Result
0:2
28/09/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- efbet League - Round 10
- Referee: Draganov D. (Bul)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Bulgaria | Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra |
 Croatia | SportKlub 9 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 19 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 12 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 14', 0 - 1, Stoev M. ⚽, Tsonev R. (A),
- 26', Stoev M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 47', 0 - 2, Petkov M. ⚽,
- 50', Kotev L. 🟨,
- 56', Kabov A. ↓, Karagaren B. ↑,
- 58', Kabashi A. 🟨,
- 66', Yusein S. ↓, Tilev I. ↑,
- 66', Kovachev S. ↓, Shinyashiki A. ↑,
- 70', Souda A. ↓, Genov D. ↑,
- 76', Velev V. ↓, Gustavo Cascardo ↑,
- 77', Popov I. ↓, Vutov A. ↑,
- 84', Gallegos J. ↓, Stoyanov A. ↑,
- 90+1', Tsonev R. ↓, Marinov R. ↑,
- 90+2', Ivey R. ↓, Polonskyi D. ↑,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/yx68jk5x
Chances of winning
Arda Kardzhali
34.9% | Draw
36.9% | Botev Vratsa
28.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Arda Kardzhali's form might have worsened.Botev Vratsa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Botev Vratsa's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+20.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Arda Kardzhali, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Botev Vratsa than the current prediction. (-9.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Botev Vratsa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
5.06 ↑
(1.66) |
4.22 ↑
(3.58) |
5.23 ↑
(4.98) |
-37.4%
(8.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Arda will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arda: 29% – 96%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 in the zone efbet League (Relegation Group: ) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arda won 3.
- Arda is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Botev Vratsa has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Botev Vratsa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Arda has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Arda is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Arda won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:14. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Arda won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:6. (average 2.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Arda Kardzhali won against Botev Vratsa?
Arda Kardzhali has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Botev Vratsa won against Arda Kardzhali?
Botev Vratsa has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Arda Kardzhali - Botev Vratsa were as follows:
19.04.2025
Botev Vratsa
-
Arda Kardzhali
3:1
08.11.2024
Arda Kardzhali
-
Botev Vratsa
2:0
10.03.2024
Botev Vratsa
-
Arda Kardzhali
1:2
15.09.2023
Arda Kardzhali
-
Botev Vratsa
4:0
09.10.2022
Botev Vratsa
-
Arda Kardzhali
0:0
Latest results of Arda Kardzhali
Latest results of Botev Vratsa
Bulgarian Parva Liga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Levski Sofia | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 22:7 | 15 | 29 |
| 2 | CSKA 1948 Sofia | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 23 |
| 3 | Ludogorets | 11 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 18:4 | 14 | 23 |
| 4 | Lok. Plovdiv | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 15:11 | 4 | 23 |
| 5 | Cherno More | 12 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 19:10 | 9 | 22 |
| 6 | Botev Vratsa | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 14 |
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 13 |
| 8 | CSKA Sofia | 12 | 2 | 7 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 13 |
| 9 | Beroe | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 11:14 | -3 | 13 |
| 10 | Lok. Sofia | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 12 |
| 11 | Arda | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:12 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 | Montana | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8:19 | -11 | 11 |
| 13 | Slavia Sofia | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 11 |
| 14 | Botev Plovdiv | 12 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 12:19 | -7 | 11 |
| 15 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 12:24 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dobrudzha | 12 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8:18 | -10 | 7 |
Promotion ~ efbet League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ efbet League (Conference League Group: )
efbet League (Relegation Group: )
