Result
0:2
24/07/2025 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 18
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Brazil | Amazon Prime Video, Claro TV+, Disney+, Globoplay, Premiere, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping |
China | K-Ball |
Match Stats
| |
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.03 | 1.07 |
Ball Possession |
---|
57% | 43% |
Total shots |
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18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 5 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Passes |
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79% (312/396) | 69% (207/300) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 2 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.03 | 1.07 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
0.48 | 2.09 |
Total shots |
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18 | 13 |
Shots on target |
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4 | 5 |
Shots off target |
---|
11 | 7 |
Blocked Shots |
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3 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 8 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
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6 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
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24 | 12 |
Accurate through passes |
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0 | 0 |
Offsides |
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1 | 0 |
Free Kicks |
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10 | 16 |
Passes |
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79% (312/396) | 69% (207/300) |
Long passes |
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53% (25/47) | 38% (32/85) |
Passes in final third |
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62% (55/89) | 55% (44/80) |
Crosses |
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25% (7/28) | 47% (7/15) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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0.52 | 0.79 |
Throw-ins |
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26 | 21 |
Fouls |
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16 | 10 |
Tackles |
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60% (6/10) | 69% (11/16) |
Duels won |
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61 | 48 |
Clearances |
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15 | 37 |
Interceptions |
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11 | 8 |
Errors leading to shot |
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0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
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2.09 | 0.48 |
Goals prevented |
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0.09 | 0.48 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 6', 0 - 1, Diego Goncalves ⚽, Jhonata Robert (A),
- 12', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
- 33', Benevenuto 🟨,
- 34', Maciel L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Luiz Henrique ↓, Yan Souto ↑,
- 46', Jhonata Robert ↓, Leo Naldi ↑,
- 46', Jeferson ↓, Wallison ↑,
- 56', 0 - 2, Diego Goncalves ⚽,
- 67', Diego Goncalves ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
- 68', Robinho ↓, Jonathan Cafu ↑,
- 69', Maciel L. ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
- 71', Guilherme Lobo ↓, Fellipe Mateus ↑,
- 80', Jean Victor ↓, Risso G. ↑,
- 80', Jefferson Nem ↓, Matheus Regis ↑,
- 84', Nicolas ↓, Otusanya O. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP 31% | Draw 32.7% | Criciúma 36.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Botafogo SP's form might have worsened.Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Criciúma's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+13.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Botafogo SP, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-11.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Criciúma, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Botafogo SP - Criciúma Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.12 ↑ (2.06) |
2.97 ↓ (3.05) |
2.67 ↓ (3.65) |
3.1% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Criciúma?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 3 - 21.4%). Criciúma will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 23.8% – 76.2%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 25%). Criciúma (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 2.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Dramisino A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Criciúma: Joao Carlos
(Injury)
Leo Alaba
(Inactive)
Luciano Castan
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Gustavo Bochecha
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Criciúma: Benevenuto
(Injury)
Gabriel Barros
(Inactive)
Heitor Roca
(Inactive)
Thales
(Inactive)
Ze Gabriel
(Inactive)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 0.8:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.7:0.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Criciúma?
Botafogo SP has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Criciúma won against Botafogo SP?
Criciúma has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Criciúma were as follows:
18.11.2023
Criciúma
-
Botafogo SP
3:0
17.07.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Criciúma
1:0
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Criciúma
Brazilian Serie B Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Coritiba | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 22:14 | 8 | 38 |
2 | Goias | 19 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 37 |
3 | Novorizontino | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 23:16 | 7 | 34 |
4 | Chapecoense-SC | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 25:18 | 7 | 30 |
5 | Remo | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 22:19 | 3 | 30 |
6 | Criciuma | 19 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 23:17 | 6 | 29 |
7 | Cuiaba | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 22:22 | 0 | 28 |
8 | Avai | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 26:20 | 6 | 28 |
9 | Vila Nova FC | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 19:20 | -1 | 27 |
10 | CRB | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
11 | Athletico-PR | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
12 | Athletic Club | 19 | 7 | 2 | 10 | 22:26 | -4 | 23 |
13 | Operario-PR | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 21:20 | 1 | 23 |
14 | Ferroviaria | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 20:22 | -2 | 23 |
15 | Atletico GO | 19 | 5 | 8 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 23 |
16 | America MG | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 20:26 | -6 | 21 |
17 | Volta Redonda | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 14:21 | -7 | 21 |
18 | Paysandu PA | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18:21 | -3 | 20 |
19 | Amazonas | 19 | 4 | 7 | 8 | 18:25 | -7 | 19 |
20 | Botafogo SP | 19 | 4 | 6 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )