Botafogo SP vs Athletic Club – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Serie B Botafogo SP - Athletic Club
Result
0:3
12/05/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 7
  • Referee: Mendes F. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilClaro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.46
Ball Possession
66%34%
Total shots
911
Shots on target
34
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Passes
83% (409/490)68% (177/260)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.562.46
xG on target (xGOT)
0.282.77
Total shots
911
Shots on target
34
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
04
Shots inside the Box
69
Shots outside the Box
32
Hit the Woodwork
20
Big Chances
02
Corner Kicks
76
Touches in opposition box
2314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
168
Passes
83% (409/490)68% (177/260)
Long passes
51% (26/51)34% (23/67)
Passes in final third
57% (71/124)51% (42/82)
Crosses
24% (10/42)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.620.93
Throw-ins
3515
Fouls
816
Tackles
71% (10/14)62% (13/21)
Duels won
5047
Clearances
1552
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
2.770.28
Goals prevented
-0.230.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 16', 0 - 1, Max , Yuri (A),
  • 21', 0 - 2, Ezequiel , Douglas Pele (A),
  • 30', Ezequiel , Martinez F. ,
  • 38', Diego Fumaca 🟨,
  • 38', Abdulai S. 🟨,
  • 43', Alisson Cassiano , Ericson ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Rafael Milhorim , Carlao ,
  • 46', Matheus Regis , Carrillo R. ,
  • 46', Gabriel Ferreira , Alex Nascimento ,
  • 52', Max 🟨,
  • 63', Abdulai S. , Robinho ,
  • 68', Yuri , Marcelo Ajul ,
  • 69', Amorim , Alason Carioca ,
  • 70', Jefferson Luis 🟨,
  • 79', 0 - 3, Neto Costa (Pen),
  • 81', Jonathan Cafu , Pablo Thomaz ,
  • 83', Neto Costa , Lincoln ,

Chances of winning


Botafogo SP
43.6%
Draw
30.1%
Athletic Club
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.9% 30.7% 26.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.1% 26.6% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)
  • The chances for Athletic Club have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-6.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Botafogo SP that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (+4.1%)
  • Botafogo SP - Athletic Club Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.15
    (2.17)
    3.1
    (3.03)
    3.57
    (3.53)
    6.7%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Athletic Club?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Botafogo SP: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
    • Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Botafogo SP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Botafogo SP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha (Inactive) Jean Victor (Injury) Jeferson (Injury) Matheus Barbosa (Injury) Wesley Dias (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Athletic: Alason Carioca (Injury) Edson Miranda (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Athletic: Matheus Guilherme (Injury)
    • The teams have not played against each other recently.
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Latest results of Athletic Club
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Goias18113423:14936
    2Coritiba18104419:12734
    3Novorizontino1897223:121134
    4Chapecoense-SC1892725:18729
    5Cuiaba1884622:21128
    6Vila Nova FC1883717:16127
    7Remo1768319:15426
    8Avai1767420:18225
    9Athletico-PR1873822:24-224
    10Criciuma1765620:17323
    11Athletic Club18711021:25-422
    12Operario-PR1864821:20122
    13CRB1864816:18-222
    14Atletico GO1857618:20-222
    15America MG18621018:24-620
    16Paysandu PA1847717:20-319
    17Ferroviaria1847718:22-419
    18Amazonas1846817:24-718
    19Volta Redonda1846812:20-818
    20Botafogo SP1746712:20-818

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )