras - Porto 0:0 ✺
    01.06.2025 Cruzeiro - Palmeiras 2:1 ✺
    28.05.2025 Palmeiras - Sporting Cristal 6:0 ✺
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    23.06.2025 Atlético Madrid - Botafogo RJ 1:0 ✺
    19.06.2025 Paris Saint-Germain - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    15.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Seattle Sounders 2:1 ✺
    04.06.2025 Botafogo RJ - Ceará 3:2 ✺
    01.06.2025 Santos - Botafogo RJ 0:1 ✺
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Inter (E1)Fluminense (F2)0 : 2
    2Manchester City (G1)Al Hilal (H2)3 : 4
    3Palmeiras (A1)Botafogo RJ (B2)1 : 0
    4Benfica (C1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 4
    5PSG (B1)Inter Miami (A2)4 : 0
    6Flamengo RJ (D1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 4
    7Real Madrid (H1)Juventus (G2)1 : 0
    8Dortmund (F1)Monterrey (E2)2 : 1

    Quarter-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Al Hilal (H2)2 : 1
    2Palmeiras (A1)Chelsea (D2)1 : 2
    3PSG (B1)Bayern Munich (C2)2 : 0
    4Real Madrid (H1)Dortmund (F1)3 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Fluminense (F2)Chelsea (D2)0 : 2
    2PSG (B1)Real Madrid (H1)4 : 0

    Final
    1Chelsea (D2)PSG (B1)3 : 0
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