Result
1:0
08/02/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- BRAZIL: Paulista - Round 8
- Referee: Murilo V. (Bra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Brazil | Brasileirao Play, Claro TV+, IT tv Plus, Nosso Futebol+, Sky+, UOL Play, Zapping |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.56 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 10 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (274/367) | 75% (332/443) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 60% (50/83) | 56% (78/139) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 17% (3/18) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 63% (5/8) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 37 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 41', 1 - 0, Alexandre Jesus ⚽, Risso G. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Pablo Thomaz ↓, Silvinho ↑,
- 65', Risso G. ↓, Jean Victor ↑,
- 65', Douglas Baggio ↓, Jonas Toro ↑,
- 65', Pedro Favela ↓, Vinicius Leite ↑,
- 65', Rafael Ribeiro ↓, Carlos Manuel ↑,
- 70', Gabriel Bispo 🟨,
- 77', Yuri Ferraz 🟨,
- 78', Mancha 🟨,
- 81', Yuri Ferraz ↓, Pedro Cacho ↑,
- 82', Sillas ↓, Cauari ↑,
- 85', Gabriel Bispo ↓, Abdulai S. ↑,
- 88', Leo Baiano ↓, Lucas Duni ↑,
- 90+6', Alexandre Jesus ↓, Jean Mangabeira ↑,
Chances of winning
Botafogo SP
47.1% | Draw
29% | Velo Clube
23.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Botafogo SP has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)Velo Clube has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botafogo SP than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Velo Clube than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
Botafogo SP - Velo Clube Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.13) |
3.17 ↑
(3.17) |
3.86 ↑
(3.42) |
8.2%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Botafogo SP - Velo Clube?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Botafogo SP will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). Velo Clube will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 7 and 4).
- Recent matches Bakersfield is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Chicago is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
- Bakersfield could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Recently Bakersfield have a series of home games.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Bakersfield won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:24 (average 3.2:4.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams Bakersfield won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:8 (average 3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has Botafogo SP won against Velo Clube?
Botafogo SP has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Velo Clube won against Botafogo SP?
Velo Clube has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Botafogo SP - Velo Clube were as follows:
Latest results of Botafogo SP
Latest results of Velo Clube
Draw
Play OffsQuarter-finals| 1 | Sao Bernardo | Palmeiras | 0 : 3 |
| 2 | Sao Paulo | Novorizontino | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | Corinthians | Mirassol | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Santos | Bragantino | 2 : 0 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Palmeiras | Sao Paulo | 1 : 0 |
| 2 | Corinthians | Santos | 2 : 1 |
Final| 1 | Palmeiras | Corinthians | 0 : 0, 0 : 1 |
