Bastia vs Saint-Étienne – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

18/04/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stade Armand Cesari (Bastia).

Ligue 2 - Round 31
Referee: Millot B. (Fra)
Where to Watch on TV:


Andorra	beIN Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 5, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Canada	beIN Connect
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Viaplay
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	TV2 Play, Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 3, MEGOGO Ukraine
Usa	beIN Connect, Fanatiz

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.46	0.45
Ball possession
25%	75%
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
2	6
Passes
50% (86/172)	80% (437/547)
Yellow cards
4	2
Expected goals (xG)
1.46	0.45
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.18
Total shots
10	9
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
2	4
Blocked shots
4	3
Shots inside the box
7	5
Shots outside the box
3	4
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
2	6
Touches in opposition box
15	25
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	3
Free kicks
12	23
Passes
50% (86/172)	80% (437/547)
Long passes
26% (14/53)	36% (17/47)
Passes in final third
44% (32/72)	66% (128/195)
Crosses
21% (3/14)	19% (5/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.85	0.93
Throw ins
20	22
Fouls
20	15
Tackles
60% (12/20)	71% (10/14)
Duels won
57	61
Clearances
37	21
Interceptions
20	9
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.18	0.82
Goals prevented
0.18	-1.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, Zaouai A. ⚽,
8', Roncaglia A. 🟨,
33', Boakye A. 🟨,
45+1', Guevara J. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
53', Cardona I. ↓, Duffus J. ↑,
59', Beliandjou R. ↓, Sebas J. ↑,
59', Roncaglia A. ↓, Ariss Z. ↑,
60', Moueffek A. ↓, Miladinovic I. ↑,
68', Janneh J. ↓, Eickmayer J. ↑,
68', Zaouai A. ↓, Boutrah A. ↑,
71', 2 - 0, Eickmayer J. ⚽, Tomi F. (A),
74', Duffus J. 🟨,
89', Eickmayer J. 🟨,
90+6', Meynadier T. ↓, Zilliox N. ↑,
90+8', Zilliox N. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Bastia
21.3%

Draw
26.4%

Saint-Étienne
52.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.1%

27.9%

45%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.5%

27.2%

46.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Bastia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Bastia's form might have worsened.

Saint-Étienne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Étienne's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (+5.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Bastia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Étienne, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Bastia - Saint-Étienne Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (3.44)	3.56 ↑ (3.34)	1.79 ↓ (2.07)	6.4% (7.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Bastia - Saint-Étienne?

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Saint-Étienne (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Saint-Étienne will win (9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%.

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ National and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 1.
Recent form of Bastia has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Saint-Étienne is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Bastia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Saint-Étienne could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Bastia: Ariss Z. (Injury) Bathily Y. (Injury) Djedje D. (Injury) Guidi D. (Red Card) Merghem M. (Injury) Meynadier T. (Injury) Parravicini N. (Hernia) Roncaglia A. (Injury) Vincent C. (Injury)
There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Bernauer M. (Knee Injury) El Jamali N. (Knee Injury) Ferreira J. (Broken Hand) N'Guessan D. (Inactive) Paalberg M. (Inactive) Tardieu F. (Calf Injury) Traore L. (Inactive)
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 10:29. (average 0.7:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Bastia won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.4:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Bastia won against Saint-Étienne?

Bastia has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Bastia?

Saint-Étienne has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Saint-Étienne were as follows:

13.12.2025 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 2:2

16.03.2024 Bastia - Saint-Étienne 0:4

19.12.2023 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 3:2

31.01.2023 Bastia - Saint-Étienne 2:0

30.08.2022 Saint-Étienne - Bastia 5:0

Latest results of Bastia

11.04.2026 Red Star - Bastia 4:3 ✺

03.04.2026 Bastia - Amiens 1:1 ✺

20.03.2026 Rodez - Bastia 1:1 ✺

13.03.2026 Bastia - Boulogne 0:1 ✺

06.03.2026 Pau - Bastia 2:2 ✺

Latest results of Saint-Étienne

11.04.2026 Saint-Étienne - Dunkerque 2:1 ✺

04.04.2026 Nancy - Saint-Étienne 1:1 ✺

21.03.2026 Saint-Étienne - Annecy 4:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Grenoble - Saint-Étienne 0:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Saint-Étienne - Red Star 2:0 ✺

French Ligue 2 Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Troyes ✔	33	20	7	6	60:32	28	67
2	Le Mans	33	15	14	4	48:31	17	59
3	St Etienne	33	17	6	10	54:38	16	57
4	Red Star	33	16	9	8	44:36	8	57
5	Rodez	33	14	13	6	43:38	5	55
6	Reims	33	13	14	6	48:32	16	53
7	Annecy	33	15	7	11	48:37	11	52
8	Montpellier	33	14	8	11	40:30	10	50
9	Pau FC	33	12	9	12	45:57	-12	45
10	Dunkerque	33	11	10	12	51:42	9	43
11	Guingamp	33	10	10	13	42:48	-6	40
12	Grenoble	33	7	15	11	32:39	-7	36
13	Boulogne	33	9	9	15	33:47	-14	36
14	Clermont	33	8	10	15	37:44	-7	34
15	Nancy	33	8	10	15	32:50	-18	34
16	Laval	33	5	14	14	28:47	-19	29
17	Bastia	33	5	13	15	23:37	-14	28
18	Amiens ✔	33	6	6	21	37:60	-23	24

      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National

Clinched Spots for Teams

Troyes is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Ligue 1
Amiens is Relegated to National