Criciúma vs Botafogo SP – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
16/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B Superbet - Round 37
  • Referee: Lacerda D. (Bra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.51
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
42
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
53
Passes
80% (310/389)80% (337/422)
Yellow Cards
04
Expected Goals (xG)
1.100.51
xG on target (xGOT)
0.930.17
Total shots
1613
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
96
Blocked Shots
35
Shots inside the Box
85
Shots outside the Box
88
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
53
Touches in opposition box
1816
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free Kicks
87
Passes
80% (310/389)80% (337/422)
Long passes
45% (30/66)27% (12/44)
Passes in final third
65% (75/115)61% (72/118)
Crosses
24% (6/25)11% (3/28)
Expected assists (xA)
0.780.37
Throw-ins
2128
Fouls
78
Tackles
67% (10/15)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4445
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
126
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
0.170.93
Goals prevented
0.17-1.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 11', 1 - 0, Rodrigo , Jhonata Robert (A),
  • 45+3', Wesley Dias 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 55', Leo Gamalho 🟨,
  • 63', Wesley Dias , Maciel L. ,
  • 63', Gabriel Barros , Marquinho ,
  • 73', Jhonata Robert , Joao Carlos ,
  • 73', Marcinho , Leo Alaba ,
  • 74', Guilherme Lobo , Matheus Trindade ,
  • 74', Felipinho , Luiz Henrique ,
  • 75', Dramisino A. , Jean Victor ,
  • 81', Jean Victor 🟨,
  • 81', Jonathan , Yan Souto ,
  • 81', Victor Souza 🟨,
  • 84', Jonathan Cafu , Matheus Barbosa ,
  • 84', Gabriel Bispo , Guilherme Queiroz ,
  • 87', 2 - 0, Joao Carlos ,

Chances of winning


Criciúma
65.9%
Draw
22.2%
Botafogo SP
11.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
63.6% 22.2% 14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.8% 21.6% 14.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Criciúma - Botafogo SP Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.45)
    4.24
    (4.15)
    7.58
    (6.54)
    7.1%
    (8.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Criciúma - Botafogo SP?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Criciúma will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Botafogo SP will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH -1 - Criciúma (2.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1 - Criciúma (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Criciúma will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Criciúma (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 and 16).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 2.
    • Criciúma has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Botafogo SP is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Botafogo SP may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Criciúma is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:5. (average 1.1:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 1.7:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Criciúma - Botafogo SP were as follows:
    24.07.2025 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 0:2
    18.11.2023 Criciúma - Botafogo SP 3:0
    17.07.2023 Botafogo SP - Criciúma 1:0
    Latest results of Criciúma
    31.10.2025 Ferroviária - Criciúma 0:0
    27.10.2025 Criciúma - Joinville 2:3
    25.10.2025 Criciúma - Goiás 1:2
    21.10.2025 Joinville - Criciúma 0:0
    Latest results of Botafogo SP
    Brazilian Serie B Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Botafogo SP11004:043
    2Goias11003:123
    3Londrina11003:123
    4Avai11002:023
    5Athletic Club11002:113
    6Criciuma11001:013
    7Operario-PR11001:013
    8CRB10102:201
    9Vila Nova FC10102:201
    10Sao Bernardo10101:101
    11Cuiaba10100:001
    12Ceara10101:101
    13Sport Recife10100:001
    14Ponte Preta10011:2-10
    15Nautico10010:1-10
    16Atletico GO10010:1-10
    17America MG10011:3-20
    18Novorizontino10011:3-20
    19Juventude10010:2-20
    20Fortaleza10010:4-40

          Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
          Promotion ~ Serie B Superbet (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )