Result
1:2
21/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 8
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 Ecuador | Canal del Futbol, El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Mexico | Azteca Deportes |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.18 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 59% | 41% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/400) | 72% (208/288) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 1.18 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.64 | 1.19 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 84% (335/400) | 72% (208/288) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 55% (26/47) | 30% (18/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (97/135) | 48% (34/71) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 41% (13/32) | 30% (3/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.58 | 0.33 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 21 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 81% (13/16) | 77% (17/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.19 | 1.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.81 | 0.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Alex Telles (Penalty Awarded),
- 15', 1 - 1, Lucas Barbosa ⚽, Mosquera H. (A),
- 36', Rodriguez S. 🟨,
- 38', Juninho Capixaba 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Alex Telles ↓, Vitinho ↑,
- 46', Junior Santos ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 56', Rodriguinho ↓, Gustavo Neves ↑,
- 60', Rodriguez S. ↓, Allan ↑,
- 68', Mosquera H. ↓, Herrera J. ↑,
- 68', Matheus Fernandes ↓, Sosa I. ↑,
- 71', Ferraresi N. ↓, Justino G. ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Barboza A. ⚽, Danilo (A),
- 74', Alix Vinicius 🟨,
- 80', Gabriel ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
- 80', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Pitta I. ↑,
- 84', Matheus Martins 🟨,
- 84', Matheus Martins ↓, Edenilson ↑,
- 90+1', Edenilson 🟨,
Chances of winning
Red Bull Bragantino
49.5% | Draw
27.5% | Botafogo RJ
23% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-5.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Red Bull Bragantino that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Botafogo RJ could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.92 ↓
(2.11) |
3.45 ↓
(3.46) |
4.09 ↑
(3.43) |
5.5%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. RB Bragantino will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Botafogo will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for RB Bragantino: 54% – 99.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. RB Bragantino (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 12 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 1.
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- RB Bragantino may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, RB Bragantino is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Fabricio
(Inactive)
Fernando Santos
(Inactive)
Rodriguez G.
(Knee Injury)
Sant'Anna A.
(Inactive)
Vanderlan
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Botafogo: Kaio Pantaleao
(Inactive)
Medina C.
(Red Card)
Ramos C.
(Knock)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, RB Bragantino won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:29. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, RB Bragantino won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:9. (average 0.9:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Botafogo RJ?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Botafogo RJ has won 8 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ were as follows:
30.08.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Red Bull Bragantino
4:1
06.08.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
29.07.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
12.04.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
26.10.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Brazilian Serie A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 10 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 21:10 | 11 | 25 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 15:7 | 8 | 20 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 10 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 17:11 | 6 | 20 |
| 4 | Flamengo RJ | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 16:9 | 7 | 17 |
| 5 | Bahia | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 17 |
| 6 | Athletico-PR | 10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 15:13 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Coritiba | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 15 |
| 8 | Atletico-MG | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 14 |
| 9 | Bragantino | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 10:10 | 0 | 14 |
| 10 | Botafogo RJ | 9 | 4 | 0 | 5 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 11 | Gremio | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 12 | Vasco | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 12 |
| 13 | Internacional | 10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9:10 | -1 | 12 |
| 14 | Vitoria | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 9:14 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 | Santos | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:16 | -3 | 10 |
| 16 | Corinthians | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 8:11 | -3 | 10 |
| 17 | Chapecoense-SC | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 10:16 | -6 | 8 |
| 18 | Remo | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 10:17 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Cruzeiro | 10 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12:20 | -8 | 7 |
| 20 | Mirassol | 9 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 10:14 | -4 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
