Result
1:2
15/12/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 17
- Referee: Roffet B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.64 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 39% | 61% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (163/261) | 82% (358/435) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.21 | 0.64 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.71 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 18 | 12 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (163/261) | 82% (358/435) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (20/62) | 51% (33/65) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 65% (79/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (3/23) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.47 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 70% (16/23) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 66 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.71 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.29 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 0 - 1, Mille A. ⚽,
- 22', 1 - 1, Monfray A. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 56', Hamdi M. 🟨,
- 59', Detourbet M. ↓, Assoumou J. ↑,
- 63', Maronnier L. 🟨,
- 65', Burlet V. 🟨,
- 73', Adeline M. ↓, Ripart R. ↑,
- 78', Burlet V. ↓, Keita S. ↑,
- 78', Fatou C. ↓, Mpembele Boula E. ↑,
- 83', Maronnier L. 🟨,
- 86', Mpembele Boula E. (Penalty Awarded),
- 87', Thiam D. ↓, Pinot A. ↑,
- 89', Bentayeb T. ↓, Donkor N. ↑,
- 89', Ifnaoui M. ↓, Phliponeau A. ↑,
- 89', El Farissi A. ↓, Kouassi E. ↑,
- 90+4', 1 - 2, Ripart R. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Boulogne
25.3% | Draw
27.7% | Troyes
47% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boulogne has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)Troyes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boulogne than the current prediction. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+1.6%)
Boulogne - Troyes Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.71 ↓
(3.8) |
3.38 ↑
(3.21) |
2 ↓
(2.02) |
6.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boulogne - Troyes?
Users Predictions:
23 users predict this event. Boulogne will win (votes: 4 - 17.4%). Troyes will win (votes: 13 - 56.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 26.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Troyes: 36.2% – 76.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Troyes (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Ligue 1).
- Boulogne has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Troyes is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Troyes will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Boulogne: Kitenge C.
(Inactive)
Martin J.
(Leg Injury)
Siliadin L.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Troyes: El Idrissy M.
(Inactive)
Gozzi P.
(Broken Leg)
Lemaitre N.
(Knee Injury)
Odede E.
(Inactive)
Titi Y.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There are questionable in Boulogne: Capuano G.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Boulogne won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:0.
How many head-to-head matches has Boulogne won against Troyes?
Boulogne has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Boulogne?
Troyes has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boulogne - Troyes were as follows:
Latest results of Boulogne
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 27 | 16 | 6 | 5 | 44:27 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | St Etienne | 27 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 46:29 | 17 | 50 |
| 3 | Le Mans | 27 | 12 | 11 | 4 | 37:26 | 11 | 47 |
| 4 | Red Star | 27 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 31:27 | 4 | 44 |
| 5 | Reims | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 39:26 | 13 | 43 |
| 6 | Rodez | 27 | 11 | 10 | 6 | 34:32 | 2 | 43 |
| 7 | Montpellier | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 33:25 | 8 | 41 |
| 8 | Dunkerque | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 39 |
| 9 | Annecy | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 35:30 | 5 | 39 |
| 10 | Guingamp | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 38:38 | 0 | 39 |
| 11 | Pau FC | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 40:44 | -4 | 38 |
| 12 | Boulogne | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 33 |
| 13 | Grenoble | 27 | 6 | 12 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 30 |
| 14 | Clermont | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 30:36 | -6 | 28 |
| 15 | Nancy | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 24:40 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Amiens | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | 30:46 | -16 | 23 |
| 17 | Laval | 27 | 3 | 11 | 13 | 21:39 | -18 | 20 |
| 18 | Bastia | 27 | 3 | 10 | 14 | 14:30 | -16 | 19 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
