Result
04/05/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Vila Nova
52.3% | Draw
28% | Athletic Club
19.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Vila Nova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Athletic Club has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vila Nova than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Athletic Club than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Vila Nova - Athletic Club Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.77) |
3.34 ↓
(3.38) |
4.72 ↓
(4.76) |
7%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vila Nova - Athletic Club?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Vila Nova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 13).
- Vila Nova is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Athletic has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Athletic may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Vila Nova is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Vila Nova won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Vila Nova won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Vila Nova won against Athletic Club?
Vila Nova has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Athletic Club won against Vila Nova?
Athletic Club has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Vila Nova - Athletic Club were as follows:
08.09.2025
Vila Nova
-
Athletic Club
1:1
06.05.2025
Athletic Club
-
Vila Nova
0:1
Latest results of Vila Nova
Latest results of Athletic Club
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
