Result
0:0
23/11/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Serie B Superbet - Round 38
- Referee: Pereira R. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.24 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (407/468) | 79% (320/403) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.44 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 0.42 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 23 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 30 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (407/468) | 79% (320/403) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (29/50) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (108/139) | 55% (35/64) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (12/47) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.10 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 42 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.73 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.42 | 1.73 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 4', Gabriel Barros 🟨,
- 13', Miranda J. S. 🟨,
- 23', Jamerson 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Marquinho ↑,
- 68', Gabriel Barros ↓, Jefferson Nem ↑,
- 68', Dramisino A. ↓, Maciel L. ↑,
- 69', Marcos Vinicius ↓, Lucas Eduardo ↑,
- 70', Vilar 🟨,
- 86', Miranda J. S. ↓, Juninho ↑,
- 86', Jonathan Cafu ↓, Guilherme Queiroz ↑,
- 90+3', Jamerson ↓, Nicolas Tadesco ↑,
- 90+6', Wesley Dias ↓, Carrillo R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
55.7% | Draw
26.6% | Avaí
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)Avaí has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Avaí than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
Botafogo SP - Avaí Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.67 ↑
(1.62) |
3.56 ↓
(3.65) |
5.45 ↓
(5.51) |
6.5%
(7.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Avaí?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1 - Botafogo SP (2.32) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH +0.5 - Avaí (4.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Botafogo SP (1.20) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Botafogo SP will win
(17 of 18 users predict this - 94.44%).
Confidence interval (95%): 83.85% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Botafogo SP will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 15 Selected Experts predict this event. Botafogo SP (votes: 14 - 93.3%). Avaí (votes: 1 - 6.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 0.
- Botafogo SP has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Avaí is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Avaí may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Botafogo SP is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Botafogo SP: Carlao
(Inactive)
Gustavo Bochecha
(Knee Injury)
Jean Victor
(Yellow Cards)
Jeferson
(Injury)
Victor Souza
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Avaí: Andrey
(Knee Injury)
Emerson Negueba
(Red Card)
Gaspar
(Red Card)
Igor Bohn
(Shoulder Injury)
Leo Reis
(Red Card)
Quaresma
(Ankle Injury)
Railan
(Red Card)
Romildo Del Piage
(Muscle Injury)
Ze Ricardo
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Botafogo SP: Jefferson Nem
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Avaí: Jonathan Costa
(Injury)
Marcos Vinicius
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Botafogo SP won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.6:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Botafogo SP won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Avaí?
Botafogo SP has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Avaí won against Botafogo SP?
Avaí has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Avaí were as follows:
28.07.2025
Avaí
-
Botafogo SP
5:0
18.11.2024
Botafogo SP
-
Avaí
1:3
30.07.2024
Avaí
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
07.10.2023
Botafogo SP
-
Avaí
0:1
11.06.2023
Avaí
-
Botafogo SP
1:1
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Brazilian Serie B Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Vila Nova FC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 11:8 | 3 | 12 |
| 2 | Fortaleza | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 11 |
| 3 | Sao Bernardo | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Criciuma | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | Juventude | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Ceara | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
| 7 | Sport Recife | 6 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 10 |
| 8 | Nautico | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 9 |
| 9 | Operario-PR | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 4:3 | 1 | 9 |
| 10 | Botafogo SP | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 8 |
| 11 | Avai | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 12 | Novorizontino | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
| 13 | Athletic Club | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
| 14 | Atletico GO | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 7 |
| 15 | Ponte Preta | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 7 |
| 16 | Goias | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 17 | Cuiaba | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 7 |
| 18 | Londrina | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 7:8 | -1 | 5 |
| 19 | CRB | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 2 |
| 20 | America MG | 6 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Serie A Betano
Promotion ~ Serie B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )
