Result
1:0
22/01/2026 at 18:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Paulista - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | HBO Max |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/345) | 71% (211/297) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.10 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.51 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 22 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (263/345) | 71% (211/297) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (26/59) | 42% (28/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (92/128) | 50% (45/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.93 | 1.18 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 25% (2/8) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 33 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 38 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.51 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.51 | 0.55 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Jefferson Nem 🟨,
- 38', Luan Martins 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Welliton 🟨,
- 57', Marcio Maranhao ↓, Kelvin ↑,
- 57', Everton Morelli ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 65', Kevin ↓, Thales Oleques ↑,
- 75', 1 - 0, Patrick Brey ⚽,
- 78', Matheus Anjos ↓, Josiel ↑,
- 78', Welliton ↓, Kauan Cunha ↑,
- 81', Joao Victor 🟨,
- 83', Leo Gamalho ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 84', Rafael Gava ↓, Matheus Sales ↑,
- 85', Maciel L. 🟨,
- 86', Paulo Baya ↓, Leo Passos ↑,
- 86', Luan Martins ↓, Renatinho ↑,
- 90+1', Paulo Baya 🟥,
- 90+3', Jefferson Nem ↓, Carlao ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
39.9% | Draw
31.2% | EC Primavera
28.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)EC Primavera has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
Botafogo SP - EC Primavera Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.34 ↑
(2.25) |
3 ↑
(2.94) |
3.18 ↓
(3.37) |
7.4%
(8.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - EC Primavera?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Primavera will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 2 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Primavera may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Botafogo SP could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Hygor
(Inactive)
Jeferson
(Injury)
Wallace
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Primavera: Yuri Lima
(Inactive)
- Recently, there has been no match between the teams.
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against EC Primavera?
Botafogo SP has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has EC Primavera won against Botafogo SP?
EC Primavera has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - EC Primavera were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of EC Primavera
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Santos (8) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Portuguesa (4) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Palmeiras (2) | Capivariano (7) | 4 : 0 |
| 4 | Bragantino (3) | Sao Paulo (6) | 1 : 2 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Corinthians (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Palmeiras (2) | Sao Paulo (6) | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Novorizontino (1) | Palmeiras (2) | |
