Result
0:1
31/01/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 21
- Referee: Valnet A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Sports MENA French 1 |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 3, Cablenet Sports 3 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 6 |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.27 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (459/551) | 76% (262/346) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.19 | 1.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.00 | 0.92 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 18 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (459/551) | 76% (262/346) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (14/41) | 48% (30/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (65/105) | 66% (64/97) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 17% (3/18) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.61 | 0.42 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 26 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (10/16) | 89% (16/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 5 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.92 | 0.00 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.00 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', 0 - 1, Lecolier M. ⚽, El Farissi A. (A),
- 16', Ferreira J. 🟨,
- 26', Ferreira J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Cardona I. ↓, Davitashvili Z. ↑,
- 46', Miladinovic I. ↓, El Jamali N. ↑,
- 50', El Farissi A. 🟨,
- 61', Boakye A. 🟨,
- 65', Binet N. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
- 73', El Farissi A. ↓, Platret A. ↑,
- 74', Lecolier M. ↓, Fatou C. ↑,
- 74', Moueffek A. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
- 74', Stassin L. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
- 84', Old B. ↓, Eymard P. ↑,
- 88', Fatar N. ↓, Paillard S. ↑,
- 89', Bultel J. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,
- 90+4', Fatou C. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Saint-Étienne
60.5% | Draw
21.8% | Boulogne
17.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
Saint-Étienne - Boulogne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↑
(1.52) |
4.3 ↓
(4.4) |
5.29 ↓
(5.46) |
7.1%
(6.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Saint-Étienne - Boulogne?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 7 - 63.6%). Boulogne will win (votes: 3 - 27.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 9.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Saint-Étienne: 35.2% – 92%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -0.75 - Saint-Étienne (1.59) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Boulogne may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Saint-Étienne is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M.
(Inactive)
Davitashvili Z.
(Inactive)
Ekwah P.
(Inactive)
N'Guessan D.
(Inactive)
Traore L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Boulogne: Boiteau L.
(Inactive)
Capuano G.
(Knee Injury)
Mpembele Boula E.
(Inactive)
Raillot L.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Saint-Étienne: Jaber M.
(Injury)
Lamba C.
(Injury)
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Saint-Étienne won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Boulogne?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Saint-Étienne?
Boulogne has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Étienne - Boulogne were as follows:
23.08.2025
Boulogne
-
Saint-Étienne
0:1
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 56:32 | 24 | 64 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 32 | 15 | 13 | 4 | 47:30 | 17 | 58 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 32 | 17 | 6 | 9 | 53:36 | 17 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 32 | 15 | 9 | 8 | 41:35 | 6 | 54 |
| 5 | Reims | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 47:31 | 16 | 52 |
| 6 | Rodez | 32 | 13 | 13 | 6 | 41:37 | 4 | 52 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 32 | 14 | 8 | 10 | 39:28 | 11 | 50 |
| 8 | Annecy | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 46:36 | 10 | 49 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 32 | 12 | 9 | 11 | 44:54 | -10 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 32 | 11 | 10 | 11 | 51:41 | 10 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 32 | 10 | 10 | 12 | 42:47 | -5 | 40 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 32 | 9 | 9 | 14 | 32:45 | -13 | 36 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | 31:39 | -8 | 33 |
| 14 | Clermont | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 35:43 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 | Nancy | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
| 16 | Laval | 32 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 28:43 | -15 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 32 | 4 | 13 | 15 | 22:37 | -15 | 25 |
| 18 | Amiens | 32 | 6 | 6 | 20 | 36:57 | -21 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
