Result
3:1
30/10/2024 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SOUTH AMERICA: Copa Libertadores - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Referee: Maza P. (Chi)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | StarTimes App |
 Argentina | Fox Sports |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD |
 Australia | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2, Moja TV |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Paramount+, Sky+, TV Globo, Zapping |
 Bulgaria | Max Sport 3 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | ESPN Premium |
 Colombia | ESPN |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 France | L'Equipe Live Foot |
 Georgia | Silk Universal |
 Greece | COSMOTE Sport 3 |
 Indonesia | Mola TV |
 Israel | Sport 4 |
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 2, ESPN Extra |
 New-zealand | beIN Connect |
 Nigeria | Sporty TV |
 North-central-america | ESPN 3 North |
 Peru | ESPN |
 Poland | Polsat Sport 1 |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2 |
 Slovenia | Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1 Premium |
 South-america | ESPN South |
 Spain | beIN Sports, LaLiga+ |
 Turkey | S Sport+ |
 United-kingdom | beIN Sports MENA English 1 |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Venezuela | ESPN, Inter |
 World | Disney+, Fanatiz, LaLiga+ app |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.61 | 1.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 33 | 21 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Total Passes |
|---|
| 341 | 314 |
| Completed Passes |
|---|
| 243 | 216 |
| Crosses Completed |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 28', Bastos 🟨,
- 31', 1 - 0, Baez J. ⚽, Fernandez L. (A),
- 45+4', Matheus Martins 🟨,
- 45+5', Aguerre W. 🟥,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Garcia D. ↓, De Amores G. ↑,
- 46', Matheus Martins ↓, Almada T. ↑,
- 49', Vitinho 🟨,
- 58', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 58', Tche Tche ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
- 60', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
- 60', Silvera M. ↓, Batista F. ↑,
- 60', Sequeira L. ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 66', 2 - 0, Baez J. ⚽, Lucas Hernandez (A),
- 67', Bastos ↓, Allan ↑,
- 69', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 69', Ponte M. 🟨,
- 71', Almada T. 🟨,
- 73', Savarino J. ↓, Barboza A. ↑,
- 76', Milans P. ↓, Avenatti F. ↑,
- 86', Sosa I. 🟨,
- 88', 2 - 1, Almada T. ⚽, Marlon Freitas (A),
- 89', 3 - 1, Batista F. ⚽, Perez R. (A),
Chances of winning
Peñarol de Montevideo
40.1% | Draw
29.7% | Botafogo RJ
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Peñarol de Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.44) |
3.16 ↓
(3.3) |
3.13 ↑
(2.99) |
6%
(4.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Peñarol will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Botafogo will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 36.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Peñarol: 8% – 64.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- 2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-5.
- Recent matches Peñarol is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Botafogo is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Botafogo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- Last 1 head-to-head matches Peñarol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:5
How many head-to-head matches has Peñarol de Montevideo won against Botafogo RJ?
Peñarol de Montevideo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Peñarol de Montevideo?
Botafogo RJ has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Peñarol de Montevideo - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
23.10.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Peñarol de Montevideo
5:0
Latest results of Peñarol de Montevideo
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Atl. Nacional | Sao Paulo | 0 : 0 |
| 2 | Botafogo RJ | LDU Quito | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Libertad Asuncion | River Plate | 0 : 0 |
| 4 | U. de Deportes | Palmeiras | 0 : 4 |
| 5 | Fortaleza | Velez Sarsfield | 0 : 0 |
| 6 | Penarol | Racing Club | 1 : 0 |
| 7 | Cerro Porteno | Estudiantes L.P. | 0 : 1 |
| 8 | Flamengo RJ | Internacional | 1 : 0 |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal
