Result
0:2
24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
 China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.07 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/396) | 69% (207/300) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.03 | 1.07 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 2.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (312/396) | 69% (207/300) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (25/47) | 38% (32/85) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (55/89) | 55% (44/80) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (7/28) | 47% (7/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.52 | 0.79 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 26 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (6/10) | 69% (11/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 61 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 37 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.09 | 0.48 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Diego Goncalves ⚽, Jhonata Robert (A),
- 12', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 33', Benevenuto 🟨,
- 34', Maciel L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
- 46', Jhonata Robert ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
- 46', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, Diego Goncalves ⚽,
- 67', Diego Goncalves ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 68', Robinho ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 69', Maciel L. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 71', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 80', Jean Victor ↓, Risso G. ↑,
- 80', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 84', Nicolas ↓, Otusanya O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
31% | Draw
32.7% | Criciúma
36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Botafogo SP - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.12 ↑
(2.06) |
2.97 ↓
(3.05) |
2.67 ↓
(3.65) |
3.1%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 25%). Criciúma (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Dramisino A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos
(Injury)
Leo Alaba
(Inactive)
Luciano Castan
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Benevenuto
(Injury)
Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Heitor Roca
(Inactive)
Thales
(Inactive)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Criciúma?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Botafogo SP?
Criciúma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Criciúma were as follows:
18.11.2023
Criciúma
-
Botafogo SP
3:0
17.07.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Criciúma
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coritiba | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 35:21 | 14 | 60 |
| 2 | Remo | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 45:33 | 12 | 57 |
| 3 | Goias | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 39:33 | 6 | 55 |
| 4 | Novorizontino | 34 | 14 | 13 | 7 | 37:28 | 9 | 55 |
| 5 | Chapecoense-SC | 33 | 16 | 6 | 11 | 47:32 | 15 | 54 |
| 6 | Criciuma | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 44:32 | 12 | 54 |
| 7 | Athletico-PR | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 45:42 | 3 | 50 |
| 8 | Cuiaba | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 41:40 | 1 | 50 |
| 9 | CRB | 33 | 14 | 6 | 13 | 39:34 | 5 | 48 |
| 10 | Avai | 34 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 43:36 | 7 | 48 |
| 11 | Atletico GO | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 36:33 | 3 | 48 |
| 12 | Vila Nova FC | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 32:34 | -2 | 43 |
| 13 | Operario-PR | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 34:37 | -3 | 42 |
| 14 | America MG | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37:40 | -3 | 41 |
| 15 | Ferroviaria | 33 | 8 | 14 | 11 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
| 16 | Athletic Club | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 38:49 | -11 | 37 |
| 17 | Botafogo SP | 34 | 8 | 11 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 35 |
| 18 | Volta Redonda | 34 | 8 | 10 | 16 | 23:37 | -14 | 34 |
| 19 | Amazonas | 33 | 7 | 11 | 15 | 33:48 | -15 | 32 |
| 20 | Paysandu PA | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 31:44 | -13 | 27 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
