Result
1:2
28/09/2025 at 17:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 29
- Referee: Deretti C. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/394) | 77% (262/341) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.59 | 2.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.49 | 1.69 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/394) | 77% (262/341) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 46% (26/57) | 41% (25/61) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 54% (49/91) | 64% (64/100) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (8/35) | 31% (4/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.42 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 32 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 18 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 57% (8/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 40 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 39 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.49 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.31 | -0.51 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 34', Ricardinho 🟨,
- 36', Ericson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 54', 0 - 1, Juninho ⚽, Fabricio Daniel (A),
- 60', 0 - 2, Carlao (Pen),
- 61', Jhony Douglas ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
- 61', Robinho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 62', Ricardinho ↓, Tarik ↑,
- 69', Fabricio Daniel ↓, Albano ↑,
- 70', Alencar ↓, Thiago Lopes ↑,
- 71', 1 - 2, Guilherme Queiroz ⚽,
- 80', Juninho ↓, Maycon ↑,
- 80', Carlao ↓, Ronaldo ↑,
- 85', Gustavo Medina 🟨,
- 86', Matheus Barbosa ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
39.9% | Draw
31.4% | Ferroviária
28.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)Ferroviária has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ferroviária than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Botafogo SP - Ferroviária Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.25) |
3 ↓
(3.05) |
3.25
(3.25) |
6.3%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Ferroviária?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Botafogo SP is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Edson
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Ferroviária: Albano
(Inactive)
Denilson
(Inactive)
Eric Melo
(Inactive)
Gustavo Jundi
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Alisson Cassiano
(Inactive)
Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
Leo Gamalho
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Ferroviária: Thayllon
(Inactive)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:12. (average 0.9:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Ferroviária?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ferroviária won against Botafogo SP?
Ferroviária has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Ferroviária were as follows:
29.05.2025
Ferroviária
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
11.02.2023
Ferroviária
-
Botafogo SP
1:2
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Ferroviária
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
