Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - Athletic Club
Result
0:3
12/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.46
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (409/490)68% (177/260)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.282.77
Total shots
911
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
168
Passes
83% (409/490)68% (177/260)
Long passes
51% (26/51)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
57% (71/124)51% (42/82)
Crosses
24% (10/42)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.93
Throw-ins
3515
Fouls
816
Tackles
71% (10/14)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1552
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.770.28
Goals prevented
-0.230.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Max , Yuri (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Ezequiel , Douglas Pele (A),
  • 30', Ezequiel , Martinez F. ,
  • 38', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 38', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 43', Alisson Cassiano , Ericson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rafael Milhorim , Carlao ,
  • 46', Matheus Regis , Carrillo R. ,
  • 46', Gabriel Ferreira , Alex Nascimento ,
  • 52', Max 🟨,
  • 63', Abdulai S. , Robinho ,
  • 68', Yuri , Marcelo Ajul ,
  • 69', Amorim , Alason Carioca ,
  • 70', Jefferson Luis 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Neto Costa (Pen),
  • 81', Jonathan Cafu , Pablo Thomaz ,
  • 83', Neto Costa , Lincoln ,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
43.6%
Draw
30.1%
Athletic Club
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 30.7% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The chances for Athletic Club have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Botafogo SP - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.1
    (3.03)
    3.57
    (3.53)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Botafogo SP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Jean Victor (Injury) Jeferson (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Wesley Dias (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alason Carioca (Injury) Edson Miranda (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Matheus Guilherme (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coritiba22126424:15942
    2Goias21125428:181041
    3Novorizontino2299425:19636
    4Chapecoense-SC21104728:20834
    5Remo2189423:19433
    6Criciuma2195727:20732
    7Avai2188529:21832
    8Cuiaba2194824:24031
    9Vila Nova FC2193920:20030
    10CRB2184923:21228
    11Atletico GO2169621:21027
    12Operario-PR2175923:22126
    13Athletico-PR2175927:31-426
    14Ferroviaria2168722:23-126
    15Athletic Club21731123:28-524
    16America MG22641223:31-822
    17Volta Redonda2157914:23-922
    18Botafogo SP21561014:30-1621
    19Paysandu PA2149819:23-421
    20Amazonas2249923:31-821

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )