Botafogo RJ vs Palmeiras – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras
Result
0:1
17/08/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 20
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
austriaAustriaDAZN
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 2
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
germanyGermanyDAZN Deutsch, Sportdigital FUSSBALL
israelIsraelSport 1
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 2
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 2
switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
turkeyTurkeySpor Smart 2
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.10
Ball Possession
59%41%
Total shots
159
Shots on target
62
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Passes
90% (548/608)84% (346/413)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
1.531.10
xG on target (xGOT)
1.770.87
Total shots
159
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked Shots
52
Shots inside the Box
75
Shots outside the Box
84
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
43
Touches in opposition box
2412
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
66
Passes
90% (548/608)84% (346/413)
Long passes
62% (34/55)45% (28/62)
Passes in final third
78% (127/163)49% (33/68)
Crosses
19% (3/16)43% (3/7)
Expected assists (xA)
1.010.43
Throw-ins
199
Fouls
76
Tackles
80% (16/20)63% (19/30)
Duels won
5553
Clearances
1218
Interceptions
712
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.871.77
Goals prevented
-0.131.77

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 32', Moreno A. 🟨,
  • 45', 0 - 1, Felipe Anderson , Vitor Roque (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 59', Allan , Danilo ,
  • 59', Rodriguez S. , Savarino J. ,
  • 65', Murilo 🟨,
  • 66', Murilo , Bruno Fuchs ,
  • 66', Lopez J. , Luighi ,
  • 66', Vitor Roque , Mauricio ,
  • 66', Nathan Fernandes , Montoro A. ,
  • 71', Felipe Anderson , Allan ,
  • 74', Danilo 🟨,
  • 78', Barboza A. , Vitinho ,
  • 79', Ponte M. , Jeffinho ,
  • 83', Khellven , Giay A. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
33.8%
Draw
32.2%
Palmeiras
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.8% 30.4% 28.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7% 29.7% 28.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo RJ's form might have worsened.
  • Palmeiras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo RJ, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras than the current prediction. (-5.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.8
    (2.32)
    2.96
    (3.11)
    2.8
    (3.28)
    5.3%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Palmeiras will win (votes: 8 - 44.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 27.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Palmeiras: 21.4%67.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Palmeiras (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 2.
    • Botafogo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Palmeiras has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Palmeiras may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Ankle Injury) Kaio (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Palmeiras: Bruno Fuchs (Hamstring Injury) Bruno Rodrigues (Knee Injury) Paulinho (Leg Injury) Raphael Veiga (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: David Ricardo (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.6:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 0:0
    26.11.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    21.08.2024 Palmeiras - Botafogo RJ 2:2
    14.08.2024 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 2:1
    17.07.2024 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 1:0
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    Latest results of Palmeiras
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ23156248:113751
    2Cruzeiro24155439:172250
    3Palmeiras22154336:181849
    4Mirassol23119341:231842
    5Botafogo RJ24117635:181740
    6Bahia23107631:28337
    7Sao Paulo2498727:24335
    8Fluminense2294926:29-331
    9Bragantino24941129:35-631
    10Corinthians2478924:29-529
    11Gremio2478924:30-629
    12Ceara2377922:23-128
    13Vasco24761136:35127
    14Internacional23761028:36-827
    15Santos23751122:32-1026
    16Atletico-MG2267921:26-525
    17Vitoria244101019:35-1622
    18Juventude23631419:45-2621
    19Fortaleza23461323:38-1518
    20Sport Recife22281216:34-1814

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet