Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 20
- Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 2 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL |
 Israel | Sport 1 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 2 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | Spor Smart 2 |
 United-kingdom | Premier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (548/608) | 84% (346/413) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 0.87 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (548/608) | 84% (346/413) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (34/55) | 45% (28/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (127/163) | 49% (33/68) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (3/16) | 43% (3/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.43 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 80% (16/20) | 63% (19/30) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.13 | 1.77 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 32', Moreno A. 🟨,
- 45', 0 - 1, Felipe Anderson ⚽, Vitor Roque (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 59', Allan ↓, Danilo ↑,
- 59', Rodriguez S. ↓, Savarino J. ↑,
- 65', Murilo 🟨,
- 66', Murilo ↓, Bruno Fuchs ↑,
- 66', Lopez J. ↓, Luighi ↑,
- 66', Vitor Roque ↓, Mauricio ↑,
- 66', Nathan Fernandes ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 71', Felipe Anderson ↓, Allan ↑,
- 74', Danilo 🟨,
- 78', Barboza A. ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 79', Ponte M. ↓, Jeffinho ↑,
- 83', Khellven ↓, Giay A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
33.8% | Draw
32.2% | Palmeiras
33.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-5.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.8 ↑
(2.32) |
2.96 ↓
(3.11) |
2.8 ↓
(3.28) |
5.3%
(5.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 21.4% – 67.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
- Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Palmeiras has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Ankle Injury)
Kaio
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs
(Hamstring Injury)
Bruno Rodrigues
(Knee Injury)
Paulinho
(Leg Injury)
Raphael Veiga
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: David Ricardo
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Palmeiras?
Botafogo RJ has won 4 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Palmeiras won against Botafogo RJ?
Palmeiras has won 2 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras were as follows:
30.03.2025
Palmeiras
-
Botafogo RJ
0:0
26.11.2024
Palmeiras
-
Botafogo RJ
1:3
21.08.2024
Palmeiras
-
Botafogo RJ
2:2
14.08.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Palmeiras
2:1
17.07.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Palmeiras
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Palmeiras
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flamengo RJ | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 45:10 | 35 | 47 |
| 2 | Cruzeiro | 22 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 35:15 | 20 | 44 |
| 3 | Palmeiras | 20 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 28:16 | 12 | 43 |
| 4 | Bahia | 20 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 28:22 | 6 | 36 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 30:13 | 17 | 35 |
| 6 | Mirassol | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 35:20 | 15 | 35 |
| 7 | Sao Paulo | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 26:23 | 3 | 32 |
| 8 | Bragantino | 22 | 9 | 3 | 10 | 27:32 | -5 | 30 |
| 9 | Fluminense | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25:28 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 25:29 | -4 | 27 |
| 11 | Ceara | 21 | 7 | 5 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 26 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 26 |
| 13 | Gremio | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 20:26 | -6 | 25 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 20:24 | -4 | 24 |
| 15 | Vasco | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 30:31 | -1 | 22 |
| 16 | Santos | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 20:31 | -11 | 22 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 22 | 4 | 10 | 8 | 19:32 | -13 | 22 |
| 18 | Juventude | 21 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 19:41 | -22 | 21 |
| 19 | Fortaleza | 21 | 3 | 6 | 12 | 20:34 | -14 | 15 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 20 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 14:33 | -19 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
