Botafogo RJ vs Red Bull Bragantino – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie A Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino
Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie A Betano - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 1
brazilBrazilAmazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
chinaChinaK-Ball
ecuadorEcuadorEl Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol
israelIsraelSport 3
kosovoKosovoArena Premium 4
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
portugalPortugalCanal 11
russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Premium 4
spainSpain#Vamos
usaUsaFanatiz

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.27
Ball Possession
52%48%
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
68
Passes
88% (397/450)85% (352/412)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
1.730.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.050.38
Total shots
177
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
82
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
113
Shots outside the Box
64
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
68
Touches in opposition box
2514
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
61
Free Kicks
1510
Passes
88% (397/450)85% (352/412)
Long passes
58% (34/59)59% (23/39)
Passes in final third
83% (83/100)61% (55/90)
Crosses
33% (6/18)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
1.420.28
Throw-ins
1417
Fouls
1015
Tackles
65% (13/20)56% (14/25)
Duels won
5355
Clearances
1716
Interceptions
145
Errors leading to shot
01
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.382.05
Goals prevented
-0.62-1.95

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (3 - 1)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Danilo , Rodriguez S. (A),
  • 15', 1 - 1, Jhon Jhon , Nathan Mendes (A),
  • 33', 2 - 1, Newton ,
  • 39', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
  • 45+2', 3 - 1, Savarino J. , Jeffinho (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Eric Ramires , Gabriel ,
  • 46', Lucas Barbosa , Davi Gomes ,
  • 62', Laquintana I. , Mosquera H. ,
  • 63', Jeffinho , Montoro A. ,
  • 74', Eduardo Sasha , Fernando ,
  • 76', Newton , Marlon Freitas ,
  • 84', Savarino J. , Correa J. ,
  • 84', Vitinho , Ponte M. ,
  • 84', Rodriguez S. , Artur ,
  • 84', Fabinho , Praxedes ,
  • 90+1', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
  • 90+2', 4 - 1, Montoro A. , Artur (A),

Chances of winning


Botafogo RJ
62.4%
Draw
22.7%
Red Bull Bragantino
14.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63% 22.6% 14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66% 21.6% 13.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.53
    (1.48)
    4.25
    (4.13)
    6.57
    (6.45)
    4.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 35%88%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 66.7%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4.
    • Botafogo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Botafogo is a strong favorite.
    • There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos (Knee Injury) Cuiabano (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos (Ankle Injury) Fernando (Calf Injury) Hurtado A. (Knock) Juninho Capixaba (Knee Injury) Pedro Henrique (Yellow Cards) Pitta I. (Inactive) Sant'Anna A. (Knock) Vinicinho (Ankle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Botafogo: Leo Linck (Inactive) Ramos C. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Pedro Henrique (Injury) Vanderlan (Injury)
    • In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.5:0.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
    06.08.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    29.07.2025 Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino 2:0
    12.04.2025 Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ 1:0
    26.10.2024 Red Bull Bragantino - Botafogo RJ 0:1
    26.06.2024 Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino 2:1
    Latest results of Botafogo RJ
    24.08.2025 Juventude - Botafogo RJ 1:3
    21.08.2025 LDU Quito - Botafogo RJ 2:0
    17.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - Palmeiras 0:1
    14.08.2025 Botafogo RJ - LDU Quito 1:0
    Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
    Brazilian Serie A Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Flamengo RJ21145245:103547
    2Cruzeiro22135435:152044
    3Palmeiras20134328:161243
    4Bahia20106428:22636
    5Botafogo RJ20105530:131735
    6Mirassol2098335:201535
    7Sao Paulo2288626:23332
    8Bragantino22931027:32-530
    9Fluminense2084825:28-328
    10Internacional2176825:29-427
    11Ceara2175919:20-126
    12Corinthians2268823:28-526
    13Gremio2167820:26-625
    14Atletico-MG2066820:24-424
    15Vasco21641130:31-122
    16Santos21641120:31-1122
    17Vitoria22410819:32-1322
    18Juventude21631219:41-2221
    19Fortaleza21361220:34-1415
    20Sport Recife20171214:33-1910

          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet