Result
2:0
03/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.11 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 63% | 37% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (561/612) | 80% (281/351) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 0.11 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.26 | 0.07 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 25 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 92% (561/612) | 80% (281/351) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 83% (44/53) | 34% (17/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 86% (207/241) | 53% (28/53) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 39% (7/18) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 0.54 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 69% (11/16) | 50% (4/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 28 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.07 | 1.26 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.07 | -0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 15', 1 - 0, Gustavo Coutinho ⚽, Iury Castilho (A),
- 26', Bruno Melo 🟨,
- 31', Matheus Barbosa 🟨,
- 37', 2 - 0, Iury Castilho ⚽, Bruno Melo (A),
- 43', Edson 🟥,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Alisson Cassiano ↑,
- 46', Marquinho ↓, Wesley Dias ↑,
- 65', Bruno Melo ↓, Alex Silva ↑,
- 65', Wallisson ↓, Filipe Machado ↑,
- 65', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
- 65', Dramisino A. ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 70', Gustavo Coutinho ↓, Dellatorre ↑,
- 70', Gomez S. ↓, de Pena C. ↑,
- 75', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 79', Iury Castilho ↓, Everaldo ↑,
- 85', Maciel L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Coritiba
65.7% | Draw
23.4% | Botafogo SP
10.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Coritiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Coritiba than the current prediction. (-2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Coritiba - Botafogo SP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.42 ↓
(1.51) |
3.99 ↑
(3.9) |
8.51 ↑
(7.07) |
7.1%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Coritiba - Botafogo SP?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1, 1st Half - Coritiba (3.96) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.25 - Coritiba (1.99) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Coritiba will win
(4 of 4 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Coritiba (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A Betano and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).
- Recent performances by Coritiba have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Botafogo SP has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Coritiba may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Coritiba is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Coritiba won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Coritiba won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 2:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Coritiba won against Botafogo SP?
Coritiba has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Coritiba?
Botafogo SP has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Coritiba - Botafogo SP were as follows:
05.06.2025
Botafogo SP
-
Coritiba
0:0
22.11.2024
Coritiba
-
Botafogo SP
1:3
03.08.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Coritiba
2:0
Latest results of Coritiba
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
