Result
4:1
30/08/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie A Betano - Round 22
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 1 |
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
 Ecuador | El Canal del Futbol app, El Canal del Futbol |
 Israel | Sport 3 |
 Kosovo | Arena Premium 4 |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 Portugal | Canal 11 |
 Russia | MATCH! Futbol 3, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 4 |
 Spain | #Vamos |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (397/450) | 85% (352/412) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.05 | 0.38 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (397/450) | 85% (352/412) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (34/59) | 59% (23/39) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 83% (83/100) | 61% (55/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 30% (6/20) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.28 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (13/20) | 56% (14/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 53 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 14 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.38 | 2.05 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.62 | -1.95 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 6', 1 - 0, Danilo ⚽, Rodriguez S. (A),
- 15', 1 - 1, Jhon Jhon ⚽, Nathan Mendes (A),
- 33', 2 - 1, Newton ⚽,
- 39', Lucas Barbosa 🟨,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Savarino J. ⚽, Jeffinho (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Eric Ramires ↓, Gabriel ↑,
- 46', Lucas Barbosa ↓, Davi Gomes ↑,
- 62', Laquintana I. ↓, Mosquera H. ↑,
- 63', Jeffinho ↓, Montoro A. ↑,
- 74', Eduardo Sasha ↓, Fernando ↑,
- 76', Newton ↓, Marlon Freitas ↑,
- 84', Savarino J. ↓, Correa J. ↑,
- 84', Vitinho ↓, Ponte M. ↑,
- 84', Rodriguez S. ↓, Artur ↑,
- 84', Fabinho ↓, Praxedes ↑,
- 90+1', Nathan Mendes 🟨,
- 90+2', 4 - 1, Montoro A. ⚽, Artur (A),
Chances of winning
Botafogo RJ
62.4% | Draw
22.7% | Red Bull Bragantino
14.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo RJ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Red Bull Bragantino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo RJ than the current prediction. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Bull Bragantino than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.53 ↑
(1.48) |
4.25 ↑
(4.13) |
6.57 ↑
(6.45) |
4.3%
(7.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Botafogo will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). RB Bragantino will win (votes: 3 - 23.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo: 35% – 88%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo (votes: 1 - 33.3%). RB Bragantino (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 4.
- Botafogo has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- RB Bragantino is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Botafogo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Botafogo is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo: Bastos
(Knee Injury)
Cuiabano
(Ankle Injury)
- There will not play in RB Bragantino: Eduardo Santos
(Ankle Injury)
Fernando
(Calf Injury)
Hurtado A.
(Knock)
Juninho Capixaba
(Knee Injury)
Pedro Henrique
(Yellow Cards)
Pitta I.
(Inactive)
Sant'Anna A.
(Knock)
Vinicinho
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Botafogo: Leo Linck
(Inactive)
Ramos C.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in RB Bragantino: Pedro Henrique
(Injury)
Vanderlan
(Injury)
- In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Botafogo won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 25:13. (average 1.5:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 16:5. (average 2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo RJ won against Red Bull Bragantino?
Botafogo RJ has won 7 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Red Bull Bragantino won against Botafogo RJ?
Red Bull Bragantino has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo RJ - Red Bull Bragantino were as follows:
06.08.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
29.07.2025
Botafogo RJ
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:0
12.04.2025
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Botafogo RJ
1:0
26.10.2024
Red Bull Bragantino
-
Botafogo RJ
0:1
26.06.2024
Botafogo RJ
-
Red Bull Bragantino
2:1
Latest results of Botafogo RJ
Latest results of Red Bull Bragantino
Brazilian Serie A Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Palmeiras | 27 | 19 | 4 | 4 | 51:23 | 28 | 61 |
| 2 | Flamengo RJ | 27 | 17 | 7 | 3 | 53:13 | 40 | 58 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 41:21 | 20 | 53 |
| 4 | Mirassol | 28 | 13 | 10 | 5 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 5 | Botafogo RJ | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:26 | 11 | 43 |
| 6 | Bahia | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 34:30 | 4 | 43 |
| 7 | Fluminense | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 34:33 | 1 | 38 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 31:28 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Vasco | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 44:41 | 3 | 36 |
| 10 | Bragantino | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 34:43 | -9 | 36 |
| 11 | Ceara | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 27:25 | 2 | 35 |
| 12 | Corinthians | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 33 |
| 13 | Gremio | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 28:33 | -5 | 33 |
| 14 | Atletico-MG | 27 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
| 15 | Internacional | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 33:41 | -8 | 32 |
| 16 | Santos | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 28:39 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Vitoria | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 24:42 | -18 | 25 |
| 18 | Fortaleza | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 26:43 | -17 | 24 |
| 19 | Juventude | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 22:52 | -30 | 23 |
| 20 | Sport Recife | 27 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21:42 | -21 | 17 |
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Group Stage: )
Promotion ~ Copa Libertadores (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Copa Sudamericana (Group Stage: )
Relegation ~ Serie B Superbet
